May 23rd, 2026 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site nine years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,401/25,356 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 11,694/25,356. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Churchill Downs Picks/Plays below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#2 Hafu 3-1 14 2nd $3.06
#3 Lough Currane 4-1 13 3rd $3.08
#8 Charlie Charmer 9-2 12 1st $8.72 Tri $62.68
#1 Rumblyoungmanrumbl 6-111

Race 2:

#1 Capt Fluff N Stuff 4-1 16 4th
#3 Swaging 2-1 15 1st $3.58
#2 Lifes Reward 3-1 15 scratched
#4 Feroce 9-2 14 3rd $2.56

Race 3:

#3 Thorsness 4-1 27 1st $12.80
#7 Red Miller 9-2 27 4th
#5 Whitby 6-1 26 2nd $6.32
#1 Salming 5-2 25

Race 4:

#3 Sonoranite 5-1 16
#8 Coco d’Oro 6-1 15 scratched
#9 Raynham Hall 4-1 14 3rd $2.68
#6 Blue Authenticity 7-2 14 2nd $5.48

Dirt Selections

#9 Raynham Hall 4-1
#8 Coco d’Oro 6-1
#16 Hip Hop Dancer 9-2
#12 Five Dozen Roses 3-1
#10 Just Love S 30-1

Race 5:

#8 Baby Sassicaia 3-1 28 2nd $2.88
#4 Curlin’s Magic 6-1 27 3rd $2.86
#10 Ah Ca Ira 7-2 26 scratched
#7 Floge 10-1 26

Race 6:

#2 Gold Sovereign 3-1 18 2nd $3.44
#1 Orgonite 4-1 17 3rd $3.90
#6 Peak Performing 5-1 17
#3 Chester Boy 15-1 16

Dirt Selections

#9 Copious 8-5
#7 Versailles Road 10-1
#3 Chester Boy 15-1
#1 Orgonite 4-1

Race 7:

#5 Bronze Bullet 6-1 29
#2 Track Tiger 9-2 28
#6 Azizam (GB) 5-1 27 4th
#9 Itza Lock 8-1 27

Dirt Selections

#9 Itza Lock 8-1
#4 Capanaparo 20-1
#8 Twilight Delight 4-1
#2 Track Tiger 9-2
#5 Bronze Bullet 6-1

Race 8:

#7 Classicist 2-1 34 1st $4.68
#4 Dreamlike 7-2 33 2nd $3.38 Ex $17.22
#1 Waitlist 10-1 32
#2 Le Gris 5-2 32 4th

Race 9:

#10 Freaky 5-1 28
#3 Board of Directors 9-2 27
#6 Kid Cairo 3-1 26
#11 Carc Brothers 7-2 26 1st $6.50

Dirt Selections

#15 Egyptian 9-5
#13 Antietam 5-2
#10 Freaky 5-1
#14 Swiss Army Knife 4-1
#5 Middle Market 8-1

Race 10:

#8 No Evidence 9-2 30
#1 Cyclonite 9-2 29
#9 Innate (IRE) 5-1 28
#3 Cuando 4-1 28

Dirt Selections

#6 Shape Note 6-1
#5 Forgiving Spirit 10-1
#12 Oil Capital 5-2
#10 Soontobeking 15-1

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 2,3,8,1

Race 2: 1,3,2 *2 scratched using 1,3,4

Race 3: 3,7,5,1

Race 4: 3,8,9 Dirt: 9,8,16 *8 scratched using using 3,9,6

Race 5: 8,4

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 1,3,2,4 *2 scratched using 1,3,4,7

Race 3: 3,7,5,1

Race 4: 3,8,9,6 Dirt: 9,8,16,12 *8 scratched using 3,9,6,2

Race 5: 8,4,10

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3: 3,7,5,1

Race 4: 3,8,9,6 Dirt: 9,8,16,12 *8 scratched using 3,9,6,2

Race 5: 8,4,10

Race 6: 2,1 Dirt: 9,7

Race 7: 5,2,6

$.50 Ticket: $144

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 3,8,9,6 Dirt: 9,8,16,12 *8 scratched using 3,9,6,2

Race 5: 8,4,10

Race 6: 2,1,6 Dirt: 9,7,3

Race 7: 5,2,6

$.50 Ticket: $54

Pick 6:

Race 5: 8,4

Race 6: 2,1,6 Dirt: 9,7,3

Race 7: 5,2,6 Dirt: 9,4,8

Race 8: 7

Race 9: 10,3,6 Dirt: 15,13,10

Race 10: 8,1 Dirt: 6,5

$1.00 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 2,1,6 Dirt: 9,7,3

Race 7: 5,2,6 Dirt: 9,4,8

Race 8: 7,4

Race 9: 10,3,6 Dirt: 15,13,10

Race 10: 8,1 Dirt: 6,5

$.50 Ticket: $54

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 5,2,6,9 Dirt: 9,4,8,2

Race 8: 7,4

Race 9: 10,3,6,11 Dirt: 15,13,10,14

Race 10: 8,1,9,3 Dirt: 6,5,12,10

$.50 Ticket: $64

Churchill Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#3 Lunar Loop 5-2 16 3rd $2.14
#1 Sister Jean 9-5 15 2nd $2.74
#2 Plaza Cue 6-5 15 1st $7.40
#4 Command the Stars 12-1 14

