A Winning Day at the Races!

October 15th, 2026 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site ten years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,898/25,825 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 12,058/25,825. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*NFL Picks (ATS) Season 33-28 (53%)…Week Six Picks Below…
Week One 8-6 (57%)…
Week Two 9-7 (56%)…
Week Three 8-8 (50%
)…
Week Four 8-7 (53%)…
Week Five 7-7 (50%)…

*Thursday’s Full Card Belmont Park Picks/Plays Below…

Belmont Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Sorrentino 4-5                   16
#7 Where’s Your Boom 6-1     15
#3 In Front Runner 3-1           14
#1 Mr R T 8-1                          13

Race 2:

#8 Private Desire 7-2              30
#6 Burninhunkoflove 9-2        29
#5 Big Hat Willie 6-1               28
#4 Kid Billy 8-1                        27

Race 3:

#2 Risk Tolerance (IRE) 2-5     35
#1 Sherlock’s Jewel 9-2           33
#4 Capture the Flag 6-1          32
#3 Tee At One 30-1                 32

Race 4:

#2 Helmet of Will 4-1              29
#5 Math Tutor 9-5                   28
#3 Tartabull 5-2                        27
#1 Disparate Impact 8-1          26

Race 5:

#1 Ancient World 6-5              28
#9 He’s Got This 6-1                27
#7 Apollo Code 5-1                 27
#6 Neuschwanstein 8-1           26

Race 6:

#3 Epic Prayer 4-1                   15
#9 Beckett 15-1                       14
#2 Falconer 6-1                        14
#7 Motorcycle Cop 7-2            13

Race 7:

#2 Twohonestmischief 6-1      29
#4 Tuning In 7-5                      28
#7 Solo Jim 10-1                      27
#5 Calling Card 5-2                  27

Race 8:

#1 Avalon Beach 5-1               16
#10 Southern Kiss 9-2             15
#4 Perfect Flow 8-1                  15
#12 Bag the Gold 6-1               14

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,7,3              

Race 2:  8,6,5

Race 3:  2

Race 4:  2,5,3

Race 5:  1,9,7

  $.50 Ticket:  $40.50

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  8,6,5,4

Race 3:  2,1

Race 4:  2,5,3,1

Race 5:  1,9,7,6

  $.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 3:  2

Race 4:  2,5,3

Race 5:  1,9,7

Race 6:  3,9,2,7

Race 7:  2,4

Race 8:  1,10

  $1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 4:  2,5,3

Race 5:  1,9,7

Race 6:  3,9,2,7

Race 7:  2,4,7,5

Race 8:  1,10

  $.50 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 5:  1,9,7,6

Race 6:  3,9,2,7

Race 7:  2,4,7,5

Race 8:  1,10,4

  $.50 Ticket:  $96

NFL Week 6 Picks:

Seahawks -2.5
Jaguars -2.5
Falcons +1.5
Ravens -5.5
Saints -1.5
Steelers -2.5
Eagles +1.5
Colts -6.5
Jets +7.5
Cardinals +12.5
Raiders +5.5
Chiefs -8.5
Packers -1.5
49ers -7.5

College Football Picks:

Western Kentucky -1.5
East Carolina -4.5
Memphis -6.5
Washington +3.5
Boston College +6.5
Texas -10.5
Michigan State +7.5
James Madison -12.5
Mississippi State +14.5
Virginia +8.5
Ohio State -3.5
Western Michigan -6.5
North Carolina +3.5
Georgia -20.5
Maryland -4.5
Cincinnati +1.5
Alabama -8.5
Penn State +6.5
Georgia Tech +9.5
UNLV -1.5
Ole Miss -6.5
Miami Ohio -9.5
Eastern Michigan +5.5
Vanderbilt -6.5
Baylor -6.5
Wisconsin +2.5
Notre Dame -10.5
Ohio -15.5
Wake Forest -9.5
Oklahoma -6.5

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 


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