A Winning Day at the Races!

November 22nd , 2018 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here on weekends through the Aqueduct Meet. For Full Card Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site two years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 68% of the time, and top choice is first or second 42% of the time. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

Happy Thanksgiving All!!

Full Card Aqueduct Picks & Plays Below

Aqueduct Selections

*Off the turf once again, will make adjustments after scratches.

Race 1 :        Strength Variable :

#1 Gattino Marrone 10-1               19
#5 Lem Me Have It 6-5                   19
#6 Awesome Alana 5-2                   18
#3 Fika 8-1                                        17

Race 2 :

#6 Mercurian 5-2                             23
#3 Shanghai Glory 4-1                    22
#2 Elizabeth Nicole 7-2                   22
#5 Orchid Party 7-5                          22

Race 3 :

#9 Appointment 10-1                       21
#2 Wicked Grin 5-2                           21
#8 Exchange Fever 9-2                     20
#11 Bobby Man 2-1 AE                     20
#6 Worth a Shot 7-2                          18

Dirt Selections

#9 Appointment 10-1
#16 Iron Fork 3-1
#15 Seed Money 8-1
#5 Bydawnsearlylight 8-1
#11 Bobby Man 2-1

Race 4 :

#8 Hot Sriracha 7-5                           21
#7 Party On Prospect 5-1                19
#3 Fox Red 4-1                                   18
#1 Hot Mesa 6-1                                16

Race 5 :

#1 Dark Ops 1-1                                 27
#5 One More Tom 12-1                     25
#4 Three to Thirteen 9-2                  24
#7 Hokulea 10-1                                 22

Race 6 :

#8 Letterman 6-1                                20
#9 A I Initiative 5-2                            20
#13 Quality Choice 12-1 AE              19
#2 Novus 8-1                                        18
#6 Support Our Cause 8-1                 17

Dirt Selections

#6 Support Our Cause 8-1
#16 Metaphorical 5-1
#2 Novus 8-1
#1 Wild William 10-1

Race 7 :

#5 Empire of War 1-1                         30
#1 Order and Law 5-2                         29
#7 Five Star General 5-1                     28
#3 Doups Point 12-1                            26

Dirt Selections

#7 Five Star General 5-1
#1 Order and Law 5-2
#5 Empire of War 1-1
#3 Doups Point 12-1

Race 8 :

#9 Heartwood 4-1                                34
#5 Runaway Lute 7-2                           33
#6 Win With Pride 15-1                      32
#7 Always Sunshine 6-1                      32

Race 9 :

#4 Andina Del Sur 8-1                         31
#3 Competitionofideas 7-2                 30
#10 Romantic Moment 12-1               28
#6 Got Stormy 8-1                                 27

Dirt Selections

#4 Andina Del Sur 8-1
#12 Matty’s Magnum 6-1
#3 Competitionofideas 7-2
#10 Romantic Moment 12-1

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  1,5,6,3

Race 2 :  6,3,2,5

Race 3 :  9,2,8 Dirt : 9,16,15

Race 4 :  8

Race 5 :  1,5,4

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  6,3,2,5

Race 3 :  2,8,11,9 Dirt :  9,16,15,5

Race 4 :  8,7

Race 5 :  1,5,4

$.50 Ticket :  $48

Late Pick 5 :

Race 5 :  1,5,4,7

Race 6 :  8,9,13 Dirt :  6,16,2

Race 7 :  5,1 Dirt :  7,1

Race 8 :  9,5,6

Race 9 :  4,3,10 Dirt :  4,12,3

$.50 Ticket :  $108

Late Pick 4 :

Race 6 :  8,9,13,2 Dirt : 6,16,2,1

Race 7 :  5,1 Dirt :  7,1

Race 8 :  9,5,6,7

Race 9 :  4,3,10,6 Dirt :  4,12,3,10

$.50 Ticket :  $64

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


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