May 4th , 2019 Free Picks & Plays

• May 3, 2019
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here on weekends through the Belmont Spring Meet. For Full Card Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site two and a half years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 68% of the time, and top choice is first or second 44% of the time. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

Derby Weekend we will have Belmont & Churchill Picks/Plays both Friday & Saturday…Belmont on Sunday…

*Purchase a “Two Day/Weekend Pass” on Friday or Saturday for Full Weekend Access…$8.99

*Purchase a “One Day Pass” Saturday for Full Derby Day Picks/Plays…$4.99

* There may or may not be a site issue, someone had a problem logging in this morning…So if you purchase a one or two day pass you will be emailed picks also just to be safe…

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#7 Latin Love Bug 8-1                    26
#5 Special Story 7-5                        25
#2 Thefinalcrazydude 2-1              25
#4 Hopper Dropper 8-1                  24

Race 3 :

#3 Scarf It Down 6-1                        27
#6 Mo Soul 9-5                                  27
#4 Adulation 10-1                             26
#1 Giant Trick 7-2                             25

Race 6 :

#4 Tribecca 4-1                                  33
#6 Runaway Lute 3-1                        32
#7 Mr. Dougie Fresh 4-5                   31
#3 Seethisquick 12-1                         29

Race 10 :

#8 Maraud 10-1                                 37
#2 Robert Bruce (CHI) 4-5               36
#6 Dr. Edgar 5-1                                 34
#9 Arrocha (BRZ) 8-1                        32

Race 11 :

#8 Prince Lucky 4-5                          38
#2 Realm 20-1                                    35
#7 Nicodemus 8-1                              33
#1 Sunny Ridge 7-2                            32

Churchill Selections

Race 1 :     Strength Variable :

#3 Curate 5-2                                     35
#2 Control Stake 5-2                         34
#6 Mr. Crow 2-1                                  34
#5 Kowboy Karma 10-1                     31

Race 2 :

#6 American Anthem 8-5                38
#1a My Boy Jack 7-2                          35
#4 King Zachary 3-1                          33
#1 General Downs 7-2                       32

Race 3 :

#4 Surooj 7-2                                       22
#1a Young Phillip 5-2                        20
#10 Admiral Brown 10-1                   18
#1 He’s Stylish 5-2                              18

Race 6 :

#2 Spiced Perfection 7-2                   39
#5 Amy’s Challenge 4-1                    38
#7 Marley’s Freedom 7-5                   38
#4 Talk Veuve to Me 4-1                    37

Race 9 :

#5 Seismic Wave 8-1                          32
#7 Casa Creed 6-1                               31
#1 A Thread of Blue 3-1                     30
#3 Digital Age (IRE) 6-1                     29

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.