A Winning Day at the Races!
October 14th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays
*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…
*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,453/17,474, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,898/17,474. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Friday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#2 Signator 9-5 19 1st $3.20
#6 Inflationary 5-1 18
#1a Mindtap 6-5 18 3rd e $2.10
#4 Weekend Tizzy 12-1 17 2nd $10.00
Race 2:
#1 Alpine Queen 5-2 27
#7 Ok Honey 2-1 26 2nd $5.00
#4 Alarm Clock 8-1 25 4th
#6 Quality Stones 4-1 24 1st $7.20
Race 3:
#4 Frank’s Art 8-5 31
#2 Marinara Sauced 3-1 30
#11 Battle Scars 7-2 AE 28
#7 Baldizar 6-1 27
#6 Goldquist 10-1 26
Dirt Selections
#7 Baldizar 6-1 1st $2.90
#16 Dangerous Edge 2-1 scratched
#14 Salute to America 10-1 scratched
#8 Breadman 6-1 scratched
#15 Bourbon’s Hope 8-1 scratched
Race 4:
#5 Sinful Dancer 6-5 15 3rd $2.10
#1 Cicciobello 6-1 13 scratched
#7 Secret Sanctuary 15-1 12 4th
#6 Clash A. J. 9-2 12 scratched
Race 5:
#6 Space Launch 4-1 32
#9 Largent 7-2 31
#1 Mooney Love (IRE) 3-1 31
#7 Megayacht 10-1 30
Dirt Selections
#12 Two Thirty Five 8-5 3rd $2.10
#7 Megayacht 10-1 scratched
#11 Kinetic Sky 6-5 2nd $3.50
#10 Girl Dad 30-1 4th
Race 6:
#4 Spun Special 7-2 18 3rd $3.20
#6 Interpolate 8-5 17 1st $3.40
#2 Lookinforbargains 6-1 17
#5 Azaria 15-1 16
Race 7:
#6 Midnight Worker 5-2 28 3rd
#1 Matty’s Marauder 6-1 27
#8 Inspiration Point 10-1 26 2nd
#3 Prince of Joy 15-1 26
Race 8:
#8 Zelda (FR) 4-1 33
#1 Poppy Flower 9-5 33
#10 Wonka 5-1 32
#4 Sail By 8-1 31
Dirt Selections
#7 Girl With a Dream 8-1
#2 Everyoneloveslinda 30-1 3rd
#3 Music Amore 30-1
#5 Half Is Enough 12-1 1st
Race 9:
#8 Brisky Frolic 4-1 17
#12 Vagaries (IRE) 9-2 15
#3 Belleshazza 8-1 15
#10 Miscreant 10-1 14
Dirt Selections
#1 Flywheel Effect 7-2
#8 Brisky Frolic 4-1
#4 Lady Firefoot 6-1
#10 Miscreant 10-1
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 2,6,1a/1 2
Race 2: 1,7 x
Race 3: 4,2,11 Dirt: 7,16,14 *16,14 scratched using 7,2 7
Race 4: 5 x
Race 5: 6,9,1,7 Dirt: 12,7,11,10 x
$.50 Ticket: $36
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 1,7 x
Race 3: 4,2,11,7 Dirt: 7,16,14,8 *16,14,8 scratched using 7,2 7
Race 4: 5,1 x
Race 5: 6,9,1,7 Dirt: 12,7,11,10 x
$.50 Ticket: $32
Pick 6:
Race 4: 5 x
Race 5: 6,9,1 Dirt: 12,7,11 x
Race 6: 4,6 6
Race 7: 6,1,8 *1 scratched using 6,8,3
Race 8: 8,1,10 Dirt: 7,2,3 *7 scratched using 2,3,5
Race 9: 8,12 Dirt: 1,8 *1 scratched using 8,10
$.50 Ticket: $108
Late Pick 5:
Race 5: 6,9,1,7 Dirt: 12,7,11,10 x
Race 6: 4,6,2 6
Race 7: 6,1,8 *1 scratched using 6,8,3
Race 8: 8,1,10 Dirt: 7,2,3 *7 scratched using 2,3,5
Race 9: 8,12 Dirt: 1,8 *1 scratched using 8,10
$.50 Ticket: $108
Late Pick 4:
Race 6: 4,6,2 6
Race 7: 6,1,8 *1 scratched using 6,8,3
Race 8: 8,1,10 Dirt: 7,2,3 *7 scratched using 2,3,5
Race 9: 8,12,3,10 Dirt: 1,8,4,10 *1,4 scratched using 8,10,5,2
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
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