A Winning Day at the Races!

May 18th, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site seven years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 12,371/18,901, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 8,659/18,901. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Three on Top Winners on last Thursday’s Belmont Card… $11.40, $4.10, $10.40

*Four On Top Winners & Late Pick 4 for us on last Friday’s Belmont Card $7.20, $6.60, $9.20, $15.40…Pick 4 $1,210.75 on a $64 ticket…

*Three on top winners on last Saturday’s Belmont Card…$12.80, $6.90, $7.40

*Early Pick 5/4 for us this past Saturday at Belmont…Pick 5 $2143 on a $108 ticket…Pick 4 $895.75 on a $54 ticket…

*Late Pick 4 for us this past Saturday at Belmont…Pick 4 $528.75 on a $64 ticket…

*Seven on top winners on this past Sunday’s Belmont Card…

*Visit the “Membership Page” to Purchase a Preakness Weekend Pass” Thursday evening or Friday morning $39.99 for Full Access to Friday’s  Belmont/Pimlico , Saturday’s Belmont/Pimlico & Sunday’s Belmont Picks/Plays…

*Thursday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays Below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#2 Welcometomyworld 3-1        15 4th
#1 Balentina 9-5                           14 2nd $3.60
#5 Herecomes Scarlett 6-1         12 3rd $4.60
#7 Akiva 10-1                                11

Race 2:

#2b Dontbelate 5-1                     27 1st $13.60
#6 Swift Tap 3-1                           26
#1a Little Demon 8-5                  26 scratched
#1 Musical Heart 8-5                   25 3rd $3.70

Race 3:

#4 Twice Smitten 2-1                  27 4th
#2 Gypsy Janie 7-2                       25 1st $9.20
#1 Trade Secret 6-1                      24
#5 Carly Hustle 6-1                      24

Race 4:

#3 Anileate 2-1                            27 *Best Bet 3rd $2.30
#1 Miss Kristy 5-1                       25 1st $9.80
#9 Heartburn 8-1                         25
#5 Rosemary Potatoes 6-1         24

Race 5:

#2 Up Her Sleeve 6-1                   28
#5 Bustin Bullet 4-1                     27 4th
#4 La Aguililla 8-1                        27 scratched
#10 Maddie’s Grace 5-1               26 2nd $5.40

Race 6:

#1 Fireline 9-5                                30 1st $3.90
#3 Tough Street 2-1                       28 2nd $2.80
#2 Lay the Groundwork 6-1         27 4th
#7 Vienna Code 20-1                     26 3rd $5.20

Race 7:

#2 Tops the Chart 8-1                   34 scratched
#6 Gun It 9-2                                   33 2nd $4.50
#4 Following Sea 3-5                     33 3rd $2.10
#1 Synthesis 10-1                           32 1st $23.00 Tri $201

Race 8:

#2 Miss Carol Ann (IRE) 6-1         34
#6 Bahamian Club (IRE) 5-2         33
#9 Sail By 12-1                                 33
#5 Breeze Easy (GB) 9-2                 32

Race 9:

#4 Dance With Me Babe 10-1        16
#2 Pauciloquent 4-1                        15
#11 Mizz Me 8-1                               14
#8 Dreaming of Carli 5-1                14

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  2,1,5,7 x

Race 2:  2b/2,6,1a/1 2b

Race 3:  4,2 2

Race 4:  3 x

Race 5:  2,5,4,10 *4 scratched using 2,5,10,8

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  2b/2,6,1a/1 2b

Race 3:  4,2,1,5 2

Race 4:  3,1 1

Race 5:  2,5,4,10 *4 scratched using 2,5,10,8

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  4,2 2

Race 4:  3,1,9 1

Race 5:  2,5,4,10 *4 scratched using 2,5,10,8

Race 6:  1,3,2,7

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 6:

Race 4:  3 x

Race 5:  2,5,4,10 *4 scratched using 2,5,10,8

Race 6:  1,3

Race 7:  2,6,4 *2 scratched using 6,4,1

Race 8:  2,6

Race 9:  4,2,11

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  2,5,4,10 *4 scratched using 2,5,10,8

Race 6:  1,3,2

Race 7:  2,6,4 *2 scratched using 6,4,1

Race 8:  2,6,9,5

Race 9:  4,2,11

$.50 Ticket:  $216

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  1,3

Race 7:  2,6,4,1

Race 8:  2,6,9,5

Race 9:  4,2,11,8

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 


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