A Winning Day at the Races!
October 10th, 2026 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site ten years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,873/25,787 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 12,038/25,787. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*NFL Picks (ATS) Season 33-28 (54%)…Week 5 Picks Below…
Week One 8-6 (57%)…
Week Two 9-7 (56%)…
Week Three 8-8 (50%)…
Week Four 8-7 (53%)…
*College Football Picks Season 11-7 (61%)…This weeks Picks Below…
*Saturday’s Full Card Belmont & Keeneland Picks/Plays below…
Belmont Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#4 Art Museum 2-1 20
#7 Hullabaloo Ray Ray 1-1 19
#1 Iron Charger 8-1 18
#5 Louisiana Baby 15-1 17
Race 2:
#1 Ice Chocolat (BRZ) 8-5 33
#5 Belouni (FR) 7-2 32
#8 Classic Creation 10-1 31
#6 Ramblin’ Wreck 5-1 30
Race 3:
#2 Morella 3-1 20
#6 Lookin’ Fine 8-1 19
#4 Saintly Villain 7-2 18
#1 Summer Memories 5-2 18
Race 4:
#6 Leftembehind 7-2 28
#2 Shattuck 9-2 28
#7 Sara’s Shaman 2-1 27
#5 American Grant 6-1 26
Race 5:
#3 Southside Samurai 5-1 18
#6 Miracle Michael 3-1 17
#9 Billy Bucchero 10-1 16
#7 Neptuneroad Richie 6-1 16
Race 6:
#2 Run Classic 6-1 33
#6 Baby Yoda 2-1 33
#5 Paradise Valley 9-2 32
#3 Pair of Socks 5-1 31
Race 7:
#2 Irish Goodbye 3-5 16
#5 Hellz Kitchen 12-1 15
#4 Sfumato 9-2 15
#6 Chris’s Song 10-1 14
Race 8:
#1 Two Out Hero 8-5 33
#7 Intricate Spirit 6-1 32
#3 Big Destroyer 5-1 31
#5 Iron Palace 10-1 31
Race 9:
#6 Okay Annie 3-1 16
#3 Promise Me Amelody 2-1 15
#5 Our Sweet Harpie 8-1 14
#7 Liberty’s Advance 4-1 14
Race 10:
#6 Caroline St. Beat 7-5 34
#9 Third Coast 6-1 33
#8 Chambersville 5-1 32
#4 Lennox the Grey 8-1 31
Race 11:
#1 Gilbane 9-5 17
#7 Fresh Start 8-1 16
#9 Bourboncentric 3-1 15
#4 Surfside Dan 12-1 15
Belmont Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 4,7
Race 2: 1,5
Race 3: 2,6,4,1
Race 4: 6,2,7
Race 5: 3,6,9,7
$.50 Ticket: $96
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 1,5
Race 3: 2,6,4,1
Race 4: 6,2,7
Race 5: 3,6,9,7
$.50 Ticket: $48
Pick 5 (3-7):
Race 3: 2,6,4,1
Race 4: 6,2,7
Race 5: 3,6,9,7
Race 6: 2,6,5
Race 7: 2,5
$.50 Ticket: $144
Pick 4 (4-7):
Race 4: 6,2,7,5
Race 5: 3,6
Race 6: 2,6,5,3
Race 7: 2,5,4
$.50 Ticket: $48
Pick 5 (5-9):
Race 5: 3,6,9,7
Race 6: 2,6,5
Race 7: 2,5,4
Race 8: 1,7,3
Race 9: 6,3
$.50 Ticket: $108
Pick 6:
Race 6: 2,6,5
Race 7: 2
Race 8: 1
Race 9: 6,3
Race 10: 6,9
Race 11: 1,7,9
$1.00 Ticket: $36
Late Pick 5:
Race 7: 2,5,4
Race 8: 1,7,3
