A Winning Day at the Races!
October 10th, 2026 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site ten years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,873/25,787 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 12,038/25,787. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*NFL Picks (ATS) Season 33-28 (54%)…Week 5 Picks Below…
Week One 8-6 (57%)…
Week Two 9-7 (56%)…
Week Three 8-8 (50%)…
Week Four 8-7 (53%)…
*College Football Picks Season 11-7 (61%)…This weeks Picks Below…
*Saturday’s Full Card Belmont & Keeneland Picks/Plays below…
Belmont Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#4 Art Museum 2-1 20 2nd $2.94
#7 Hullabaloo Ray Ray 1-1 19 1st $2.90
#1 Iron Charger 8-1 18 4th
#5 Louisiana Baby 15-1 17 3rd $5.00 Spr $181.32
Race 2:
#1 Ice Chocolat (BRZ) 8-5 33 1st $3.68
#5 Belouni (FR) 7-2 32
#8 Classic Creation 10-1 31 3rd $7.84
#6 Ramblin’ Wreck 5-1 30 scratched
Race 3:
#2 Morella 3-1 20 2nd $3.82
#6 Lookin’ Fine 8-1 19 scratched
#4 Saintly Villain 7-2 18 3rd $2.64
#1 Summer Memories 5-2 18
Race 4:
#6 Leftembehind 7-2 28 1st $12.50
#2 Shattuck 9-2 28 2nd $5.32 Ex $47.48
#7 Sara’s Shaman 2-1 27 3rd $2.54 Tri $119.64
#5 American Grant 6-1 26 4th Spr $454.30
Race 5:
#3 Southside Samurai 5-1 18 2nd $5.44
#6 Miracle Michael 3-1 17
#9 Billy Bucchero 10-1 16 1st $19.92
#7 Neptuneroad Richie 6-1 16 4th
Race 6:
#2 Run Classic 6-1 33 4th
#6 Baby Yoda 2-1 33 2nd $4.10
#5 Paradise Valley 9-2 32 1st $10.68
#3 Pair of Socks 5-1 31
Race 7:
#2 Irish Goodbye 3-5 16 scratched
#5 Hellz Kitchen 12-1 15
#4 Sfumato 9-2 15
#6 Chris’s Song 10-1 14 1st $7.92
Race 8:
#1 Two Out Hero 8-5 33
#7 Intricate Spirit 6-1 32
#3 Big Destroyer 5-1 31 3rd $4.20
#5 Iron Palace 10-1 31 2nd $9.42
Race 9:
#6 Okay Annie 3-1 16 3rd $3.08
#3 Promise Me Amelody 2-1 15
#5 Our Sweet Harpie 8-1 14
#7 Liberty’s Advance 4-1 14 4th
Race 10:
#6 Caroline St. Beat 7-5 34 2nd $3.30
#9 Third Coast 6-1 33 1st $13.76 Ex $38.46
#8 Chambersville 5-1 32
#4 Lennox the Grey 8-1 31
Race 11:
#1 Gilbane 9-5 17 1st $6.52
#7 Fresh Start 8-1 16
#9 Bourboncentric 3-1 15 2nd $4.52
#4 Surfside Dan 12-1 15
Belmont Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 4,7
Race 2: 1,5
Race 3: 2,6,4,1 *6 scratched using 2,4,1,5
Race 4: 6,2,7
Race 5: 3,6,9,7
$.50 Ticket: $96
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 1,5
Race 3: 2,6,4,1 *6 scratched using 2,4,1,5
Race 4: 6,2,7
Race 5: 3,6,9,7
$.50 Ticket: $48
Pick 5 (3-7):
Race 3: 2,6,4,1 *6 scratched using 2,4,1,5
Race 4: 6,2,7
Race 5: 3,6,9,7
Race 6: 2,6,5
Race 7: 2,5 *2 scratched using 5,4
$.50 Ticket: $144
Pick 4 (4-7):
Race 4: 6,2,7,5
Race 5: 3,6
Race 6: 2,6,5,3
Race 7: 2,5,4 *2 scratched using 5,4,6
$.50 Ticket: $48
Pick 5 (5-9):
Race 5: 3,6,9,7
Race 6: 2,6,5
Race 7: 2,5,4 *2 scratched using 5,4,6
Race 8: 1,7,3
Race 9: 6,3
$.50 Ticket: $108
Pick 6:
Race 6: 2,6,5
Race 7: 2 *2 scratched using 5
Race 8: 1
Race 9: 6,3
Race 10: 6,9
Race 11: 1,7,9
$1.00 Ticket: $36
Late Pick 5:
Race 7: 2,5,4 *2 scratched using 5,4,6
Race 8: 1,7,3
Race 9: 6,3
Race 10: 6,9,8
Race 11: 1,7,9
$.50 Ticket: $81
Late Pick 4:
Race 8: 1,7,3
Race 9: 6,3,5,7
Race 10: 6,9,8
Race 11: 1,7,9
$.50 Ticket: $54
