A Winning Day at the Races!

November 3rd , 2018 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here on weekends through the Belmont Meet. For Full Card Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site two years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 68% of the time, and top choice is first or second 42% of the time. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

Saturday’s Free Full Card Breeders Cup & Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below! Good Luck to All!

Aqueduct Selections

Saturday November 3rd

Race 1 :            Strength Variable :

#4 Cambier Parc 5-2                             21
#8 Utiki 5-1                                             19
#6 Point of Honor 7-2                           18
#2 Bay Harbor 6-1                                  17

Race 2 :

#8 Extinct Charm 8-1                            28
#2 Borsa Vento 7-2                                 27
#6 Richard the Great 7-2                       25
#1 Fleet Irish 5-2                                     25

Race 3 :

#7 Wingman 7-2                                      29
#10 Follow the Signs 9-5                        28
#6 Glennrichment 3-1                             26
#1 Manifest Destiny 10-1                        25

Dirt Selections

#4 Admiral Blue 8-1
#7 Wingman 7-2
#9 Blame the Thief 10-1
#5 Transistor 5-1

Race 4 :

#7 Pas de Deuce 7-2                                  27
#2 Mohanie 8-1                                          26
#6 My Roxy Girl 3-1                                   25
#3 Thirsty Gal 9-2                                      25

Race 5 :

#8 Wicked Grin 3-1                                    21
#1 Smooth Tales 6-1                                  19
#11 Bobby Man 7-2 AE                              19
#3 Lost in Manhattan 4-1                         18
#14 Crack Shot 4-1 AE                               17

Dirt Selections

#14 Crack Shot 4-1
#15 Constructor 6-1
#3 Lost in Manhattan 4-1
#7 Early Retirement 8-1
#11 Bobby Man 7-2

Race 6 :

#8 Weather Wiz 9-2                                   32
#7 Cloud Computing 6-5                          32
#3 Plainsman 7-2                                       30
#2 J S Bach 8-1                                            29

Race 7 :

#5 Performer 5-1                                          21
#2 Itgot Grandma 4-1                                 19
#8 Bernin’ Thru Gold 3-1                           18
#9 The Right Path 10-1                               17

Race 8 :

#3 Neoclassic 7-2                                        28
#4 Sycamore Lane 3-1                                27
#9 Wicked Freud 9-2                                   26
#6 Indebted 5-1                                            26

Dirt Selections

#11 Doyouknowsomething 7-5
#10 Haul Anchor 3-1
#7 Air Bueno (CHI) 20-1
#3 Neoclassic 7-2

Race 9 :

#6 Holy Helena 4-1                                   34
#4 Divine Miss Grey 7-5                           33
#5 Moonlit Garden 5-1                             32
#7 Forever Liesl 15-1                                 30

Race 10 :

#2 On the Town 5-2                                   21
#1 Aunt Hattie (IRE) 6-1                          19
#8 Red Robe (GB) 9-2                                18
#6 Laska 8-1                                                16

Dirt Selections

#3 Alasaayil 7-2
#5 She’s a Black Belt 20-1
#12 Emma Lazarus 3-1
#9 Keeneasabean 10-1

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  4,8,6,2

Race 2 :  8,2,6

Race 3 :  7,10,6 Dirt : 4,7,9

Race 4 :  7,2

Race 5 :  8,1,11 Dirt : 14,15,3

$.50 Ticket :  $108

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  8,2,6,1

Race 3 :  7,10,6,1 Dirt : 4,7,9,5

Race 4 :  7,2

Race 5 :  8,1,11,3 Dirt : 14,15,3,7

Late Pick 5 :

Race 6 :  8,7

Race 7 :  5,2,8,9

Race 8 :  3,4,9 Dirt : 11,10,7

Race 9 :  6,4,5

Race 10 : 2,1 Dirt : 3,5

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Late Pick 4 :

Race 7 :  5,2,8,9

Race 8 :  3,4,9,6 Dirt : 11,10,7,3

Race 9 :  6,4,5

Race 10 : 2,1,8,6 Dirt : 3,5,12,9

$.50 Ticket :  $96

Churchill Downs Selections

Saturday November 3rd

Race 1 :           Strength Variable :

