A Winning Day at the Races!

May 28th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 10,819/16,530, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 7,361/16,530. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Please visit the Membership Page to Purchase a “Memorial Day Weekend Pass” $49.99 Friday evening or Saturday morning for full access to Belmont Park Churchill Downs Picks/Plays for Saturday 5/28 , Sunday 5/29 & Belmont Picks/Plays for Monday 5/30 , Memorial Day…Or a “One Day Pass” $17.99 for any single day…

*We got our Early Pick 5/4 Plays home on Friday’s Belmont card…Early Pick 5 $1092 on a $108 ticket…Early Pick 4 $469.25 on a $64 ticket…

Belmont Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#1 Big Castle 9-5                             28
#3 Tough Tickets 6-5                      28
#6 Yah Huh 15-1                              27
#4 Centavo 8-1                                 27

Race 7:

#2 Breadman 7-2                             29
#1 Spettro 10-1                                28
#4 Lord Flintshire 6-1                     27
#6 Mr Breadwinner 8-1                   27

Churchill Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#4 Beachwalker 5-2                         29
#3 Blue Jays 2-1                                28
#2 Starrininmydreams 9-5             27
#6 Prioritization 8-1                        26

Race 9:

#2 Awesome Gerry 2-1                     32
#5 Dennis’ Moment 5-2                   31
#6 Ebben 5-1                                      30
#3 Gun It 9-5                                      29

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 


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