A Winning Day at the Races!

May 29th , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily. For Full Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site four years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 9523/14437, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6369/14437. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Going forward Picks/Plays will remain free on weekdays and posted here…Weekends will require the purchase of a One or Two Day/Weekend Pass…

*This weekend we will cover Belmont only…Full Card Picks/Plays will be posted here on the Free Page with the expected weather/surface uncertainty…

*Saturday ‘s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays Below… (Picks/Plays are for Dirt Only)…Will adjust if any races remain on the grass…

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#5 Riot House 7-2                         18 scratched
#7 No Mi Culpa 5-1                      18
#2 Slipstream 6-1                         17 scratched
#1a Frosty Storm 15-1                 16
#10 Grafton Street 4-1                 16 3rd $2.90
#8 Sense Shines 5-2                     15 1st $6.40

Turf Selections

#5 Riot House 7-2
#8 Sense Shines 5-2
#10 Grafton Street 4-1
#2 Slipstream 6-1

Race 2 :

#7 Blugrascat’s Smile 12-1           29
#8 Playthatfunnymusic 3-1          29
#1a Playwright 1-1                         28 4th
#5 Skyler’s Scramjet 12-1              27

Race 3 :

#4 First Captain 6-5                       31 1st $4.00
#2 Hometown 5-2                           30 2nd $3.00
#1 Yankee Division 5-2                  29 scratched
#6 Supply and Demand 15-1         28

Race 4 :

#16 Regality 9-5                               17 *Best Bet 1st $3.50
#10 Tough Workout 8-1                  15
#2 Rush to Honor 10-1                    14 3rd $7.20
#15 Dreampoint 9-2                         14 scratched
#4 Druid 8-1                                       13

Turf Selections

#7 Lord Flintshire 6-1
#4 Druid 8-1
#2 Rush to Honor 10-1
#9 Portfolio Hedge 2-1
#5 Tanners Neck Lane 5-1

Race 5 :

#3 Violent Point 6-1                         16
#11 Summer Brew 4-1                      16 1st $8.10
#5 Risk Model 5-2                             15
#8 Say Moi 10-1                                 14
#7 Halo City 10-1                               13

Turf Selections

#10 Keota 9-5
#4 Bay Jewel 10-1
#9 Too Sexy 5-2
#3 Violent Point 6-1
#6 Saratoga Love 6-1

Race 6 :

#7 Power Up Paynter 8-1                 31
#6 Bronx Bomber 5-2                       30 3rd $2.70
#5 Listentoyourheart 8-1                 29
#2 Gandy Dancing 5-1                      28

Race 7 :

#6 Blue Times 12-1                             18
#3 Evoking 6-1                                     18 1st $11.40
#4 Cease and Desist 4-1                     17
#16 Sand and Sea 3-1                          17
#2 Dame Time 15-1                             16

Turf Selections

#5 Know How (GB) 9-2
#9 Bitten by Kitten 7-2
#3 Evoking 6-1
#2 Dame Time 15-1
#6 Blue Times 12-1

Race 8 :

#9 Mystic Night 3-1                             33 2nd $3.80
#7 Doubly Blessed 5-1                         32 1st $8.00
#8 Chestertown 10-1                            31 Ex $22.80
#10 Family Biz 6-1                                30

Race 9 :

#5 Sainthood 4-1                                  32 1st $3.80
#3 Shaftesbury 6-1                               30 scratched
#9 The Reds 12-1                                  30 2nd $2.70
#6 Minuteman (Ger) 30-1                   29

Turf Selections

#4 Hard Love 9-5
#2 Step Dancer 10-1
#7 Public Sector (GB) 9-2
#8 Safe Conduct 6-1

Race 10 :

#9 Gray Destiny 5-1                              28
#12 Sweeter 12-1                                   27
#1a Nicky Scissors 7-2                          26
#8 Kerik 8-1                                            26
#14 Amity Island 4-1                            25

Turf Selections

#4 Freddymo Factor 9-2
#1 Sengekontacket 7-2
#7 Betcha by Golly 8-1
#9 Gray Destiny 5-1

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  7,1a/1,10,8 Turf : 5,8,10,2 8

Race 2 :  7,8,1a/1 x

Race 3 :  4,2 4

Race 4 :  16 Turf : 7 16

Race 5 :  3,11,5,8 Turf : 10,4,9,3 11

$.50 Ticket :  $48

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  7,8,1a/1,5 x

Race 3 :  4,2,1 *1 scratched using 4,2,6 4

Race 4 :  16,10,2,15 Turf : 7,4,2,9 16

Race 5 :  3,11,5 Turf : 10,4,9 11

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Pick 6 :

Race 5 :  3,11,5,8 Turf : 10,4,9,3 11

Race 6 :  7,6 x

Race 7 :  6,3,4,16 Turf: 5,9,3,2 3

Race 8 :  9 x

Race 9 :  5,3 Turf : 4,2 *3 scratched using 5,9 5

Race 10 : 9,12,1a/1 Turf : 4,9,7

$1.00 Ticket :  $192

Late Pick 5 :

Race 6 :  7,6 x

Race 7 :  6,3,4,16 Turf: 5,9,3,2 3

Race 8 :  9,7 7

Race 9 :  5,3,9 Turf : 4,2,7 *3 scratched using 5,9,6 5

Race 10 : 9,12,1a/1 Turf : 4,9,7

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Late Pick 4 :

Race 7 :  6,3,4,16 Turf: 5,9,3,2 3

Race 8 :  9,7 7

Race 9 :  5,3,9 Turf : 4,2,7 *3 scratched using 5,9,6 5

Race 10 : 9,12,1a/1 Turf : 4,9,7

$.50 Ticket :  $36

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


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