A Winning Day at the Races!

May 21st , 2020 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily. For Full Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site four years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 7947/11890, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 5198/11890. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*On Thursday’s & Friday’s all content will be posted here on the Free Page till NYRA resumes…Weekends will require purchase of a “One” or “Two” Day Pass for Full Access as top tier venues are racing once again… There will always be limited Picks/Plays posted daily here on the Free Page…

*Thursday’s Full Card Churchill Picks/Plays Below…

Churchill Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#2 Mad Maddy 3-1                        18 2nd
#4 Tequila Queen 2-1                   17 3rd
#10 Seguro 12-1                             15 scratched
#9 Youawakemysoul 20-1            14 scratched

Race 2 :

#8 Big Thicket 9-2                         29 scratched
#5 T Loves a Fight 2-1                  28 4th
#9 I’m Corfu 5-1                             27 2nd
#7 Ruler of the Nile 3-1                27 1st

Race 3 :

#12 Drop Dead Gorgeous 3-1       15 2nd
#3 Strong Work 12-1                      14
#2 Stylish Ash 5-1                           14
#9 Gypsy Wife 5-1                           13 3rd

Race 4 :

#7 Senor Friday 8-1                        27
#9 Summer Revolution 5-2           27 1st
#8 Ernie Banks 6-1                          26 4th
#1 Spatetacular Joe 15-1                25

Race 5 :

#9 Quest for Fire 6-1                       26
#6 His Giant 5-2                               25 2nd
#4 Feeling It 9-2                               25 1st
#5 Jersey Agenda 8-1                       24 3rd

Race 6 :

#6 Overzealous 7-2                          29
#3 Frost Or Frippery 5-2                 28 1st
#4 Calculated Risker 15-1               26 3rd
#9 Curlin Grey 8-1                            25 2nd

Race 7 :

#3 Dalika (GER) 5-2                         32 1st $5.80
#6 Devant (FR) 4-1                           31
#10 Devils Dance 5-1                       30
#4 Mentality 4-1                               30 2nd

Race 8 :

#4 Spun Eazy 7-2                              28 1st $6.40 Dbl $21.40
#1 Addison 9-2                                  28 2nd Ex $22.80
#7 Complete 5-1                               27
#6 Princess Phone 9-2                     27 4th

Race 9 :

#10 Casa Creed 9-2                          34 3rd
#5 Front Run the Fed 8-5               33 4th
#2 Alkhaatam 20-1                          31
#3 Journeyman 15-1                        30 scratched

Race 10 :

#1 Sense You Left 6-1                      16
#11 Garden Affair 4-1                      14
#8 Flashing Red 9-2                          13
#3 Eden 12-1                                      12

Churchill Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  2,4

Race 2 :  8,5,9,7

Race 3 :  12,3,2,9

Race 4 :  7,9,8

Race 5 :  9,6,4

$.50 Ticket :  $144

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  8,5,9,7

Race 3 :  12,3,2,9,

Race 4 :  7,9

Race 5 :  9,6,4

$.50 Ticket :  $48

Pick 4 (4-7) :

Race 4 :  7,9,8

Race 5 :  9,6,4

Race 6 :  6,3,4,9

Race 7 :  3,6

$.50 Ticket :  $36

Pick 6 :

Race 5 :  9,6,4,5

Race 6 :  6,3

Race 7 :  3,6,10

Race 8 :  4,1,7

Race 9 :  10,5

Race 10 : 1,11,8,3

$.20 Ticket :  $115.20

Late Pick 5 :

Race 6 :  6,3,4

Race 7 :  3,6,10,4

Race 8 :  4,1,7

Race 9 :  10,5

Race 10 : 1,11,8

$.50 Ticket :  $108

Late Pick 4 :

Race 7 :  3,6

Race 8 :  4,1,7,6

Race 9 :  10,5,2,3

Race 10 : 1,11,8,3

$.50 Ticket :  $64

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 

 

 


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