May 2nd, 2026 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site nine years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,311/25,209 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 11,627/25,209. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Saturdays Full Card Aqueduct & Churchill Downs Picks/Plays below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#7 Frizzante 9-5 30
#5 Indy Rags 4-1 29
#1 Military Road 3-1 28
#4 Hermoso Hombre 6-1 27

Race 2:

#7 Schlomo 8-5 28
#3 Princip 8-1 27
#6 Grand Commander 6-1 26
#1 Gunner Bay 9-5 26

Race 3:

#8 Bellamy 5-2 15
#6 Gualillo 3-1 15
#3 Lough Currane 8-1 14
#5 Reign It In 8-1 13

Race 4:

#5 Deterministic 6-5 36
#2 Battle of Normandy 6-1 35
#4 Uncatalyzed (GB) 5-1 33
#3 Montador 9-2 33

Race 5:

#3 Free Refills 6-1 16
#2 Probe 12-1 15
#8 Savvylicious 7-2 15
#5 Royal Ascendshin 8-1 14

Race 6:

#5 Sea Vista 7-5 31
#7 Favorite Day 2-1 30
#1 Morlock 5-1 28
#2 Toga d’Oro 8-1 27

Race 7:

#9 Chardonnay Derby 9-5 12
#3 Bengalese 6-1 11
#8 Vivienna 6-1 10
#1 All of My Whatif’s 15-1 9

Race 8:

#4 Spiced Up 8-1 35
#3 Twenty Six Black 7-5 34
#5 Dancing Buck 5-1 33
#6 Clock Tower 3-1 32

Race 9:

#4 Reside 9-2 26
#2 Whitby 3-1 25
#3 Thorsness 7-2 25
#5 Noguchi 6-1 24

Race 10:

#4 Complex Agenda 6-1 30
#6 Kulapat 5-1 29
#5 Sandborn 7-2 28
#3 Freaky 5-1 28

Race 11:

#8 Mykonos 6-1 16
#1 Pretrial Statement 5-1 15
#10 Naz 20-1 14
#6 Hot Off the Beach 5-1 14

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 7,5,1

Race 2: 7,3,6,1

Race 3: 8,6

Race 4: 5,2,4

Race 5: 3,2,8

$.50 Ticket: $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 7,3,6,1

Race 3: 8,6,3,5

Race 4: 5,2,4

Race 5: 3,2,8

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3: 8,6

Race 4: 5,2,4

Race 5: 3,2,8,5

Race 6: 5,7

Race 7: 9,3,8,1

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 5,2,4,3

Race 5: 3,2,8,5

Race 6: 5,7

Race 7: 9,3,8,1

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5: 3,2,8

Race 6: 5,7

Race 7: 9,3,8

Race 8: 4,3,5,6

Race 9: 4,2,3

$.50 Ticket: $108

Pick 6:

Race 6: 5

Race 7: 9,3

Race 8: 4,3,5,6

Race 9: 4,2

Race 10: 4,6,5

Race 11: 8,1,10,6

$.50 Ticket: $162

Late Pick 4:

Race 8: 4,3,5,6

Race 9: 4,2,3

Race 10: 4,6,5

Race 11: 8,1,10,6

$.50 Ticket: $72

Churchill Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#6 Cromwell 6-1 19
#11 Powershift 3-1 18
#3 Silent Way 4-1 18
#9 Winston Ave 9-2 17

Race 2:

#8 Taptastic 3-1 20
#4 Memory 9-2 19
#1 Out of the Woods 6-1 19
#2 Sovereign Law 8-1 18

Race 3:

#10 Vibe 6-1 34
#9 Keewaydin 8-1 33
#6 Who Dey 9-2 33
#5 John Hancock 6-1 32

Race 4:

#4 Ways and Means 8-5 38
#5 Splendora 2-1 37
#1 Usha 9-2 35
#6 R Disaster 6-1 33

Race 5:

#3 My Boy Prince 5-2 39
#5 Possiblemente 10-1 38
#9 Litigation 3-1 37
#7 Yellow Card 9-2 37

Race 6:

#2 Dragoon Guard 3-1 36
#10 Capital Idea 5-1 35
#4 Be You 7-2 34
#6 Tour Player 4-1 33

Race 7:

#3 Portfolio Duration (GB) 4-1 34
#1 Italian Soiree 10-1 33
#2 Sweet Rebecca 5-2 33
#5 Classic Q 6-1 32

Race 8:

#6 Crude Velocity 5-2 34
#1 Englishman 3-1 33
#4 Secured Freedom 20-1 31
#2 Trouble Calling 5-1 30

Race 9:

#12 Remember Mamba 9-2 33
#10 Vasy (IRE) 10-1 32
#14 Final Score 8-1 31
#2 Let’s Be Frank 30-1 29

Race 10:

#6 Knightsbridge 9-5 42
#7 Imagination 6-1 40
#1 Disco Time 6-1 39
#2 Cornucopian 7-5 38

Race 11:

#6 Rhetorical 5-2 36
#9 Test Score 7-2 35
#3 Asbury Park (GB) 8-1 34
#1 Corruption 15-1 33

Race 12:

#2 Albus 30-1 37
#18 Further Ado 6-1 36
#1 Renegade 4-1 36
#8 So Happy 15-1 35

Race 13:

#8 Gilded Bandit 3-1 32
#11 Noble Affair 9-2 31
#5 Hulkamania 8-1 30
#4 Ring Curl 15-1 29

Race 14:

#3 Interrogator 6-1 19
#1 Boylston 10-1 18
#8 Find No Fault 9-2 17
#7 Act of Parliament 6-1 17

Churchill Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 6,11,3,9

Race 2: 8,4,1

Race 3: 10,9,6,5

Race 4: 4,5

Race 5: 3,5,9

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 8,4,1,2

Race 3: 10,9,6,5

Race 4: 4,5

Race 5: 3,5,9,7

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3: 10,9,6,5

Race 4: 4,5

Race 5: 3,5,9,7

Race 6: 2,10,4

Race 7: 3,1,2

$.50 Ticket: $144

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 4,5

Race 5: 3,5,9,7

Race 6: 2,10,4,6

Race 7: 3,1,2,5

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5: 3,5,9,7

Race 6: 2,10,4

Race 7: 3,1,2,5

Race 8: 6,1

Race 9: 12,10,14

$.50 Ticket: $144

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6: 2,10,4,6

Race 7: 3,1,2,5

Race 8: 6,1

Race 9: 12,10,14,2

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 7: 3,1,2,5

Race 8: 6,1

Race 9: 12,10,14

Race 10: 6,7,1,2

Race 11: 6,9

Race 12: 2,18,1,8

$.20 Ticket: $153.60

Pick 5 (8-12):

Race 8: 6,1

Race 9: 12,10,14,2

Race 10: 6,7,1

Race 11: 6,9

Race 12: 2,18,1,8

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 4 (9-12):

Race 9: 12,10,14,2

Race 10: 6,7,1,2

Race 11: 6,9

Race 12: 2,18,1,8

$.50 Ticket: $64

Late Pick 5:

Race 10: 6,7,1,2

Race 11: 6,9

Race 12: 2,18,1,8

Race 13: 8,11,5

Race 14: 3,1,8

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 11: 6,9,3

Race 12: 2,18,1,8

Race 13: 8,11,5

Race 14: 3,1,8,7

$.50 Ticket: $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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