May 3rd, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

• May 2, 2024
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,533/20,752 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,541/20,752. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Churchill Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#1 Keep It Sexy 7-2                     25 1st e $7.70
#3 Two Redheads 3-1                 24
#5 Afilada 6-1                              23 scratched
#2 Love Like Crazy 7-2               23 4th

Race 2:

#1 Roman Grace 8-5                   29 2nd $2.50
#3 Lady Mine 2-1                         28
#5 Timely Conquest 6-1             27
#2 Dame Cinco 4-1                      27 1st $8.20

Race 3:

#5 La Mehana (FR) 5-2                37 3rd $6.10
#4 Mckulick (GB) 4-5                   36 4th
#3 Royalty Interest (FR) 12-1     35 1st $23.00
#1 Parnac (FR) 8-1                        34

Race 4:

#7 St. Benedicts Prep 1-1            31
#4 Roman Goddess 6-1                28 3rd $7.10
#5 Status Seeker 5-1                     27 1st $13.40
#1 Six Pack Senorita 8-1              27 2nd $9.30

Race 5:

#5 Sonic Speed 3-1                      32 2nd 4.30
#3 Thethrillofvictory 9-2            31 scratched 
#1 Shinsun 5-1                             30
#6 Leftembehind 8-1                   29 4th

Race 6:

#2 Repo Rocks 1-1                       38 3rd $2.60
#5 Accretive 4-1                           37 2nd $3.70
#6 General Jim 7-2                       36
#3 Quality Chic 8-1                      34 4th

Race 7:

#3 Research Results 5-1             19 3rd $3.00
#7 Final Edition (IRE) 3-1          18 2nd $4.00
#6 Frostelle 15-1                          18
#9 Side Eye 7-2                             17 4th

Race 8:

#4 Post Time 1-1                         39 2nd $2.70
#3 Messier 4-1                              37 1st $8.20 Ex $26.20
#2 Winit 10-1                                36 4th
#1 Adero 30-1                               34

Race 9:

#9 Union Trail 3-1                       18 1st $6.80
#11 English Castle 4-1                18
#3 My Life Story 5-2                    17 3rd $2.40
#4 Master Freud 15-1                  16 2nd $29.20

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  1,3,5,2

Race 2:  1,3 *3 scratched 1,5

Race 3:  5,4,3

Race 4:  7

Race 5:  5,3,1

$.50 Ticket:  $36

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  1,3,5,2

Race 3:  5,4

Race 4:  7,4,5

Race 5:  5,3,1

$.50 Ticket:  $36

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  5,4

Race 4:  7,4,5,1

Race 5:  5,3,1,6

Race 6:  2,5,6

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 6:

Race 4:  7

Race 5:  5,3,1,6

Race 6:  2,5,6

Race 7:  3,7,6,9

Race 8:  4

Race 9:  9,11,3

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  5,3,1,6

Race 6:  2,5,6

Race 7:  3,7,6,9

Race 8:  4,3

Race 9:  9,11,3

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  2,5

Race 7:  3,7,6,9

Race 8:  4,3,2,1

Race 9:  9,11,3,4

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Churchill Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#3 Penny Royal 7-2                       20 scratched
#4 Sundance Feature 4-1             19 1st $8.18
#1 Flawless Quality 10-1              18
#6 Thoughtful 5-2                         18 2nd $3.26

Race 2:

#11 Sedona 5-1                              32 2nd $5.24
#6 Wonder Ride 10-1                    31
#9 Sidamara 4-1                             31 1st $6.22
#1 Weigh the Risks 9-2                 30

Race 3:

#8 Arthur’s Ride 3-1                     33
#5 Injunction 5-1                          32 1st $8.18
#3 Prove Worthy 6-1                     31 3rd $6.38
#10 Brigadier General 6-1            31

Race 4:

#5 Justifiable Belle 8-1                  32
#3 Elysian Field 3-1                       31
#10 Stir Crazy 10-1                        30
#1 Swoop to Finish 10-1               30

Dirt Selections

#10 Stir Crazy 10-1 1st $8.84
#13 Into Disco 15-1 4th
#16 Batucada 10-1
#6 Bravo Kitten 6-1 scratched

