A Winning Day at the Races!

November 11th , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 10,013/15,229, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6744/15229. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Thank you to all the Veterans that have served , especially those that made the ultimate sacrifice…

*We closed out the Belmont meet this past Sunday hitting both our Late Pick 5/4 Plays…Pick 5 $5365…Pick 4 $2039.50…Both on $72 tickets…

*Veterans Day Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#1 Out of Sight 7-2                        15 4th
#8 Saratoga Gaze 8-5                    14 2nd $2.80
#6 Caumsett 3-1                             13 1st $11.40
#3 Duckphat 10-1                           12

Race 2 :

#4 Forest Spirit 3-1                        27 2nd $7.80
#1 Black Irish 8-1                           26
#5 Great Workout 5-2                    26 4th
#3 Litterbox 4-1                              25

Race 3 :

#3 Candy Flower 5-2                      29 scratched
#2 Blue Atlas 6-1                             28 4th
#10 Lagom 10-1                               27
#5 Kreesie 9-2                                  27 scratched

Race 4 :

#7 Khafre 4-1                                    20
#6 Waxman 7-5                                 20 2nd $2.90
#1 Total Effort 8-1                            19
#2 Core Conviction 7-2                    18 1st $9.30

Race 5 :

#3 Graded On a Curve 6-5               32 1st $3.90
#6 Chulainn 10-1                               31 3rd $4.70
#11 Ghost Giant 8-1                          30 2nd $6.50 Tri $175
#1 Danzigwiththestars 8-1               30 4th Spr $811

Race 6 :

#3 Always Connected 6-1                 19
#1 Gun Boat 9-2                                  19 1st $8.10
#2 Vaccine of Hope 7-2                      18 2nd $4.20
#6 Nay Say (IRE) 3-1                           18 3rd $3.10

Race 7 :

#5 Twelth Man 2-1                              31
#3 Mr Fantasy 10-1                             29
#4 Rocco Strong 8-1                            28
#1 One Whirlwind Ride 6-1               28

Race 8 :

#3 Hidden Enemy (IRE) 6-1               33 *Best Bet 4th
#10 Ranger Fox 10-1                           32
#1 St. Joe Louis (GB) 7-2                     31
#4 Hombre 8-1                                      30

Race 9 :

#1 Now Yus Cant Leave 3-1               28
#10 Perhaps Tonight (IRE) 7-2          27
#7 Adriatic Rose 20-1                          27
#4 Lemon Taffy 12-1                            26

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  1,8,6 6

Race 2 :  4,1,5,3 x

Race 3 :  3,2,10 x

Race 4 :  7,6 x

Race 5 :  3,6 3

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  4,1,5,3 x

Race 3 :  3,2,10 x

Race 4 :  7,6,1,2 2

Race 5 :  3,6,11 3

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Pick 6 :

Race 4 :  7,6 x

Race 5 :  3 3

Race 6 :  3,1,2 1

Race 7 :  5,3,4 x

Race 8 :  3 x

Race 9 :  1,10

$1.00 Ticket :  $36

Late Pick 5 :

Race 5 :  3,6,11 3

Race 6 :  3,1,2,6 1

Race 7 :  5,3 x

Race 8 :  3,10,1 x

Race 9 :  1,10

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Late Pick 4 :

Race 6 :  3,1,2,6 1

Race 7 :  5,3,4 x

Race 8 :  3,10,1 x

Race 9 :  1,10

$.50 Ticket :  $36

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 


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