A Winning Day at the Races!
October 17th, 2026 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site ten years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,909/25,842 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 12,066/25,842. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*NFL Picks (ATS) Season 33-28 (53%)…Week Six Picks Below…
Week One 8-6 (57%)…
Week Two 9-7 (56%)…
Week Three 8-8 (50%)…
Week Four 8-7 (53%)…
Week Five 7-7 (50%)…
*Early Pick 4 for us Thursday at Belmont…$1,143.61 on a $64 ticket…
*Saturday’s Full Card Belmont Park & Keeneland Picks/Plays Below…
Belmont Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#6 Commuted 1-2 34 1st $2.44
#3 Breslau 6-1 33
#1 Cool Andy 5-1 32
#2 Run Classic 6-1 31 2nd $4.76
Race 2:
#3 River Seine (IRE) 3-1 33 1st $7.98 Dbl $11.42
#1 Delightful Flame 6-5 32 3rd $2.10
#4 Gift of Gab 9-5 32 2nd $3.34 Tri $40.68
#6 So Sophia (GB) 15-1 31
Race 3:
#5 Le Gris 7-5 32 2nd $2.46
#3 Missouri River 3-1 32
#1 Frizzante 6-1 31 1st $30.34
#4 Sharp Spark 5-1 30 3rd $4.80
Race 4:
#6 Seat At the Table 2-1 31 1st $7.38
#8 Planet Clare 5-1 30 3rd $3.52
#5 Lady Firefoot 4-1 30 4th
#2 Save Us Melania 8-1 29
Race 5:
#5 Mission Improbable 9-2 35 1st $6.66 Dbl $28.14
#4 Bite and Strike 3-1 34 3rd $2.10
#7 Shape Note 2-1 33 scratched
#8 Global Prosperity 8-1 32
Race 6:
#5 Will Not Be Swayed 2-1 31 2nd $2.90
#6 Mascara 6-1 29 3rd $3.94
#7 City Blocks 3-1 29
#1 Meg’s Foxy Grey 7-2 28 1st $6.98
Race 7:
#1 Carc Brothers 6-5 35 1st $4.30
#7 Interceptor 2-1 33
#3 Sardis 10-1 32 4th
#2 Mutaawid 4-1 31 scratched
Race 8:
#9 Beira 5-1 31
#2 Bourbon Serengeti 15-1 30
#5 Despo’s Dream 7-2 30 4th
#3 Snide 4-1 29
Race 9:
#4 Magnanimous Max 3-1 36
#1 Georgia Magic 6-5 35 1st $4.46
#8 Kinetic 6-1 34 scratched
#6 Fateful Lighting 12-1 34 2nd $5.98
Race 10:
#1 Highlands Way 5-2 33 3rd $2.46
#9 Emirates Road 10-1 32 scratched
#3 Paros 4-1 31
#4 Hammerhead 6-1 31 2nd $4.58
Race 11:
#4 Secured Landing 2-1 33 4th
#5 Princip 8-1 32
#2 Normandy Coast 5-1 31 3rd $3.64
#9 Pineapple Man 12-1 30 1st $51.58
Belmont Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 6,3,1
Race 2: 3,1,4
Race 3: 5,3
Race 4: 6,8,5
Race 5: 5,4,7 *7 scratched using 5,4,8
$.50 Ticket: $81
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 3,1,4
Race 3: 5,3
Race 4: 6,8,5
Race 5: 5,4,7 *7 scratched using 5,4,8
$.50 Ticket: $27
Pick 5 (3-7):
Race 3: 5,3
Race 4: 6,8,5
Race 5: 5,4,7 *7 scratched using 5,4,8
Race 6: 5,6,7,1
Race 7: 1,7
$.50 Ticket: $72
Pick 4 (4-7):
Race 4: 6,8,5,2
Race 5: 5,4,7 *7 scratched using 5,4,8
Race 6: 5,6,7
Race 7: 1,7
$.50 Ticket: $36
Pick 5 (5-9):
Race 5: 5,4,7 *7 scratched using 5,4,8
Race 6: 5,6,7,1
Race 7: 1,7
Race 8: 9,2,5,3
Race 9: 4,1
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 6:
Race 6: 5,6,7
Race 7: 1
Race 8: 9,2,5,3
Race 9: 4,1
Race 10: 1,9,3,4 *9 scratched using 1,3,4,7
Race 11: 4,5,2
$1.00 Ticket: $288
Late Pick 5:
Race 7: 1,7
Race 8: 9,2,5,3
Race 9: 4,1
Race 10: 1,9,3,4 *9 scratched using 1,3,4,7
Race 11: 4,5,2
$.50 Ticket: $96
Late Pick 4:
Race 8: 9,2,5,3
Race 9: 4,1,8,6
Race 10: 1,9,3,4 *9 scratched using 1,3,4,7