Race 5:

#7 Dorth Vader 12-1                      36 4th
#4 Idiomatic 6-5                             36 1st $3.66
#5 Pretty Mischievous 5-2            35 3rd $2.48
#6 Xigera 3-1                                   34

Race 6:

#6 Miss Speedy 6-1                        39
#2 Ova Charged 7-2                       38 1st $3.48
#5 Elm Drive 5-1                             38
#3 Stone Silent 9-2                         37

Race 7:

#7 Tapit Trice 7-2                           38 scratched 
#3 First Mission 8-5                       37 1st $4.14
#6 Tumbarumba 8-1                      37 scratched 
#5 Il Miracolo 10-1                         36 3rd $6.10

Race 8:

#2 Aspen Grove (IRE) 6-1             35 3rd $6.10
#6 Surprisingly 5-1                        34
#12 Queens Command 12-1         34
#4 Heavenly Sunday 3-1                33 4th

Race 9:

#7 Denim and Pearls 3-1               34
#1 Impel 5-2                                     33 2nd $5.42
#10 Tanya Showers 8-1                  32
#9 Halina’s Forte 10-1                    31 4th

Race 10:

#4 Bucha 4-1                                    30
#9 Hard to Justify 2-1                     29
#13 Dancing N Dixie 12-1              28 3rd
#3 Scalable 15-1                               27

Race 11:

#3 Where’s My Ring 15-1              37
#8 Tarifa 7-2                                    36
#13 Just F Y I 9-2                            35 2nd $5.06
#5 Thorpedo Anna 5-1                  35 1st $10.98

Race 12:

#11 Almostgone Rocket 3-1         32 1st $6.08
#8 Twirling Good Time 4-1          31
#7 Tweetster 5-1                             30 3rd $3.64
#6 Mink’s Palace 15-1                    29 2nd $11.32

Race 13:

#8 Princess Madison 5-2               19
#2 Chilled 7-2                                  18
#7 Sustancia 10-1                           17
#6 Fancy 10-1                                  17

Churchill Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  3,4,1,6 4

Race 2:  11,6,9,1 9

Race 3:  8,5,3 5

Race 4:  5,3,10 Dirt: 10,13,16,6 10

Race 5:  7,4,5 4

$.50 Ticket:  $216 $697.34

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  11,6,9,1 9

Race 3:  8,5,3,10 5

Race 4:  5,3,10 Dirt: 10,13,16 10

Race 5:  7,4,5 4

$.50 Ticket:  $72 $132.12

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3:  8,5,3,10

Race 4:  5,3,10,1 Dirt: 10,13,16,6

Race 5:  7,4,5,6

Race 6:  6,2,5

Race 7:  7,3 *7 scratched using 3,6

$.50 Ticket:  $192 $150.91

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  5,3,10,1 Dirt: 10,13,16,6

Race 5:  7,4,5

Race 6:  6,2,5,3

Race 7:  7,3 *7 scratched using 3,6

$.50 Ticket:  $48 $31

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5:  7,4,5,6

Race 6:  6,2,5,3

Race 7:  7,3 *7 scratched using 3,6

Race 8:  2,6,12,4

Race 9:  7,1

$.50 Ticket:  $128

Pick 6:

Race 6:  6,2,5,3

Race 7:  7,3 *7 scratched using 3,6

Race 8:  2,6,12,4

Race 9:  7,1

Race 10: 4,9

Race 11:  3,8,13

$.20 Ticket:  $76.80

Pick 5 (7-11):

Race 7:  7,3,6,5

Race 8:  2,6,12,4

Race 9:  7,1

Race 10: 4,9

Race 11:  3,8,13,5

$.50 Ticket:  $128

Pick 4 (8-11):

Race 8:  2,6,12,4

Race 9:  7,1

Race 10: 4,9,13,3

Race 11:  3,8,13,5

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Late Pick 5:

Race 9:  7,1

Race 10: 4,9,13,3

Race 11:  3,8,13,5

Race 12:  11,8,7

Race 13:  8,2

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 10:  4,9,13,3

Race 11:  3,8,13,5

Race 12:  11,8,7,6

Race 13:  8,2

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.