A Winning Day at the Races!
November 27th , 2020 Free Picks & Plays
*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily. For Full Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.
*Since the launch of this site four years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 8710/13149, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 5745/13149. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…
Happy Thanksgiving!!
*All content will be posted here on the Free Page through the Holiday Weekend…
Aqueduct Selections
*Races 2 & 10 are off the turf, picks will be updated after scratches & changes…
Race 1 : Strength Variable :
#5 Reunion Tour 7-2 16 3rd
#3 Our Man Mike 4-5 15 scratched
#6 A Longlongtimeago 9-2 14 scratched
#4 Full Moon Fever 12-1 13 scratched
Race 2 :
#11 Miss Dracarys 6-1 AE 18
#12 O’Gotten Girl 5-2 AE 17
#9 Palm Court 8-1 16
#1 Stuck On Kitten 7-2 15
#7 Except Temptation 30-1 15
#2 Singe 4-1 14
Dirt Selections
#16 Shop Girl 5-2 1st $5.60
#2 Singe 4-1 scratched
#9 Palm Court 8-1
#14 Mun Luv 4-1 2nd $3.10
Race 3 :
#4 Viradia 9-2 29 3rd $2.70
#1 Movie Score 4-1 28 scratched
#1a Stay Fond 4-1 28
#9 Nana’s Shoes 5-1 27 scratched
Race 4 :
#8 Impazible Donna 4-1 30 2nd $3.60
#7 Ellarella 8-1 29
#3 Honey Money 6-1 28 3rd $3.30
#4 Spin a Yarn 8-5 27 1st $3.70
Race 5 :
#6 Price Talk 9-2 34 3rd $3.70
#11 Bodecream 5-1 34 2nd $9.40
#4 Basquiat 4-1 33
#2 Ajourneytofreedom 6-1 32 4th
Race 6 :
#9 Sirenic 5-2 29 2nd $3.80
#3 Suz 8-1 29 1st $49.60 Ex $227
#1 Miss Liana 12-1 28 4th
#5 Fair Lassie 9-2 28 3rd $6.00 Spr $11,269
Race 7 :
#4 Pete’s Play Call 7-5 33 1st $5.00
#5 Cucina 10-1 32
#1 Clench 8-5 31 3rd $2.10
#6 Secret Rules 8-1 30 2nd $5.40
Race 8 :
#3 Ice Princess 12-1 32 2nd $6.60
#5 Thankful 4-1 32 3rd $4.10
#1 Miss Marissa 3-1 31
#4 My Sweet Wife 15-1 30
Race 9 :
#4 Feel Glorious (GB) 9-2 36 1st $9.80
#9 Myhartblongstodady 4-1 35 3rd $3.20
#12 Tapit Today 2-1 34 2nd $3.10 Tri $103
#2 Simplicity (FR) 15-1 33
Race 10 :
#10 Trade Deadline 2-1 15
#9 Moonshine Now 4-1 14
#3 Accessible 9-2 14
#7 Prince of Caps 8-1 13
Dirt Selections
#15 Southerner 5-1 scratched
#1 This Ill Defend 8-1 2nd
#3 Accessible 9-2
#4 Bourbon Rising 12-1 3rd
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5 :
Race 1 : 5,3,6 x
Race 2 : 11,12,9,1 Dirt : 16,2,9,14 16
Race 3 : 4,1/1a x
Race 4 : 8,7,3 x
Race 5 : 6,11,4 x
$.50 Ticket : $108
Early Pick 4 :
Race 2 : 11,12,9,1 Dirt : 16,2,9,14 16
Race 3 : 4,1/1a,9 x
Race 4 : 8,7,3,4 4
Race 5 : 6,11 x
$.50 Ticket : $48
Pick 6 :
Race 5 : 6,11,4,2 x
Race 6 : 9,3,1,5 3
Race 7 : 4 4
Race 8 : 3,5,1 x
Race 9 : 4,9,12 4
Race 10 : 10,9 Dirt : 15,1
$.20 Ticket : $57.60
Late Pick 5 :