Race 2:

#7 Black Ginger 7-2 26
#3 Sunset Harbour 6-1 25 2nd $5.78
#6 My Bossy Lady 5-2 25 4th
#2 First Hill 4-1 24

Race 3:

#2 McSniper 3-1 28
#1 Call Me Precious 1-1 27 2nd $2.28
#6 Bartender 7-2 26 4th
#5 Cold Case 8-1 25 3rd $2.76

Race 4:

#4 Bourbon Flight 2-1 27 1st $6.42
#2 Maximum Promise 5-2 26 4th
#1 Pampered Prince 7-2 25
#6 Pacific 9-2 24 2nd $5.96

Race 5:

#4 Icona (IRE) 5-2 32
#8 Ambergien (IRE) 9-2 31
#12 Love and Poetry 6-1 30
#3 La Cantera (IRE) 8-1 29

Dirt Selections

#14 Consider Me First 15-1
#10 Low Key in Love 12-1 scratched
#5 Miss Pharaoh 6-1 2nd $3.08
#6 More Galilady 20-1 scratched

Race 6:

#7 Cierto 6-1 18
#4 Our Forefathers 3-1 17 2nd $4.84
#1 Market Runner 7-5 17 3rd $2.10
#3 National Charter 4-1 16 1st $10.48

Race 7:

#6 Exodus 2-1 16
#9 Grab the Spark 7-2 15
#4 Jack Charles (GB) 9-2 14 3rd $4.62
#5 Cardinal Union 8-1 13

Race 8:

#10 Get Her Number 5-2 33 scratched
#4 Star’s Image 6-1 32 scratched
#3 Otto the Conqueror 5-1 32 3rd $2.72
#5 Turn Up the Trees 8-1 31 scratched

Race 9:

#3 Ayra Stark (ARG) 9-5 34 1st $4.24
#4 Golden Sunshine 4-1 33 4th
#1 Sultana 3-1 32 scratched
#6 Virgin Colada 15-1 31

Dirt Selections

#5 Way to Be Marie 6-1
#4 Golden Sunshine 4-1
#1 Sultana 3-1
#6 Virgin Colada 15-1

Race 10:

#2 Gethsemane 7-5 29 scratched
#5 Non Conforming 9-2 28 1st $3.90 Dbl $12.38
#6 Kid Twist 8-1 27 3rd $3.34
#1 Kokomo Joe 10-1 26

Race 11:

#10 Evelyn Louise 9-2 28
#2 Heartbeat 7-2 27
#3 Sussudio 15-1 26
#7 Kittens Stormy Gal 10-1 25

Dirt Selections

#8 McKinzie’s Glory 8-1
#5 Tearin’up My Heart 8-1
#11 Classic Glide 6-1
#14 Mint Driven 15-1

Churchill Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 3,1,2

Race 2: 7,3,6

Race 3: 2,1

Race 4: 4,2,1

Race 5: 4,8,12 Dirt: 14,10,5 *10 scratched using 14,5,9

$.50 Ticket: $81

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 7,3,6,2

Race 3: 2,1,6

Race 4: 4,2

Race 5: 4,8,12,3 Dirt: 14,10,5,6 *10,6 scratched using 14,5,9,13

$.50 Ticket: $48

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3: 2,1

Race 4: 4,2,1

Race 5: 4,8,12,3 Dirt: 14,10,5,6 *10,6 scratched using 14,5,9,13

Race 6: 7,4,1

Race 7: 6,9,4

$.50 Ticket: $108

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 4,2,1

Race 5: 4,8,12 Dirt: 14,10,5 *10 scratched using 14,5,9

Race 6: 7,4,1

Race 7: 6,9,4

$.50 Ticket: $40.50

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5: 4,8,12 Dirt: 14,10,5 *10 scratched using 14,5,9

Race 6: 7,4,1

Race 7: 6,9,4

Race 8: 10,4,3 *10,4 scratched using 3,9,6

Race 9: 3,4,1 Dirt: 5,4,1 *1 scratched using 3,4,6

$.50 Ticket: $121.50

Pick 6:

Race 6: 7,4,1

Race 7: 6,9

Race 8: 10,4,3 *10, 4 scratched using 3,9,6

Race 9: 3 Dirt: 5

Race 10: 2,5,6 *2 scratched using 5,6,1

Race 11: 10,2 Dirt: 8,5

$.20 Ticket: $21.60

Late Pick 5:

Race 7: 6,9,4

Race 8: 10,4,3 *10,4 scratched using 3,9,6

Race 9: 3,4,1 Dirt: 5,4,1 *1 scratched using 3,4,6

Race 10: 2,5 *2 scratched using 5,6

Race 11: 10,2,3,7 Dirt: 8,5,11,14 *14 scratched using 8,5,11,2

$.50 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 8: 10,4,3,5 *10,4,5 scratched using 3,9,6,2

Race 9: 3,4,1 Dirt: 5,4,1 *1 scratched using 3,4,6

Race 10: 2,5 *2 scratched using 5,6

Race 11: 10,2 Dirt: 8,5

$.50 Ticket: $24

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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