A Winning Day at the Races!

November 13th , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 10,023/15,247, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6752/15247. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#1 Summer Bourbon 2-1                29 3rd $2.10
#3 Binkster 3-1                                 28
#6 Dream Bigger 5-2                       27 4th
#4 Gran Casique 9-2                        26 2nd $6.80

Race 2 :

#2 Rally Squirrel 5-2                         16 1st $6.60
#10 Ghostmon 9-2                            15
#7 Bohemian Ruby 12-1                   13 4th
#5 Lucky Brody 10-1                         12

Dirt Selections

#16 Reunion Tour 4-1
#15 Grey Giant 5-1
#5 Lucky Brody 10-1
#1 Arrowheart 6-1

Race 3 :

#2 Quantitativbreezin 3-1              28 scratched
#6 Baba 2-1                                        27 3rd $2.40
#7 Rosey’s Peach 7-2                        26 1st $6.20
#5 Tappanzee 12-1                           25

Race 4 :

#8 Home for Christmas 3-1            29
#5 Finest Work 10-1                         28 3rd $8.10
#7 Tales of Makenna 6-1                 27
#1 Unicorn Sally 6-1                         27 4th

Dirt Selections

#15 With Hunter 1-1
#9 Cinderella’s Cause 20-1
#7 Tales of Makenna 6-1
#16 Left Leaning Lucy 6-1

Race 5 :

#3 Mister J T 5-1                               15 3rd $2.70
#8 Will Take Control 8-1                 14
#9 Rickys Revenge 4-1                     13 1st $12.00
#7 Immortalization 6-5                   13 2nd $2.60

Race 6 :

#1 Chanceux 2-1                                 17 1st $3.90
#7 Empire Ridge 6-1                          16 4th
#5 Pipito 8-1                                        15
#8 Snow Candy 8-1                             14

Dirt Selections

#2 Sky and Sand 8-5
#12 Inevtabl Conection 5-1
#1a Main Event 2-1
#13 Life Is Great 4-1

Race 7 :

#2 Breakfastatbonnies 9-5                 29 2nd $3.70
#5 Beautiful Karen 3-1                        28
#1 Honey Money 5-2                            27 3rd $3.20
#6 Ruvies in Time 6-1                          27

Race 8 :

#5 Happy Medium 2-5                         33 1st $2.70
#3 Rejected Again 10-1                       30
#4 Risk Profile 5-1                                29 2nd $2.80
#2 American Monarch 8-1                  28 3rd $3.60

Race 9 :

#3 Rinaldi 6-1                                       35 *Best Bet 4th
#6 Tell Your Daddy 3-1                       33 2nd $4.50
#11 Field Pass 9-2                                32 scratched
#1 Flavius 7-2                                        32 3rd $2.80

Dirt Selections

#7 En Wye Cee 8-1
#5 Bodecream 20-1
#10 Our Last Buck 5-2
#9 Bal Harbour 3-1

Race 10 :

#7 Half Birthday 7-2                           14
#3 Bistrita 5-1                                      13
#4 Tap the Heart 5-2                          12
#10 Classic Miss 6-1                           11

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  1,3,6 x

Race 2 :  2,10,7,5 Dirt : 16,15,5,1 2

Race 3 :  2,6 *2 scratched using 6,7 7

Race 4 :  8,5,7 Dirt : 15,9,7 x

Race 5 :  3,8,9 9

$.50 Ticket :  $108

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  2,10,7,5 Dirt : 16,15,5,1 2

Race 3 :  2,6 *2 scratched using 6,7 7

Race 4 :  8,5,7,1 Dirt : 15,9,7,16 x

Race 5 :  3,8,9,7 9

$.50 Ticket :  $64

Pick 6 :

Race 5 :  3,8,9,7 9

Race 6 :  1,7 Dirt : 2,12 1

Race 7 :  2,5 x

Race 8 :  5 5

Race 9 :  3,6 Dirt : 7,5 x

Race 10 : 7,3,4 *3 scratched using 7,4,10

$1.00 Ticket :  $96

Late Pick 5 :

Race 6 :  1,7,5,8 Dirt : 2,12,1a,13 1

Race 7 :  2,5,1 x

Race 8 :  5,3 5

Race 9 :  3,6 Dirt : 7,5 x

Race 10 : 7,3,4 *3 scratched using 7,4,10

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Late Pick 4 :

Race 7 :  2,5,1,6 x

Race 8 :  5,3,4 5

Race 9 :  3,6,11 Dirt : 7,5,10 x

Race 10 : 7,3,4 *3 scratched using 7,4,10

$.50 Ticket :  $54

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 


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