Race 6 : 9,3,1,5 3
Race 7 : 4,5,1 4
Race 8 : 3,5,1 x
Race 9 : 4,9 4
Race 10 : 10,9,3 Dirt : 15,1,3
$.50 Ticket : $108
Late Pick 4 :
Race 7 : 4,5,1 4
Race 8 : 3,5,1 x
Race 9 : 4,9,12 4
Race 10 : 10,9,3,7 Dirt : 15,1,3,4
$.50 Ticket : $54
Churchill Selections
Race 1 : Strength Variable :
#2 Mau Mau 2-1 14 1st $5.60
#3 Niles Channel 3-1 13 2nd $3.60 Ex $15.60
#1 Lemon and Diem 7-2 12 3rd $3.20 Tri $55.40
#4 Shananies Paynter 12-1 11
Race 2 :
#6 Unspoken Memories 8-1 12
#3 Bold Delivery 10-1 11 2nd $2.80
#11 Payster 9-2 10 3rd
#8 Goodtime Artie 7-2 9 2nd $3.20
Race 3 :
#2 Silver State 6-5 33 1st $3.60
#3 Straight Shot 5-2 32 3rd $2.20
#1 Shashashakemeup 12-1 31 2nd $4.00 Tri $20.80
#4 Dennis’ Moment 7-5 30
Race 4 :
#3 Barakat 7-2 19
#5 Dr. Roger 4-1 18 4th
#2 He’smyhoneybadger 7-2 18 2nd $6.60
#6 Manitowish 6-1 17
Race 5 :
#2 Honorable Memory 6-1 30
#6 Jilted Bride 3-1 30 2nd $3.40
#5 Never Forget 5-2 29 3rd $2.80
#3 She Can’t Sing 2-1 29 1st $4.40
Race 6 :
#5 Shes Got It 8-1 17 2nd $11.40
#1 Ship It 5-2 16 scratched
#10 Andrea’s Angel 15-1 15
#2 Blossom Road 6-1 15 1st $11.20
Race 7 :
#8 Stripping 9-2 30 3rd $4.20
#9 Tonal Vision 4-1 29 4th
#2 Funnybet 7-2 28 1st $10.00
#5 Hat Tip 15-1 27
Race 8 :
#6 Tempers Rising 5-2 31 3rd $2.60
#2 Villanelle 7-2 29 1st $10.40
#8 Matt’s Honey 15-1 28
#7 Longpants Required 10-1 28
Race 9 :
#4 Hog Creek Hustle 3-1 36 1st $8.20
#8 Looking At Bikinis 2-1 35 4th
#6 Casino Star 8-1 34
#3 Empty Tomb 6-1 32
Race 10 :
#5 Aurelius Maximus 8-1 40
#14 Silver Prospector 15-1 39
#3 Code of Honor 3-1 39 2nd $4.00
#10 Bourbon Calling 30-1 38
Race 11 :
#1 My Mane Girl 3-1 18
#7 Silverbella 9-5 17 scratched
#3 Atlanta 20-1 16 1st $37.20
#4 Speighty Shirl 3-1 16
Churchill Plays
Early Pick 5 :
Race 1 : 2,3,1 2
Race 2 : 6,3,11,8 x
Race 3 : 2,3 2
Race 4 : 3,5,2 x
Race 5 : 2,6,5 x
$.50 Ticket : $108
Early Pick 4 :
Race 2 : 6,3,11,8 x
Race 3 : 2,3,1 2
Race 4 : 3,5,2 x
Race 5 : 2,6,5,3 3
$.50 Ticket : $72
Pick 5 (4-8) :
Race 4 : 3,5,2,6 x
Race 5 : 2,6,5 x
Race 6 : 5,1,10,2 2
Race 7 : 8,9,2 2
Race 8 : 6 x
$.50 Ticket : $72
Pick 4 (5-8) :
Race 5 : 2,6,5,3 3
Race 6 : 5,1,10,2 2
Race 7 : 8,9,2,5 2
Race 8 : 6,2 2
$.50 Ticket : $64 $173
Pick 6 (6-11) :
Race 6 : 5,1,10,2 2
Race 7 : 8,9,2 2
Race 8 : 6,2 2
Race 9 : 4,8 4
Race 10 : 5,14,3
Race 11 : 1,7,3,4
$.20 Ticket : $115.20
Late Pick 5 :
Race 7 : 8,9,2 2
Race 8 : 6,2 2
Race 9 : 4,8,6 4
Race 10 : 5,14,3
Race 11 : 1,7 *7 scratched using 1,3,4
$.50 Ticket : $54
Late Pick 4 :
Race 8 : 6,2 2
Race 9 : 4,8,6,3 4
Race 10 : 5,14,3,10
Race 11 : 1,7,3,4
$.50 Ticket : $64
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
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