November 27th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays

• November 26, 2025
• Free Picks & Plays
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Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,717/24,288 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 11,190/24,288. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Late Pick 4 for us last Thursday at Aqueduct…$399.75 on a $64 ticket…

*Late Pick 5 for us last Saturday at Aqueduct…$500.83 on a $36 ticket…

*Thursdays Full Card Churchill Dows Picks/Plays below…

*Happy Thanksgiving!!

Churchill Downs Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#3 Cool Andy 3-1                    28 4th
#6 Right On Right On 5-2     27 scratched
#5 Barricade 8-1                      27
#7 Yellow Brick 7-2                 26 3rd $3.80

Race 2:

#4 Fielding 6-1                         29
#7 Risk It 5-1                            28 2nd $5.30
#8 Map to the Stars 5-2          27 1st $5.18
#1 Sinister Smile 4-1               27

Race 3:

#4 Secured Lender 2-1             31
#3 Uncle William 5-1               30 scratched 
#1 Pair of Socks 4-1                  29 2nd $4.26
#2 Turn Up the Trees 3-1         28 1st $6.60

Race 4:

#5 Quantum Burst 6-1              30 scratched 
#4 Amarth 4-1                            29 scratched 
#7 Decadent 7-2                         29 2nd $3.24
#1 Sweet Seraphine 3-1            28 3rd $2.20

Race 5:

#4 Give Her Another 3-1           27 3rd $2.44
#5 Toasted Roll 4-1                    26 scratched 
#9 Tempers Fly 7-2                     25 1st $4.88
#1 Sea Lion 10-1                         24

Race 6:

#2 Proprietary Trade 5-2           29 1st $6.04
#11 Top Gun Tommy 7-2           28 3rd $2.94
#4 Show Time 3-1                       27 2nd $3.00 Tri $50.40
#1 Lightning Struck 10-1           26

Race 7:

#2 Joe Shiesty 5-2                       35
#9 Nothing Better 3-1                34 4th
#4 Heart Headed 7-2                  33 1st $8.48
#5 Operation Sunrise 8-1          32

Race 8:

#1 Aeolian 9-5                              17 1st $3.36
#6 Glamorama 8-1                       16 2nd $7.10 Ex $23.58
#2 Delicious Diva 3-1                  15 3rd $2.70 Tri $60.20
#7 La Fantastica 8-1                    14

Race 9:

#1 Grand Job 5-2                         32
#4 Ellen Jay 2-1                            31
#9 Verity 3-1                                 30
#8 Marmalade Skye 9-2              29

Race 10:

#7 Royal Spa 3-1                           36
#4 Alpine Princess 4-1                 35
#2 Raging Sea 7-2                         34
#8 Standoutsensation 8-1           33

Race 11:

#11 Proctor Street 6-1                  34
#8 Pin Up Betty 5-2                       33
#9 Vive Veuve 3-1                          32
#2 Miwa (GB) 8-1                           31

Race 12:

#11 Northern Chill 5-1                  31
#9 El Prestigio 7-2                          30
#6 Pursuitneversleeps 3-1            29
#3 Stiglets 6-1                                 28

Churchill Downs Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  3,6,5,7

Race 2:  4,7,8

Race 3:  4,3 *3 scratched using 4,1

Race 4:  5,4,7 *5,4 scratched using 7,1

Race 5:  4,5,9 *5 scratched using 4,9,1

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  4,7,8,1

Race 3:  4,3,1,2

Race 4:  5,4,7 *5,4 scratched using 7,1

Race 5:  4,5,9 *5 scratched using 4,9,1

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4:  5,4,7,1

Race 5:  4,5,9 *5 scratched using 4,9,1

Race 6:  2,11

Race 7:  2,9,4

Race 8:  1,6,2

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5:  4,5,9,1

Race 6:  2,11,4

Race 7:  2,9,4

Race 8:  1,6,2

$.50 Ticket:  $54

Pick 5 (6-10):

Race 6:  2,11

Race 7:  2,9,4

Race 8:  1,6,2

Race 9:  1,4

Race 10: 7,4,2

$.50 Ticket:  $54

Pick 6:

Race 7:  2,9,4

Race 8:  1,6,2

Race 9:  1,4

Race 10: 7,4,2

Race 11:  11,8,9

Race 12:  11,9,6

$.20 Ticket:  $97.20

Late Pick 5:

Race 8:  1,6,2

Race 9:  1,4,9

Race 10: 7,4,2

Race 11:  11,8,9

Race 12:  11,9,6,3

$.50 Ticket:  $162

Late Pick 4:

Race 9:  1,4,9

Race 10: 7,4,2

Race 11:  11,8,9

Race 12:  11,9,6

$.50 Ticket:  $40.50

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.