A Winning Day at the Races!
November 14th, 2026 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site ten years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,998/26,000 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 12,124/26,000. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*NFL Picks (ATS) Season 69-62 (53%)…Week Ten Picks Below…
Week One 8-6 (57%)…Week Six 7-7 (50%)…
Week Two 9-7 (56%)…Week Seven 8-5 (61%)…
Week Three 8-8 (50%)…Week Eight 7-7 (50%)…
Week Four 8-7 (53%)…Week Nine 7-8 (47%)…
Week Five 7-7 (50%)…
*Saturday’s Full Card Belmont Park & Churchill Downs Picks/Plays Below…
Belmont Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#5 Donegal Luster 8-5 19
#4 Smead 3-1 18
#2 Warspite 2-1 17
#1 Louden 5-1 16
Race 2:
#1 Hammerhead 5-2 33
#6 Spirit Prince 9-2 32
#3 Burhan (GB) 2-1 31
#4 Funny Factor 4-1 31
Race 3:
#2 Despo’s Dream 2-1 29
#6 Edistrudis 8-1 28
#5 Furry Fox 5-1 27
#8 Mursal 9-5 26
Race 4:
#7 Tiger Twenty Four 8-5 31
#9 Special Ops 8-1 29
#1 Uncle Jim 6-1 28
#2 Seeker’s Hope 8-1 27
Race 5:
#9 Momentary Star 3-1 19
#2 Bring Cash 5-2 19
#6 Special Warfare 8-1 18
#3 Kingsley 4-1 17
Race 6:
#8 No Evidence 7-2 33
#10 Final Verdict 5-1 32
#2 Flat to Da Mat 8-1 32
#7 Voodoo Doll 10-1 31
Race 7:
#4 Heavenly Light 3-1 29
#9 Vekomancer 7-2 28
#5 Princess Becca 5-1 27
#8 Miss Lao 9-2 27
Race 8:
#1 Just Joe 6-1 28
#5 Titan Ready 2-1 28
#4 Riyadh Way 8-1 27
#3 Metallican 12-1 27
Race 9:
#5 Brickyard Belle 2-1 32
#9 Fanshell Beach 4-1 30
#7 Zomoroda 6-1 29
#4 Yuquot (FR) 6-1 29
Race 10:
#12 Sidearm 7-2 34
#3 Filoso 6-1 33
#9 Playa Del Mar 2-1 32
#2 First Mover 8-1 32
Belmont Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 5,4,2
Race 2: 1,6,3
Race 3: 2,6,5,8
Race 4: 7,9,1,2
Race 5: 9,2
$.50 Ticket: $144
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 1,6,3
Race 3: 2,6,5,8
Race 4: 7,9,1,2
Race 5: 9,2
$.50 Ticket: $48
Pick 5 (3-7):
Race 3: 2,6,5,8
Race 4: 7,9,1,2
Race 5: 9,2
Race 6: 8,10,2
Race 7: 4,9
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 4 (4-7):
Race 4: 7,9,1,2
Race 5: 9,2,6,3
Race 6: 8,10,2
Race7: 4,9
$.50 Ticket: $48
Pick 6:
Race 5: 9,2
Race 6: 8,10,2
Race 7: 4,9
Race 8: 1,5,4
Race 9: 5
Race 10: 12,3,9
$1.00 Ticket: $108
Late Pick 5:
Race 6: 8,10,2
Race 7: 4,9,5,8
Race 8: 1,5,4
Race 9: 5,9
Race 10: 12,3,9
$.50 Ticket: $108
Late Pick 4:
Race 7: 4,9,5,8
Race 8: 1,5,4
Race 9: 5,9,7,4
Race 10: 12,3,9
$.50 Ticket: $72
Churchill Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#3 Spirit of a Walkon 2-1 29
#1 Max Money 6-1 28
#7 Fletcher Bay 9-2 27
#2 Special Caliber 7-2 27
Race 2:
#2 Treat Yourself 9-2 19
#1 Isabelle’s Music 8-1 18
#7 Quality Lace 7-2 17
#4 Fletch’s Rockette 4-1 16
Race 3:
#2 Haulin Ice 3-1 34
#5 Indy Bay 4-1 33
#6 Justinqueso 5-1 32
#1 Mystic Lake 4-1 31
Race 4:
#4 Kerness K 3-1 33
