November 19th , 2017 Free Picks & Plays

• November 18, 2017
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

*Free Picks will appear in this space daily, to get full card picks and plays, comments, and stakes analysis, please visit the member area.

*Updated stats as of 11/01/17 , since website was launched July of 2016 :

• Winner in top three picks 67% of the time 2496/3734.
• Top Choice finishing 1st or 2nd 44% of the time 1657/3734.

*Rain is expected late evening and in the morning Sunday. If need be adjustments will be made after changes are made available.

*Update 9:30 ,Nyra Has Cancelled Racing.

*Update 10:20 ,Will be adding Full Del Mar Picks Below Shortly.

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1 :           Strength Variable :

#4 Fooch 9-5                                        24
#6 Disruptor 7-2                                  22
#1a Love Your Buttons 5-2                20
#2 Seethisquick 6-1                            18

Race 3 :

#5 Loki’s Vengeance 5-2                      34
#6 Gold for the King 2-1                      33
#2 Sudden Surprise 5-1                        31
#1 Becker’s Galaxy 7-2                         29

Race 5 :

#4 Abiding Star 6-1                               28
#6 Shalako 3-1                                        26
#5 Mills 5-2                                              25
#1 For Greater Glory 9-5                       25

Race 8 :

#5 Skyler’s Scramjet 7-2                       31
#3 Favorable Outcome 6-5                   30
#1 Harlan Punch 3-1                             28
#6 Always a Suspect 8-1                       26

Aqueduct Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  4,6,1a

Race 2 :  7,3,2

Race 3 :  5

Race 4 :  9,5,8,2

Race 5 :  4,6,5

$.50 Ticket :  $54

Churchill Selections

Race 3 :

#1a Awestruck 1-1                                  32
#1 Upstage 1-1                                        30
#3 Honor Ride 6-1                                  28
#5 Drinks On Broadway 12-1                26

Race 6 :

#10 Cutacorner 12-1                              25
#9 Jack Tripp 7-2                                     24
#8 Academy Bay 3-1                               23
#3 Salsa’s Return 5-2                              21

Race 8 :

#7 Diamond Jim 3-1                                22
#10 Oso Ready 7-2                                   21
#2 Nicky Numbers 10-1                          18
#5 Win With Pride 5-1                            16

Race 9 :

#10 Excitations 7-2                                  34
#4 Blame Will 15-1                                   31
#6 Unbridled Outlaw 5-1                         30
#1 Jazzy Times 5-1                                    29

Churchill Late Pick 4 :

Race 7 :  2,12,9,11

Race 8 :  7,10,2,5

Race 9 :  10,4

Race 10 : 7,2,6,5

$.50 Ticket :  $64

Del Mar Selections

Race 1 :           Strength Variable :

#2 Mo See Cal 5-2                               18
#4 Lucky At the Bay 6-1                     17
#8 Super Patriot 2-1                           17
#1 X S Gold 5-1                                    15

Race 2 :

#4 Special Story 5-2                            25
#6 Fire to the Wire 3-1                       24
#7 Orejas 5-1                                        22
#2 Handful of Stripes 7-2                   21

Race 3 :

#3 Hotsy Dotsy 7-2                              23
#4 Alpha Pegasus 8-1                          22
#5 Let Me Flatter You 3-1                   20
#2 Ciao Bella Rosa 5-2                         20

Race 4 :

#9 Lady Phyllis 3-1                               26
#3 Winsinfashion 7-2                           25
#8 We Will Re Joyce 12-1                     23
#4 Midnight Summer 6-1                    21

Race  5 :

#4 Black Tie ‘n Tails 5-2                      26
#2 Two Thirty Five 7-2                         25
#6 Have Some Pride 5-1                       23
#7 Zapana’s Game 10-1                        22

Race 6 :

#3 Marley’s Freedom 7-2                      28 *Best Bet
#4 Instant Reflex 4-1                             25
#2 Wonderful Lie 6-1                             23
#7 Heart of the Nile 3-1                        22

Race 7 :

#5 Phantom Opening 5-1                       28
#6 Dominating Woman 9-2                    27
#4 Salten Sapity 10-1                               25
#2 Tweeting 6-1                                        23

Race 8 :

#7 Edwards Going Left 3-1                     33
#4 Green With Eddie 15-1                      31
#6 Jimmy Bouncer 6-1                             30
#2 Solid Wager 7-2                                   30

Race 9 :

#3 Bold Papa 3-1                                       24
#7 Gosofar 7-2                                           23
#2 Schooley 4-1                                         21
#11 Lord Admiral 12-1                             19

Del Mar Late Pick 4 :

Race 6 :  3,9

Race 7 :  5,6,4,2

Race 8 :  7,4,6,2

Race 9 :  3,7,2,11

$.50 Ticket :  $64

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by four, five or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.