Keeneland Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#4 Lost Chord 4-5 27 1st $3.64
#7 Lexico 6-1 26 2nd $3.38
#1 Unlimited Gold 3-1 26 3rd $2.74
#3 Motown Sound (ON) 8-1 25
Race 2:
#10 Dolly P 5-1 15 1st $8.72 Dbl $16.32
#8 Maple Ridge 3-1 14 3rd $3.30
#11 Kefka 6-1 13
#6 Coherent 8-1 12 scratched
Race 3:
#1 Hit the High Note 5-2 28 scratched
#6 Merlin Monroan 4-1 28 1st $5.70 Dbl $22.48
#4 Battlefield Hero 6-1 27 4th Pk3 $48.14
#8 Culpable 8-1 26
Race 4:
#7 Alder 8-1 33
#5 Gilden Craken 2-1 32
#8 Money Supply 7-2 31 1st $7.90
#2 Morunning 3-1 30 3rd $3.30
Race 5:
#13 Follow Your Heart 5-2 19 scratched
#4 Free Verse 4-1 18 2nd $3.32
#12 Meleys 6-1 18 3rd $4.00
#11 Practical Patsy 8-1 17 4th
#9 Global Unrest 8-1 16 1st $12.46 Spr $1,279.80
Race 6:
#5 Sneaky Good 5-2 33 2nd $3.80
#7 Where Luck Lives 3-1 32 1st $5.14 Ex $16.92
#6 Carmel Coast 3-1 31
#1 Braverthanubelieve 4-1 30 4th
Race 7:
#9 Sugar Hallow 8-1 20
#12 Viaggio 6-1 19
#7 Rumana 9-2 19 2nd $6.40
#3 Just Peachy 7-2 18 3rd $3.34
Race 8:
#4 Bold Strength 5-2 33
#1 Thailand 4-1 32 2nd $5.88
#7 Break Out 12-1 31 scratched
#8 Steeze 6-1 30 1st $12.96
Race 9:
#3 Tam Tam 4-1 35 1st $10.54
#2 Luster (ON) 5-2 34
#4 Faithful Departed 7-2 33 2nd $4.10
#10 Deep Learning 12-1 32
Race 10:
#5 Ghost Sense 12-1 19
#11 Kaykay 5-2 18 1st $5.08
#4 Glow of a Rose 8-1 18 3rd $3.54
#3 Only Me 10-1 17
Keeneland Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 4,7,1
Race 2: 10,8,11
Race 3: 1,6 *1 scratched using 6,4
Race 4: 7,5,8
Race 5: 13,4,12 *13 scratched using 4,12,11
$.50 Ticket: $81
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 10,8,11,6 *6 scratched using 10,8,11,1
Race 3: 1,6,4 *1 scratched using 6,4,8
Race 4: 7,5,8,2
Race 5: 13,4,12 *13 scratched using 4,12,11
$.50 Ticket: $72
Pick 6:
Race 5: 13,4,12 *13 scratched using 4,12,11
Race 6: 5,7
Race 7: 9,12,7,3
Race 8: 4
Race 9: 3,2
Race 10: 5,11,4
$1.00 Ticket: $144
Late Pick 5:
Race 6: 5,7,6
Race 7: 9,12,7,3
Race 8: 4,1
Race 9: 3,2,4
Race 10: 5,11,4
$.50 Ticket: $108
Late Pick 4:
Race 7: 9,12,7,3
Race 8: 4,1
Race 9: 3,2,4
Race 10: 5,11,4,3
$.50 Ticket: $48
NFL Week 5 Picks:
Cowboys -8.5 X Buccaneers 24-Cowboys 16
Jaguars -7.5
Browns +1.5
Colts +2.5
Raiders +3.5
Packers +1.5
Giants +3.5
Saints +1.5
Bengals -7
Texans -7
Broncos -3.5
Lions -5.5
Seahawks -3
Ravens +3.5
Bills +3.5
College Football Picks:
Washington -2.5 X Iowa 41-Washington 24
Washington State +3.5 ✓ Utah State 17-Washington St 16
North Carolina +3.5 ✓ NC 21-Pitt 17
Missouri -3.5 ✓ Missouri 27-Texas A&M 6
Indiana -7.5 X Indiana 20-Nebraska 17
Wake Forest -3.5 ✓ WF 38-NC ST 14
South Carolina +11.5 ✓ SC 31-Fla 13
Appalachian State -9.5 X Old D 10-App St 3
Miami Ohio -4.5 X Miami Ohio 20-U Mass 19
Kent State +13.5 X WM 38-Kent St 7
Virginia Tech -9.5 X Cal 25-VT 20
Georgia Tech +6.5 ✓ GT 28-Duke 25
Ole Miss -9.5 ✓ Ole Miss 52-Vanderbilt 17
Central Michigan +2.5 X Ohio 31- CM 14
Eastern Michigan -5.5 X EM 25-Akron 23
Temple -3.5 X U Conn 34-Temple 20
Tennessee -13.5
LSU -8.5
Marshall -4.5
Alabama -1.5
Penn State -1.5
Minnesota -2.5
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
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