A Winning Day at the Races!

November 16th, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

*Free Picks/Plays will be posted here on certain days…Visit the “Membership Page” for Full Access on all other days…

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 12,986/19,888, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,135/19,888. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Still dealing with complications from Covid, hope to have Aqueduct Picks/Plays available all week…

*Visit the Membership Page to Purchase “Weekend Pass” on Thursday or Friday…$23.99 for Full Access to Friday, Saturday, and Sunday’s Aqueduct Picks/Plays…

 *Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#4 African Waters 8-5                18 2nd $3.00
#5 Paris Style (FR) 7-5                17 1st $3.60
#2 Dreaming of Mo 5-2              16 4th
#1 Allegedly 8-1                           15

Race 2:

#1 Face Abarrio 7-2                      27
#3 Three Zero 3-1                         26
#8 Playingwithmatches 9-2        26 1st $10.20
#5 Mudville Nine 7-2                    25 3rd $3.50

Race 3:

#2 Saving Memories 8-1              14 4th
#1 Miss Bourbon 6-1                    13
#4 Ekwanok 2-1                             13 scratched 
#5 Munny Grab 3-1                       12 1st $3.70

Race 4:

#1 Howzyourcashflow 8-5            28 1st $4.20
#2 Jolly Miss Jill 5-2                       27
#1a Chasing Daylight 8-5             27 1st $4.20
#6 Vintage 9-2                                 26

Race 5:

#10 Ski Patrol 6-1                           29 2nd $4.00
#2 Tommy Gun 6-1                         28 1st $13.60 Ex $62.50
#1 Moving Pictures 8-1                  27
#8 Commerce Comet 9-2               27

Race 6:

#4 Clever Forever 5-2                      18 2nd $2.50
#6 Fortune’s Nephew 7-2               17 1st $5.20 Ex $10.60
#2 Beary Funny 3-1                         17 3rd $3.00 Tri $26
#1 Caldo Candy 4-1                         16 4th Spr $53

Race 7:

#4 Shinsun 9-2                                  29
#1 Lt. Mitchell 8-1                            28
#7 Be of Courage 3-1                        28 4th
#9 Rocket and Roll 5-1                     27 3rd

Race 8:

#8 Majestic Return 4-1                     30 2nd $4.10
#3 Cousin Kristi 6-1                          29 4th
#6 Tempermental 9-2                       29 3rd $3.10
#7 Timely Conquest 2-1                   28

Race 9:

#11 War Officer 7-2                           17
#12 Champagne Juan 8-1                 16
#5 Heart N Soul 6-1                           15
#4 Right to Win (IRE) 5-2                 15

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  4,5 5

Race 2:  1,3,8,5 8

Race 3:  2,1,4,5 5

Race 4:  1/1a,2 1a

Race 5:  10,2,1 2

$.50 Ticket:  $96 $249.50

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  1,3,8,5 8

Race 3:  2,1,4,5 5

Race 4:  1/1a,2 1a

Race 5:  10,2,1,8 2

$.50 Ticket:  $64 $111.37

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  2,1,4,5 5

Race 4:  1/1a,2 1a

Race 5:  10,2,1,8 2

Race 6:  4,6,2 6

$.50 Ticket:  $48 $65.62

Pick 6:

Race 4:  1/1a

Race 5:  10,2,1,8

Race 6:  4,6

Race 7:  4,1,7

Race 8:  8,3,6

Race 9:  11,12,5

$1.00 Ticket:  $216

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  10,2,1

Race 6:  4,6

Race 7:  4,1,7

Race 8:  8,3,6,7

Race 9:  11,12,5,4 *4 scratched using 11,12,5,8

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  4,6

Race 7:  4,1,7,9

Race 8:  8,3,6,7

Race 9:  11,12,5,4 *4 scratched using 11,12,5,8

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 


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