A Winning Day at the Races!

October 16th , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 9933/15100, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6680/15100. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Saturday’s and Sunday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays will be posted here on the Free Page…

*Saturday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays Below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#4 Risky Woods 5-2                     14 2nd $3.90
#7 Mach One 8-5                          13 1st $3.70
#1 Motion to Strike 4-1               12 4th
#2 Where’s Joey 8-1                     13 3rd $3.40

Race 2 :

#5 Fontanafredde 5-2                   16 3rd $2.50
#3 Can’t Catch Kacy 8-1               15 scratched
#6 She’s a Natural 15-1                 14
#1 Robyn and Eli 6-1                     14 2nd $9.00

Race 3 :

#6 Clear Vision 3-1                        31 1st $10.40
#7 Sharp Prospect 7-2                   30
#8 Seismic Wave 2-1                      29
#2 Smile Bryan 9-2                         29 3rd $5.60

Race 4 :

#7 Spun d’Etat 5-2                          29 1st $7.30
#1 Briella 3-1                                    28 scratched
#2 Shaker Shack 5-1                        28 3rd $2.40
#1a Heart of God 3-1                       27 Dbl $28

Race 5 :

#5 Highway Queen 9-2                  28 3rd $2.70
#10 Happy Hill Lil 6-1                    27
#2 Kreesa La Wrote 10-1                26
#7 Write This Down 10-1               26

Race 6 :

#5 Higher Truth (IRE) 2-1              33 3rd $2.10
#3 Harajuku (IRE) 3-1                     32
#2 Jordan’s Leo 6-1                          31 scratched
#7 Fluffy Socks 7-2                           31 1st $10.20

Race 7 :

#6 Cousin Andrew 2-1                      29 2nd $2.70
#8 Litterbox 9-2                                 28 3rd $2.70
#7 Road to Success 5-2                     27
#1 Matty’s Marauder 8-1                  26

Race 8 :

#6 Freedom Machine 3-1                 28 2nd $3.40
#7 Gabby Squared 9-5                       27 1st $6.00
#1 Adele Kat 10-1                               26 Ex $18.20
#2 Athena Dancer 6-1                        26

Race 9 :

#7 Mia Bea Star 6-1                            27
#4 Cinderella’s Cause 9-2                  26
#2 Esotica 3-1                                      25 4th
#1 Quantitativbreezin 2-1                 25

Race 10 :

#11 Phenomenal Woman 3-1           14
#8 New York Dancer 9-2                    13
#3 New York Banker 12-1                  12
#2 Roxen 8-1                                        11

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  4,7 7

Race 2 :  5,3,6,1 x

Race 3 :  6,7,8 6

Race 4 :  7,1/1a *1 scratched using 7,1a,2 7

Race 5 :  5,10,2 x

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  5,3,6,1 x

Race 3 :  6,7,8 6

Race 4 :  7,1/1a,2 7

Race 5 :  5,10,2 x

$.50 Ticket :  $54

Pick 6 :

Race 5 :  5,10,2,7 x

Race 6 :  5,3 x

Race 7 :  6,8 x

Race 8 :  6,7 7

Race 9 :  7,4,2 x

Race 10 : 11,8

$1.00 Ticket :  $192

Late Pick 5 :

Race 6 :  5,3,2,7 7

Race 7 :  6,8,7 *7 scratched using 6,8,1 x

Race 8 :  6,7 7

Race 9 :  7,4,2,1 x

Race 10 : 11,8

$.50 Ticket :  $96

Late Pick 4 :

Race 7 :  6,8,7 *7 scratched using 6,8,1 x

Race 8 :  6,7 7

Race 9 :  7,4,2,1 x

Race 10 : 11,8,3,2

$.50 Ticket :  $48

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 


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