Race 11: 4,5,2
$.50 Ticket: $96
Keeneland Selections
*Off-Turf leaving Picks as is…
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#5 Hodl Hard 5-1 28
#8 Trouble Time 5-2 27 1st $4.34
#7 L Rankin 6-1 27 3rd $5.34
#4 Our Standard 10-1 26
Race 2:
#12 Sailor’s Dream 7-2 15 scratched
#7 Queens Ambition 6-1 14 3rd $3.36
#8 Dream Wave 12-1 13 1st $11.38
#4 Ardennes 10-1 12 4th
Race 3:
#7 Dancin for Gold 5-2 32 3rd $2.88
#9 Halfway Joking 4-1 31
#6 Lord Majesty 6-1 31 4th
#4 Doctor Jeff 12-1 30
Race 4:
#9 Sucker for Looks 4-1 19 scratched
#8 Nuccia 15-1 18
#3 Candy Pancakes 7-2 17
#5 Delightful Diva 6-1 17
Race 5:
#2 Jefferson Street 9-2 33
#10 Ship Ship Hooray 8-1 32
#9 Great White 4-1 31
#3 Creole Chrome 3-1 31 2nd $5.66
Race 6:
#7 Outlaw Joe 5-1 19
#11 Capitola 7-2 18 3rd $3.64
#12 Fair Chase 10-1 18 4th
#5 Start the Party 8-1 17
Race 7:
#12 Deep Flame 7-5 37
#6 Dr. Kapur 12-1 34 1st $50.24
#1 Solitude Dude 6-1 34
#3 Chief Wallabee 8-1 33 2nd $6.54
Race 8:
#10 Bojaca Blessing 7-2 34 scratched
#3 Hear the Queen 7-2 33 2nd $2.42
#8 She’s Lookin Lucky 3-1 32 scratched
#1 Caviar Breakfast 8-1 31 1st $6.44 Ex $12.14
Race 9:
#8 Conceit 4-1 35 4th
#9 Mashallah 8-5 34
#10 With a Kiss 20-1 33
#2 Mythical 12-1 33 2nd $25.46
Race 10:
#9 Paris Twilight 10-1 31 1st $9.32
#1 Mechaya 6-1 30
#5 Epic Lady Luck 7-2 30
#3 Twirling Claire 4-1 29
Keeneland Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 5,8,7
Race 2: 12,7,8,4 *12 scratched using 7,8,4,2
Race 3: 7,9,6
Race 4: 9,8,3 *9 scratched using 8,3,5
Race 5: 2,10,9,3
$.50 Ticket: $216
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 12,7,8,4 *12 scratched using 7,8,4,2
Race 3: 7,9,6
Race 4: 9,8,3,5
Race 5: 2,10,9,3
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 6:
Race 5: 2,10,9,3
Race 6: 7,11
Race 7: 12
Race 8: 10,3,8 *10,8 scratched using 3,1,5
Race 9: 8,9
Race 10: 9,1,5,3 *1,5 scratched using 9,3,4
$1.00 Ticket: $192
Late Pick 5:
Race 6: 7,11,12,5
Race 7: 12
Race 8: 10,3,8 *10,8 scratched using 3,1,5
Race 9: 8,9
Race 10: 9,1,5,3 *1,5 scratched using 9,3,4
$.50 Ticket: $48
Late Pick 4:
Race 7: 12,6,1
Race 8: 10,3,8 *10,8 scratched using 3,1,5
Race 9: 8,9
Race 10: 9,1,5,3 *1,5 scratched using 9,3,4
$.50 Ticket: $36
NFL Week 6 Picks:
Seahawks -2.5 x
Jaguars -2.5
Falcons +1.5
Ravens -3
Saints -1.5
Steelers -2.5
Eagles +3.5
Colts -6.5
Jets +7.5
Cardinals +12.5
Raiders +5.5
Chiefs -7.5
Packers -1.5
49ers -7.5
College Football Picks:
Western Kentucky -1.5 ✓
East Carolina -4.5 x
Memphis -6.5 x
Washington +3.5 ✓
Boston College +6.5 ✓
Texas -11.5 x
Michigan State +7.5 ✓
James Madison -10.5 ✓
Mississippi State +16.5 x
Virginia +9.5 x
Ohio State -3.5 ✓
Western Michigan -6.5 ✓
North Carolina +3.5 ✓
Georgia -19.5 x
Maryland -5.5 x
Cincinnati +1.5 x
Alabama -7.5 x
Penn State +5.5 ✓
Georgia Tech +9.5 x
UNLV +1.5 x
Ole Miss -5.5 ✓
Miami Ohio -9.5 ✓
Eastern Michigan +7.5 x
Vanderbilt -5.5
Baylor -5.5
Wisconsin +2.5
Notre Dame -10.5
Ohio -15.5
Wake Forest -9.5
Oklahoma -6.5
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
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