A Winning Day at the Races!

May 19th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 10,770/16,464, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 7,325/16,464. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for the people of Ukraine…

*A “Preakness Weekend Pass” will be available for purchase Thursday for $39.99…………………… (Belmont Pimlico Fri/Sat) & a “Preakness Day Pass” for $24.99 (Belmont Pimlico Sat) will be available Friday evening…Please visit the Membership Page…

*Thursday’s Full Card Belmont Park Picks/Plays Below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#2 Personal Best 7-5                     19
#4 Myriskyaffair 2-1                     18
#1 Reign of Love 3-1                     17
#3 Mrs. Postman 12-1                   16

Dirt Selections

#2 Personal Best 7-5 scratched
#5 Charging Lady 6-1 2nd $3.50
#1 Reign of Love 3-1 4th
#3 Mrs. Postman 12-1

Race 2:

#6 Wicked Mad 5-2                        27 3rd $2.50
#7 Tamburro’s Sox 6-1                  26
#2 Gaslight 8-5                               26 1st $6.10
#1 Motion to Strike 5-1                 25 2nd $4.70

Race 3:

#5 Big Al’s Gal 2-1                          28
#4 Miss Peppina 3-1                       27 4th
#3 Carly Hustle 6-1                         26 3rd $5.20
#1 She’s a Black Belt 4-1                26 2nd $4.00

Race 4:

#6 Anador (FR) 9-2                         30
#7 Stony Point 7-2                          29
#4 Gal in a Rush 5-2                        28
#3 Mac the Pee H Dee 6-1              28

Dirt Selections

#4 Gal in a Rush 5-2 3rd
#5 Screamin’ By 8-1 1st $5.60
#2 Poppy Flower 7-2 4th
#7 Stony Point 7-2 scratched

Race 5:

#7 Shesalittle Edgy 8-5                   31 2nd $2.50
#1 Easy to Bless 9-5                         30 1st $3.70
#6 Honey Money 5-1                       29 scratched
#3 Customerexperience 9-2           28 3rd $2.40

Race 6:

#8 Giramonte 10-1                            28
#11 Cousin Andrew 7-2                    28
#9 Equuleus 12-1                               27
#5 Montatham 8-1                             27

Dirt Selections

#10 Dot’s Dollar 3-1 1st $5.10
#9 Equuleus 12-1 scratched
#7 On the Hill 10-1 2nd $7.90 Ex $56.50
#3 Lindros 8-1

Race 7:

#8 Zaevion 9-2                                   28
#9 Alcools 3-1                                    27 1st $3.70
#4 Somebody 8-1                               27
#3 Rejected Again 6-1                       26 4th

Race 8:

#2 Sassy Melissa 4-1                          30
#5 Guardian Moon 4-1                      29
#11 Jill’s a Hot Mess 8-1                    28
#1 Mischievous Dream 7-2                28

Dirt Selections

#12 Pretty Clever 3-1 3rd $2.20
#13 Chasing Cara 4-1 1st $6.00
#2 Sassy Melissa 4-1 scratched
#8 Khali Magic 12-1 scratched
#4 Big Q 20-1 2nd $5.40

Race 9:

#8 Jimmy the Boot 6-1                      16
#4 Starrystarryknight 12-1               15
#9 Broken Spur 12-1                          15
#3 Mr. J. Mckay 15-1                           14

Dirt Selections

#12 North Carolina 1-1
#16 Bold Victory 9-5
#9 Broken Spur 12-1
#6 Necromancer 20-1
#7 Overexaggerate 30-1

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  2,4,1 Dirt: 2,5,1 *2 scratched using 5,1,3 x

Race 2:  6,7,2,1 2

Race 3:  5,4 x

Race 4:  6,7,4 Dirt: 4,5,2 5

Race 5:  7,1 1

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  6,7,2,1 2

Race 3:  5,4 x

Race 4:  6,7,4,3 Dirt: 4,5,2,7 5

Race 5:  7,1,6,3 1

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 4:  6,7,4 Dirt: 4,5,2 5

Race 5:  7 x

Race 6:  8,11,9,5 Dirt: 10,9,7,3 10

Race 7:  8,9 9

Race 8:  2,5 Dirt: 12,13 13

Race 9:  8,4,9 Dirt: 12,16,9 *9 scratched using 12,16,7

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  7,1,6 1

Race 6:  8,11,9,5 Dirt: 10,9,7,3 10

Race 7:  8,9,4 9

Race 8:  2,5,11 Dirt: 12,13,2 *2 scratched using 12,13,4 13

Race 9:  8,4,9 Dirt: 12,16,9 *9 scratched using 12,16,7

$.50 Ticket:  $162

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  8,11,9,5 Dirt: 10,9,7,3 10

Race 7:  8,9,4 9

Race 8:  2,5,11,1 Dirt: 12,13,2,8 *2 scratched using 12,13,4 13

Race 9:  8,4,9,3 Dirt: 12,16,9,6 *9 scratched using 12,16,7

$.50 Ticket:  $96

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 


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