May 6th , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

• May 4, 2021
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily. For Full Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site four years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 9433/14295, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6297/14295. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Going forward Picks/Plays will remain free on weekdays and posted here…Weekends will require the purchase of a One or Two Day/Weekend Pass…

*Thursday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays Below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#7 Up Seventyfour 2-1                   28 1st $4.40
#3 Lucky Sitka 6-1                          27
#6 Overdressed 5-2                         26 3rd $2.30
#2 Tap the Barrel 9-2                      25 2nd $5.40

Race 2 :

#6 Big City Momma 2-1                 18 3rd $4.80
#3 Back Channel 4-5                       17 4th
#1 Steal My Sunshine 7-2               16 2nd $6.10
#5 Bella Sofia 12-1                           15 1st $19.00 Spr $382

Race 3 :

#4 Great Workout 3-1                      30 4th
#2 Our Man Mike 7-2                       29 3rd $3.80
#6 Tiergan 8-5                                   28 2nd $3.90
#1 Bingo John 8-1                             27

Race 4 :

#8 Miss Alex 9-5                               15 2nd $4.00
#7 Tiny Magoo 5-2                            13 4th
#2 Madame Rose 30-1                      12
#4 Macy’s Home Run 9-2                 12 3rd $4.70

Race 5 :

#7 Millean 6-1                                      28 4th
#3 Advance Notice 6-5                        28 3rd $2.20
#4 Brazillionaire 4-1                            27 scratched
#1 Moonlight Now 6-1                         27

Race 6 :

#4 Prayer Book 5-1                                18
#3 Royale 3-1                                          17 1st $7.60
#2 Summer Silence 8-1                         16 2nd $8.40
#6 Snow’s Island 6-1                              16

Race 7 :

#7 Ifihadachance 6-1                            27
#1 Violent Trick 8-1                              26
#6 Midtown Rose 3-1                            25 1st $8.80
#4 Baby Boss 8-5                                    25 2nd $3.00

Race 8 :

#4 Silky Blue 8-5                                     31
#5 The Important One 6-1                    29
#2 Dancingwthdaffodls 12-1                28
#6 Screamin’ By 5-1                                27

Race 9 :

#11 Towering Gaze 4-1                          28
#5 Day’s Humor 8-1                                27
#4 Zerenia 3-1                                          27
#1 Quasar 12-1                                         26

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  7,3,6 7

Race 2 :  6,3,1,5 5

Race 3 :  4,2,6 x

Race 4 :  8 x

Race 5 :  7,3 x

$.50 Ticket :  $36

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  6,3,1,5 5

Race 3 :  4,2,6,1 x

Race 4 :  8,7 x

Race 5 :  7,3,4,1 x

$.50 Ticket :  $64

Pick 6 :

Race 4 :  8,7 x

Race 5 :  7,3,4 *4 scratched using 7,3,1 x

Race 6 :  4,3,2 3

Race 7 :  7,1,6 6

Race 8 :  4

Race 9 :  11,5,4

$1.00 Ticket :  $162

Late Pick 5 :

Race 5 :  7,3,4,1 x

Race 6 :  4,3,2,6 3

Race 7 :  7,1,6 6

Race 5 :  4,5

Race 6 :  11,5,4

$.50 Ticket :  $144

Late Pick 4 :

Race 6 :  4,3,2,6 3

Race 7 :  7,1,6 6

Race 8 :  4,5

Race 9 :  11,5,4,1

$.50 Ticket :  $48

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.