A Winning Day at the Races!

October 17th , 2020 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily. For Full Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site four years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 8545/12891, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 5628/12891. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Full Card Belmont Park Picks/Plays will remain Free through the end of the Belmont Fall Meet and posted here on the Free Page…

*Saturday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays Below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#6 The Great Dansky 5-2               29 4th
#4 Leaveuwithasmile 4-1               28 1st $11.00
#1 Rejected Again 2-1                     28
#2 Ryan’s Cat 9-2                             27 2nd $4.50

Race 2 :

#6 Kitten’s Cat 5-1                           31
#8 Duncastle 9-2                              30
#4 Abiding Star 7-2                          29
#10 Ian Glass 4-1                              28

Dirt Selections

#1 Jump for Joy 12-1 2nd $4.60
#2 Releasethethunder 12-1 3rd $2.60
#8 Duncastle 9-2 scratched
#7 The Sicarii 6-1 1st $18.20 Tri $140

Race 3 :

#2 Performer 1-2                              36 1st $2.60
#1 Empty Tomb 2-1                         32 3rd $2.10
#3 Musical Heart 6-1                       31 2nd $4.40 Tri $13.40

Race 4 :

#7 Unicorn Sally 4-1                        16
#4 Kiss and Run 9-2                         16
#5 Eighty Seven North 12-1           15
#10 She So Naughty 3-1                  15

Dirt Selections

#9 Belleza 6-1 3rd $3.20
#10 She So Naughty 3-1 scratched
#7 Unicorn Sally 4-1 1st $4.00
#8 Mizzen the Mark 30-1 2nd $14.40 Tri $147.48
#5 Eighty Seven North 12-1 4th Spr $1075

Race 5 :

#7 Vineyard Sound 3-2                    30 1st $4.00
#6 Shamrocked 5-2                           28 2nd $3.00 Ex $9.30
#3 Preamble 7-2                                 27 4th
#5 Durkin’s Call 8-1                          26 3rd $3.50 Spr $75.40

Race 6 :

#4 Texas Basin 3-1                              18
#10 Voter Protection 2-1                   17
#12 Greatheart 8-1                              16
#7 Charleston Strong 3-1                   16

Dirt Selections

#7 Charlestown Strong 3-1 scratched
#12 Greatheart 8-1
#11 Coach P 8-1 scratched
#2 Pacific Legend 5-2
#8 Risky Woods 15-1 4th

Race 7 :

#1 Striking Causeway 3-1                  17
#10 Scuttlebuzz 9-2                            16
#9 Bernardino 8-1                               16
#2 The Golden Door 4-1                     15

Dirt Selections

#7 Raven Rocks 12-1 1st $12.00
#11 Ernie Banker 5-2
#3 Not Phar Now 6-1 2nd $8.40
#5 Neuro 10-1
#6 Wudda U Think Now 8-1

Race 8 :

#4 Cold Hard Cash 7-5                     31 2nd $2.30
#5 Beach Access 10-1                       29
#7 Six Percent 5-2                             28 1st $9.50
#1 Farragut 9-2                                  28 3rd $2.40

Race 9 :

#5 Xanthique 5-1                               34
#6 Mitchell Road 3-1                         33 scratched
#8 Lead Guitar 7-2                             32 1st $6.40
#2 My Sassy Sarah 12-1                    30

Dirt Selections

#8 Lead Guitar 7-2
#11 Sunny Dale 15-1
#13 Overheated 12-1
#12 Slimey 7-2

Race 10 :

#6 Jewel of Arabia 4-1                    29 3rd $3.90
#9 Love and Love 10-1                    28 scratched
#4 Good Credence 7-2                     27 1st $5.60
#2 Archumybaby 4-1                       27 4th

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  6,4,1 4

Race 2 :  6,8,4 Dirt : 1,2,8 *8 scratched using 1,2,7 7

Race 3 :  2,1 2

Race 4 :  7,4,5,10 Dirt : 9,10,7,8 7

Race 5 :  7,6 7

$.50 Ticket :  $72 $54(after scratches) $249.50

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  6,8,4,10 Dirt : 1,2,8,7 7

Race 3 :  2,1 2

Race 4 :  7,4,5,10 Dirt :  9,10,7,8 7

Race 5 :  7,6,3 7

$.50 Ticket :  $48 $27(after scratches) $27.37

Pick 6 :

Race 5 :  7,6,3 7

Race 6 :  4,10,12,7 Dirt : 7,12,11,2 *7 & 11 scratched using 12,2,8 x

Race 7 :  1,10,9 Dirt :  7,11,3 7

Race 8 :  4,5 x

Race 9 :  5,6,8 Dirt : 8,11,13 8

Race 10 : 6,9,4 *9 scratched using 6,4,2

$.20 Ticket :  $129.60

Late Pick 5 :

Race 6 :  4,10,12,7 Dirt : 7,12,11,2 *7 & 11 scratched using 12,2,8 x

Race 7 :  1,10,9 Dirt : 7,11,3 7

Race 8 : 4,5 x

Race 9 :  5,6,8 Dirt : 8,11,13 8

Race 10 : 6,9,4 *9 scratched using 6,4,2 4

$.50 Ticket :  $108

Late Pick 4 :

Race 7 :  1,10,9,2 Dirt :  7,11,3,5 7

Race 8 :  4,5,7 7

Race 9 :  5,6,8,2 Dirt : 8,11,13,12 8

Race 10 : 6,9,4 *9 scratched using 6,4,2 4

$.50 Ticket :  $72 $54 ticket after scratches $164

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


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