#6 Tiz Mischief 3-1                               31
#4 Own Agenda 5-1                              30
#2 Uber Kirk 8-1                                    29
#7 Last Bad Habit 7-2                           29

Race 2 :

#6 Mr Freeze 12-1                                 34
#12 Super Sol 4-1                                  33
#9 Dak Attack 12-1                                31
#11 Still Having Fun 4-1                       31

Race 3 : “BC Filly and Mare Sprint”

#1 Selcourt 4-1                                       39
#11 Finley’sluckycharm 10-1               37
#13 Marley’s Freedom 8-5                    37
#5 Golden Mischief 10-1                       36

Race 4 : “BC Turf Sprint”

#11 World of Trouble 6-1                      38
#9 Stormy Liberal 4-1                            38
#4 Vision Perfect 15-1                            37
#5 Disco Partner 7-2                               36

Race 5 : “BC Dirt Mile”

#1 City of Light 5-2                                 42
#10 Catalina Cruiser 8-5                        41
#7 Firenze Fire 6-1                                  39
#6 Seeking the Soul 5-1                          37

Race 6 : “BC Filly and Mare Turf”

#6 Sistercharlie (IRE) 3-1                      44
#3 Wild Illusion (GB) 7-2                       43
#1 Fourstar Crook 5-1                             42
#14 Eziyra (IRE) 15-1                              40

Race 7 : “BC Sprint”

#2 Promises Fulfilled 6-1                        48
#9 Roy H 5-2                                              47
#5 Imperial Hint 9-5                                47
#1 Whitmore 6-1                                       45

Race 8 : “BC Mile”

#14 Mustashry (GB) 15-1                         45
#2 Next Shares 10-1                                  44
#5 Oscar Performance 6-1                       44
#10 Catapult 6-1                                        42

Race 9 : “BC Distaff”

#7 Midnight Bisou 6-1                             41
#2 Abel Tasman 7-2                                  40
#9 Wow Cat (CHI) 8-1                               39
#11 Monomoy Girl 2-1                              37

Race 10 : “BC Turf “

#7 Glorious Empire (IRE) 12-1                42
#2 Enable (GB) 1-1                                     41
#4 Robert Bruce (CHI) 10-1                      39
#3 Channel Maker 12-1                             38

Race 11 : “BC Classic”

#6 McKinze 6-1                                           49
#9 Mendelssohn 12-1                                 47
#11 Mind Your Biscuits 6-1                       45
#14 Accelerate 5-2                                       45

Race 12 :

#2 Awestruck 4-1                                        33
#3 Shenandoah Queen 7-2                        32
#6 Divine Miss Grey 9-5                             32
#1 Moonlit Garden 7-2                                31

Churchill Downs Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  6,4,2,7

Race 2 :  6,12,9,11

Race 3 :  1,11,13

Race 4 :  11,9,4

Race 5 :  1,10

$.50 Ticket :  $144

Pick 4 (2-5) :

Race 2 :  6,12,9,11

Race 3 :  1,11,13,5

Race 4 :  11,9,4,5

Race 5 :  1,10

$.50 Ticket :  $64

Pick 4 (4-7) :

Race 4 :  11,9,4,5

Race 5 :  1,10,7,6

Race 6 :  6,3,1,14

Race 7 :  2,9,5

$.50 Ticket :  $96

Pick 6 :

Race 6 :  6,3,1

Race 7 :  2,9

Race 8 :  14,2,5

Race 9 :  7,2

Race 10 : 7,2

Race 11 : 6

$.50 Ticket :  $144

Late Pick 5 :

Race 7 :  2,9,5

Race 8 :  14,2,5,10

Race 9 :  7,2,9,11

Race 10 : 7,2

Race 11 :  6,9,11

$.50 Ticket :  $144

Pick 4 (8-11) :

Race 8 :  14,2,5,10

Race 9 :  7,2,9,11

Race 10 : 7,2,4

Race 11 :  6,9,11,14

$.50 Ticket :  $96

Pick 4 (9-12) :

Race 9 :  7,2,9,11

Race 10 : 7,2,4,3

Race 11 :  6,9,11,14

Race 12 :  2,3,6

$.50 Ticket :  $96

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


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