November 18th , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

• November 17, 2021
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 10,036/15,266, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6,761/15,266. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#2 North Carolina 3-1                    17 2nd $4.20
#9 Conquer the World 5-2             16 1st $10.20 Ex $52.50
#5 Please the Phar0ah 10-1           15 3rd $5.00 Tri $266
#4 Bathus (IRE) 9-2                         15

Race 2 :

#4 Curlin’s Wisdom 7-2                  16 3rd $3.60
#7 Barrel of Quests 10-1                 15
#8 Your Mission 5-1                         15 2nd $10.20
#5 Wicked Bobby 8-1                       14

Race 3 :

#7 Nicky the Vest 9-5                       32
#4 Thorny Tale 2-1                           31 2nd $6.60
#8 Troubleshooter 6-1                     30
#5 Durkin’s Call 8-1                          29 3rd $4.20

Race$ 4 :

#5 Sidd Finch 6-1                             28 2nd $4.90
#1 Halpert 9-2                                   27
#11 Bar Fourteen 8-1                       27
#4 Western Advantage 8-1             26

Race 5 :

#7 Russiarussiarussia 5-2               15 3rd $2.20
#12 Samhradh 8-1                            15
#10 Can’t Catch Kacy 15-1             14
#11 New Ginya 6-1                           14 1st $24.40

Race 6 :

#7 Saratoga Beauty 2-1                    28 1st $3.30
#2 Annika Gold 8-1                           27 2nd $4.70 Ex $19.40
#6 Big Al’s Gal 9-5                             26 scratched
#1 Gentle Annie 7-2                          26

Race 7 :

#2 Steelersfanforlife 20-1                 29
#4 Phantom Smoke 4-1                     29 2nd $3.70
#5 Dancing Buck 7-2                          28 1st $7.00
#1 Alphalfa 8-1                                    27 scratched

Race 8 :

#5 Barrage 9-2                                    30
#12 Battle Scars 6-1                           29 4th
#10 Neuro 12-1                                   29
#4 Lord Flintshire 6-1                        28 3rd $4.30

Race 9 :

#5 Bointheback 9-2                            15
#6 Workingman’s Dude 6-1              14
#9 Juggler 7-2                                      14
#7 Cool Giant 8-1                                13

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  2,9 9

Race 2 :  4,7,8 x

Race 3 :  7,4 x

Race 4 :  5,1,11,4 x

Race 5 :  7,12,10,11 11

$.50 Ticket :  $96

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  4,7,8,5 x

Race 3 :  7,4 x

Race 4 :  5,1,11,4 x

Race 5 :  7,12,10,11 11

$.50 Ticket :  $64

Pick 6 :

Race 4 :  5,1,11,4 x

Race 5 :  7 x

Race 6 :  7 7

Race 7 :  2,4,5 5

Race 8 :  5,12,10

Race 9 :  5,6,9

$1.00 Ticket :  $108

Late Pick 5 :

Race 5 :  7,12,10,11 11

Race 6 :  7,2,6 *6 scratched using 7,2,1 7

Race 7 :  2,4,5 5

Race 8 :  5,12,10

Race 9 :  5,6

$.50 Ticket :  $108

Late Pick 4 :

Race 6 :  7,2,6,1 7

Race 7 :  2,4,5,1 5

Race 8 :  5,12,10

Race 9 :  5,6,9

$.50 Ticket :  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.