#1 Swirvin 9-2 32
#7 Delta Tau Chi 6-1 32
#2 Dancin for Gold 8-1 31
Race 5:
#5 Nerazurri 4-5 34
#1 Smiling Ellie 9-2 32
#4 Bijou Baby (ON) 12-1 31
#3 Notable Exchange 6-1 30
Race 6:
#5 Coquito 8-5 29
#8 No Other Like You 4-1 28
#7 Mad About Marie 7-2 27
#9 Argan 6-1 26
Race 7:
#4 Metatron’s Muse 10-1 30
#10 Freedom Road 9-2 30
#1 Ironsides 7-2 29
#3 Cowboy Mike 3-1 28
Race 8:
#3 Talkin in Cursive 5-2 28
#7 Lady Annabelle 6-1 28
#10 Blazing Affair 15-1 27
#8 Arrasou 12-1 27
Race 9:
#9 Cinister Cix 6-1 35
#11 Proprietary Trade 6-1 34
#6 Jungle Glow 8-1 34
#4 Artemus Citylimits 8-1 33
Race 10:
#14 Defending Albert 9-2 33
#1 Military Road 6-1 32
#8 Air of Defiance 6-1 32
#3 Five o’ Somewhere 4-1 31
Race 11:
#1 Expect the Best 3-1 34
#8 Break Out 6-1 33
#5 Carolo Rapido 9-2 32
#3 Papa Yo 4-1 31
Race 12:
#2 Unit Economics (GB) 6-5 34
#1 War Officer 15-1 33
#12 Funny Uncle 8-1 32
#9 Pike Place 15-1 32
Churchill Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 3,1,7,2
Race 2: 2,1,7
Race 3: 2,5,6
Race 4: 4,1
Race 5: 5
$.50 Ticket: $36
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 2,1,7,4
Race 3: 2,5,6
Race 4: 4,1,7
Race 5: 5
$.50 Ticket: $18
Pick 5 (3-7):
Race 3: 2,5,6,1
Race 4: 4,1,7,2
Race 5: 5,1
Race 6: 5,8,7
Race 7: 4,10,1
$.50 Ticket: $144
Pick 4 (4-7):
Race 4: 4,1,7,2
Race 5: 5,1
Race 6: 5,8,7,9
Race 7: 4,10,1,3
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 5 (5-9):
Race 5: 5,1
Race 6: 5,8,7
Race 7: 4,10,1,3
Race 8: 3,7
Race 9: 9,11,6,4
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 4 (6-9):
Race 6: 5,8,7,9
Race 7: 4,10,1,3
Race 8: 3,7
Race 9: 9,11,6,4
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 6 :
Race 7: 4,10,1,3
Race 8: 3,7
Race 9: 9,11,6,4
Race 10: 14,1,8
Race 11: 1,8,5
Race 12: 2
$.20 Ticket: $57.60
Late Pick 5:
Race 8: 3,7,10,8
Race 9: 9,11,6,4
Race 10: 14,1,8
Race 11: 1,8,5
Race 12: 2,1,12
$.50 Ticket: $216
Late Pick 4:
Race 9: 9,11,6,4
Race 10: 14,1,8,3
Race 11: 1,8,5,3
Race 12: 2,1,12
$.50 Ticket: $96
College Football Picks
South Florida +3.5
Pittsburgh -3.5
UCLA -10.5
Wake Forest +1.5
Cincinnati +2.5
Duke +13.5
Northwestern +13.5
Auburn -2.5
Maryland +9.5
Connecticut +3.5
Rutgers +14.5
Georgia Tech +13.5
Alabama -17.5
Temple -2.5
Coastal Carolina -1.5
Tulane +2.5
Tennessee -2.5
Delaware -4.5
Western Kentucky +7.5
Oregon -10.5
BYU -7.5
UCF -3.5
Georgia -15.5
Indiana -8.5
Washington -3.5
Ole Miss -1.5
West Virginia -2.5
Kentucky -3.5
Minnesota +9.5
Louisville -3.5
Utah -2.5
Texas +3.5
South Carolina -7.5
North Texas -2.5
Texas Tech +3.5
NFL Picks
Giants -1.5
Lions -2.5
Titans +10.5
Chiefs -3.5
Saints -2.5
Bills -7.5
Texans -4.5
Dolphins +3.5
Packers -3
Rams -9.5
Seahawks -6.5
49ers -4.5
Bengals -3.5
Ravens -4.5
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
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