A Winning Day at the Races!

October 13th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,446/17,465, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,891/17,465. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#7 Free Chickens 1-1                    15 1st $4.40
#2 In Traffic 3-1                             14 3rd $2.30
#4 Gracefully Wild 9-2                  13 4th
#6 Tekila 6-1                                   12

Race 2:

#2 Vallarand 8-5                            26 2nd $3.30
#3 Tactical Range 8-1                   25 3rd $2.90
#1 Sealithic 9-2                              24
#7 My Sweet Wife 6-1                   24 1st $7.30

Race 3:

#7 Cafe Fleur (FR) 2-1                   28 1st $4.50
#1a Basilla 3-1                                27
#6 Princess Pinky 10-1                  26 4th
#2 Kemba 10-1                                25 3rd $6.50

Dirt Selections

#2 Kemba 10-1
#6 Princess Pinky 10-1
#9 Voice of Spring 15-1
#8 More Mango 20-1

Race 4:

#5 Hometown 2-1                           27 scratched
#4 Convertible Freeze 8-1             26 1st $8.00
#7 Al’s Prince 8-1                            25 2nd $3.80 Ex $43.40
#2 Will E Sutton 5-1                        25 Dbl $31.60

Race 5:

#1 Chiringo 5-2                                16 1st $9.30
#10 Best Defense 7-2                       15 Dbl $37 Pk 3 $127
#11 Tasterfor the King 5-1 AE       15 scratched
#2 Listentothemusic 5-1                 14 2nd $3.70
#4 Three Zero 8-1                             14 3rd $3.80

Dirt Selections

#1a Clubhouse 5-2 AE
#10 Best Defense 7-2
#7 Iron Man Jimmy 12-1
#2 Listentothemusic 5-1
#6 Golden Bird Forest 30-1

Race 6:

#6 Freudian 1-1                               27
#8 Merger of Equals 4-1                 25
#2 My Delicious 10-1                      24 3rd $5.20
#1 R Girl Faith 6-1                           24

Race 7:

#9 Tough Street 7-5                         26 1st $3.90
#5 Queen of Lies 5-1                       25 4th
#7 Uptown Express 4-1                   24
#2 Flattering Gal 8-1                       24

Race 8:

#3 Catch That Party 7-2                 33 3rd $2.60
#2 Call Me Harry 5-2                      32 1st $6.90
#7 Front Line Dancer 6-1               31 4th
#1 Straw Into Gold 4-1                   30 2nd $4.80 Spr 285.40

Dirt Selections

#13 Prince of Pharoahs 5-2
#12 Therisastormbrewin 6-1
#9 Troubleshooter 8-1
#10 Sheriff Bianco 3-1
#8 Six Percent 4-1

Race 9:

#6 Swashbuckle 7-5                         31 1st $4.80
#7 Volcalize 7-2                                29
#10 Veterans Beach 8-1                  28
#2 Science (IRE) 15-1                      27 4th

Dirt Selections

#11 Risk Profile
#8 Truebelieve 10-1
#1 Merchants of Cool 30-1
#4 El Mayor 12-1

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  7,2 7

Race 2:  2,3,1,7 7

Race 3:  7,1a/1,6 Dirt: 2,6,9 7

Race 4:  5,4,7 *5 scratched using 4,7,2 4

Race 5:  1,10,11 *11 scratched using 1,10,2 1

$.50 Ticket:  $108 $390.25

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  2,3,1,7 7

Race 3:  7,1a/1,6,2 Dirt:  2,6,9,8 7

Race 4:  5,4,7,2 4

Race 5:  1,10 1

$.50 Ticket:  $64 $117.87

Pick 6:

Race 4:  5,4,7 *5 scratched using 4,7,2 4

Race 5:  1,10 Dirt: 1a,10 1

Race 6:  6 x

Race 7:  9

Race 8:  3,2,7 Dirt: 13,12,9 2

Race 9:  6 Dirt: 11 6

$1.00 Ticket:  $18

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  1,10,11,2 Dirt: 1a/1,10,7,2 *11 scratched using 1,10,2,4 1

Race 6:  6,8 x

Race 7:  9,5,7 9

Race 8:  3,2 Dirt: 13,12 2

Race 9:  6,7 Dirt: 11,8 6

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  6,8,2 x

Race 7:  9,5,7,2 9

Race 8:  3,2 Dirt: 13,12 2

Race 9:  6,7 Dirt: 11,8 6

$.50 Ticket:  $24

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 


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