October 20th , 2018 Free Picks & Plays

• October 19, 2018
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here on weekends through the Belmont Meet. For Full Card Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site two years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 68% of the time, and top choice is first or second 42% of the time. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Strong Finish Yesterday ,with the Late Pick 4 , $283 0n a $48 play…Also had the triple and super races 5 & 6 , $168 & $1048 Tri’s and $1062 & $3450 Super’s!…Two cold exacta’s and three on top winners on the card.

Belmont Selections

Race 2 :         Strength Variable :

#7 Satisfy 4-1                                    32
#3 I Still Miss You 15-1                   31
#4 Holiday Disguise 3-1                  31
#10 Picco Uno 9-2                            30

Satisfy doesn’t have the stakes experience of many of these, but can’t fault the recent form. She’s on a three race win streak, the last came against open company producing a career best figure. Horse for course is no worse than second in four career starts over this oval.

Race 3 :

#7 Red Knight 4-1                             34
#10 Tapitation 10-1                          33
#11 Offering Plan 8-5                       33
#2 Rapt 12-1                                       31

Red Knight is perfect at today’s distance and loves this turf course. This guy fires every time and gets Alvarado back today who gets along well with gelding, aboard for three of the five career wins.

Race 5 :

#4 Munchkin Money 8-1                 36
#6 La Moneda 8-5                             36
#7 Fifty Five 7-5                                 35
#3 Lady Joan 4-1                                32

Munchkin Money finished just behind 7-5 ML favorite in last, will offer good value, Johnny V stays.

Race 7 :

#11 Kept True 6-1                               27
#12 Shelley Ann 12-1                         26
#7 Cartwheelin Lulu 7-2                    25
#1 Maiden Beauty 8-1                        25

Kept True had a very professional debut, rated off the pace, getting dirt in her face the whole way, then muscled her way through to edge clear and was geared down late. Filly stretches out today, but her running style and ability to relax should bode well . Barn is very high on her, she’s classy and has a big upside.

Race 9 :

#1 Frost Wise 8-1                                33
#4 Hay Field 6-1                                  32
#7 English Soul 10-1                           31
#6 Frostie Anne 9-2                             31

Frost Wise loses the blinkers after disaster in last, the two back effort would put her right there, Johnny V sees fit to take the call.

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  3,4,7,10

Race 3 :  2,7,10,11

Race 4 :  3,5,8,9

Race 5 :  4,6

$.50 Ticket :  $64

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.