Race 9: 6,3
Race 10: 6,9,8
Race 11: 1,7,9
$.50 Ticket: $81
Late Pick 4:
Race 8: 1,7,3
Race 9: 6,3,5,7
Race 10: 6,9,8
Race 11: 1,7,9
$.50 Ticket: $54
Keeneland Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#4 Lost Chord 4-5 27
#7 Lexico 6-1 26
#1 Unlimited Gold 3-1 26
#3 Motown Sound (ON) 8-1 25
Race 2:
#10 Dolly P 5-1 15
#8 Maple Ridge 3-1 14
#11 Kefka 6-1 13
#6 Coherent 8-1 12
Race 3:
#1 Hit the High Note 5-2 28
#6 Merlin Monroan 4-1 28
#4 Battlefield Hero 6-1 27
#8 Culpable 8-1 26
Race 4:
#7 Alder 8-1 33
#5 Gilden Craken 2-1 32
#8 Money Supply 7-2 31
#2 Morunning 3-1 30
Race 5:
#13 Follow Your Heart 5-2 19
#4 Free Verse 4-1 18
#12 Meleys 6-1 18
#11 Practical Patsy 8-1 17
#9 Global Unrest 8-1 16
Race 6:
#5 Sneaky Good 5-2 33
#7 Where Luck Lives 3-1 32
#6 Carmel Coast 3-1 31
#1 Braverthanubelieve 4-1 30
Race 7:
#9 Sugar Hallow 8-1 20
#12 Viaggio 6-1 19
#7 Rumana 9-2 19
#3 Just Peachy 7-2 18
Race 8:
#4 Bold Strength 5-2 33
#1 Thailand 4-1 32
#7 Break Out 12-1 31
#8 Steeze 6-1 30
Race 9:
#3 Tam Tam 4-1 35
#2 Luster (ON) 5-2 34
#4 Faithful Departed 7-2 33
#10 Deep Learning 12-1 32
Race 10:
#5 Ghost Sense 12-1 19
#11 Kaykay 5-2 18
#4 Glow of a Rose 8-1 18
#3 Only Me 10-1 17
Keeneland Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 4,7,1
Race 2: 10,8,11
Race 3: 1,6
Race 4: 7,5,8
Race 5: 13,4,12
$.50 Ticket: $81
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 10,8,11,6
Race 3: 1,6,4
Race 4: 7,5,8,2
Race 5: 13,4,12
$.50 Ticket: $72
Pick 6:
Race 5: 13,4,12
Race 6: 5,7
Race 7: 9,12,7,3
Race 8: 4
Race 9: 3,2
Race 10: 5,11,4
$1.00 Ticket: $144
Late Pick 5:
Race 6: 5,7,6
Race 7: 9,12,7,3
Race 8: 4,1
Race 9: 3,2,4
Race 10: 5,11,4
$.50 Ticket: $108
Late Pick 4:
Race 7: 9,12,7,3
Race 8: 4,1
Race 9: 3,2,4
Race 10: 5,11,4,3
$.50 Ticket: $48
NFL Week 5 Picks:
Cowboys -8.5
Jaguars -7.5
Browns +1.5
Colts +2.5
Raiders +3.5
Packers +1.5
Giants +3.5
Saints +1.5
Bengals -6.5
Texans -7.5
Broncos -3.5
Lions -5.5
Seahawks -3
Ravens +3.5
Bills +3.5
College Football Picks:
Washington -2.5
Washington State +5.5
North Carolina +3.5
Missouri -3.5
Indiana -7.5
Wake Forest -3.5
South Carolina +12.5
Appalachian State -9.5
Miami Ohio -2.5
Kent State +13.5
Virginia Tech -9.5
Georgia Tech +6.5
Ole Miss -10.5
Central Michigan +2.5
Eastern Michigan -6.5
Temple -3.5
Tennessee -13.5
LSU -8.5
Marshall -3.5
Alabama -1.5
Penn State -1.5
Minnesota -2.5
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
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