A Winning Day at the Races!

May 6th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 10,717/13,374, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 7,282/13,374. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for the people of Ukraine…

*The purchase of a “Kentucky Derby Weekend Pass” for $39.99 on Thursday or Friday will give you Full Access to BelmontChurchill Downs Picks/Plays & Stakes Analysis for both Friday/Saturday…(Visit the Membership Page Thursday/Friday for the Derby Weekend pass)…A “Kentucky Derby Saturday Pass” for $24.99 will be available Friday Evening…(Visit the Membership Page Friday Evening)…

Belmont Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#3 Royal Realm 7-5                      28
#4 Remembermom 6-5                27
#2 Yah Huh 15-1                           26
#6 Miracle Nicky 10-1                  26

Race 5:

#8 Khafre 4-1                                  30
#4 High Tide 5-2                            30
#6 Supply Chain 3-1                      29
#3 Alado 8-1                                    28

Churchill Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#3 Idiomatic 4-1                            29
#8 Fannie and Freddie 3-1           29
#6 Customer Driven 9-2               28
#4 Sequist 7-2                                 28

Race 5:

#1 Fluffy Socks 3-1                         34
#8 Bleecker Street 9-5                   33
#7 Curly Ruth 6-1                           33
#4 She Can’t Sing 8-1                    32

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.


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