October 16th , 2020 Free Picks & Plays

• October 15, 2020
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily. For Full Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site four years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 8537/12881, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 5622/12881. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Full Card Belmont Park Picks/Plays will remain Free through the end of the Belmont Fall Meet and posted here on the Free Page…

*Friday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays…

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#8 Duress 4-1                              32 2nd $4.50
#6 French Reef (IRE) 7-5           31
#3 Maxwell Esquire 5-2             30 1st $8.60
#7 Bourbon Currency 6-1          28 3rd $4.60

Dirt Selections

#9 Foolish Ghost 1-1
#2 Montauk Daddy 15-1
#5 Shamrocked 7-2
#1 Fame to Famous 15-1

Race 2 :

#2 Niiji 9-2                                     17
#8 Conventionalwisdom 5-2      16
#10 Song of Innocence 5-1         15
#3 Little Nutter 4-1                      14

Dirt Selections

#10 Song of Innocence 5-1 scratched
#3 Little Nutter 4-1 3rd $2.60
#5 Jordy Can Tap 20-1
#6 Joqular 10-1 1st $6.10

Race 3 :

#5 La Urbana 5-2                           18 2nd $3.70
#7 Exfiltration 9-2                         17
#6 Vacay 7-2                                    16 1st $7.90
#4 Maria’s Gift 12-1                       15

Race 4 :

#10 Summer Bourbon 4-1             28
#7 Buisness Cycle 7-2                     27 2nd $3.50
#9 Orpheus (ARG) 8-1                    27
#1 Direct Order 4-1                         27 1st $7.80

Race 5 :

#1 Crick 3-1                                       15 2nd $2.90
#4 Mebs Web 5-2                              14 1st $9.60 Ex $21.40
#8 Vitanza 8-1                                   14
#7 Buffet 6-1                                      13

Race 6 :

#10 Big Package 4-1                         31
#1 Mo Maverick 5-2                          31
#7 Fast Getaway 4-1                         29
#8 Shiraz 9-2                                      28

Dirt Selections

#4 Scilly Cay 9-2 4th
#5 Bustin Shout 12-1 1st $5.50
#11 Power Up Paynter 10-1 2nd $6.20
#7 Fast Getaway 4-1

Race 7 :

#9 Stone Tornado (GB) 8-5            33
#1 Desert Oasis (GB) 8-1                31
#6 Secure Connection 5-1              30
#4 Kitten’s Covergirl 8-1                 29

Dirt Selections

#5 Gone Glimmering 4-1 1st $7.90
#10 Our Circle of Love 9-5 2nd $3.70 Ex $25.40
#2 Slimey 2-1 4th
#4 Kitten’s Covergirl 8-1

Race 8 :

#6 Ten for Ten 5-2                           19 1st $6.60
#7 Constitutional Law 10-1           18 3rd $5.20
#2 Rational Choice 3-1                   18
#8 Savoy 7-2                                      17

Race 9 :

#7 Crystalle 4-1                                31
#8 Windfall Profit 5-2                     30
#3 Key Biscayne 3-1                        29
#1 Pure Rhythm 12-1                      28

Dirt Selections

#3 Key Biscayne 3-1 1st $4.10
#8 Windfall Profit 5-2 scratched
#6 Coilean Bawn 8-1 scratched
#2 Pandamom 15-1 3rd $2.50
#1 Pure Rhythm 12-1 4th

Race 10 :

#1 Traffic Lane 8-1                       19
#6 No Ordinary Time 5-1            18
#5 Dollar Mountain 10-1             18
#11 Evvie Jets 5-1                          17

Dirt Selections

#6 No Ordinary Time 5-1 3rd
#11 Evvie Jets 5-1 scratched
#1 Traffic Lane 8-1 2nd $3.30
#10 Unionduesincluded 20-1 4th
#5 Dollar Mountain 10-1 1st $6.20

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5

Race 1 :  8,6,3,7 Dirt : 9,2,5,1 3

Race 2 :  2,8,10,3 Dirt : 10,3,5,6 6

Race 3 :  5,7,6 6

Race 4 :  10,7,9 x

Race 5 :  1,4 4

$.50 Ticket :  $144

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  2,8,10,3 Dirt : 10,3,5,6 6

Race 3 :  5,7,6 6

Race 4 :  10,7,9 x

Race 5 :  1,4 4

$.50 Ticket :  $36

Pick 6 :

Race 5 :  1,4,8,7 4

Race 6 :  10,1 Dirt : 4,5 5

Race 7 :  9,1 Dirt : 5,10 5

Race 8 :  6,7,2 6

Race 9 :  7,8 Dirt : 3,8 *3 & 8 scratched using 2,1 3

Race 10 : 1,6,5,11 Dirt : 6,11,1,10 *11 scratched using 6,1,10,5 5

$.20 Ticket :  $76.80 $483.40

Late Pick 5 :

Race 6 :  10,1,7 Dirt : 4,5,11 5

Race 7 :  9,1,6 Dirt : 5,10,2 5

Race 8 :  6,7,2 6

Race 9 :  7,8 Dirt : 3,8 *3 & 8 scratched using 2,1 3

Race 10 : 1,6,5 Dirt : 6,11,1 *11 scratched using 6,1,10 x

$.50 Ticket :  $81

Late Pick 4 :

Race 7 :  9,1,6 Dirt : 5,10,2 5

Race 8 :  6,7,2,8 6

Race 9 :  7,8,3,1 Dirt : 3,8,6,2 *3,8,6 scratched using 2,13

Race 10 : 1,6,5 Dirt : 6,11,1 *11 scratched using 6,1,10,5 5

$.50 Ticket :  $72 $66.75

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.