October 21st , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

• October 20, 2021
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 9941/15119, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6688/15119. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*All content will continue to be posted here on the Free Page through this weekend…

*Thursday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays Below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#2 Regal Quality 3-1                     28 2nd $7.00
#5 Grit and Glory 8-1                    27
#6 Supreme Aura 5-2                    27
#4 Playwright 8-1                          26

Race 2 :

#7 Umbria 2-1                                  18 3rd $2.10
#11 Yarrow 9-5                                 17 scratched
#3 Mr. Connecticut 3-1                   16 2nd $3.10
#8 Shutters 6-1                                 16 1st $9.50

Race 3 :

#4 Risk Profile 5-1                            31 3rd $3.60
#6 Perfect Munnings 3-1                 30 4th
#3 South Africa 8-1                           29
#7 Scocciatore 5-1                             28

Race 4 :

#2 Bee Bit 4-1                                    28 2nd $3.80
#6 Five Alarm Robin 2-1                  27 3rd $2.30
#1a Tiz Her Way 20-1                       26 scratched
#7 Blue Atlas 3-1                               26 1st $5.50

Race 5 :

#9 Al’s Rocket 5-1                              17 3rd $3.50
#7 Safalow’s Mission 4-1                  16 2nd $10.40
#3 Thrill of It 7-2                                15
#8 Florida Gator 6-1                           15 1st $13.80

Race 6 :

#1 Flop Shot (IRE) 6-5                       33 2nd $2.10
#8 Farmington Road 8-1                   32
#3 Value Engineering 7-2                  31 1st $7.50
#2 Journeyman 8-1                             30 scratched

Race 7 :

#5 Urban Forest 7-2                            18
#6 Mo Donegal 5-2                              18 1st $4.70
#2 Vodka Mardini 12-1                       17
#3 Predicted 6-1                                   17

Race 8 :

#4 Atone 6-1                                           31 2nd $4.20
#2 Ballagh Rocks 20-1                          30
#3 Attentive 8-1                                     29
#1 Bodecream 5-2                                  29 1st $5.30

Race 9 :

#1 Marvelous Maude 5-2                      29
#5 Unicorn Sally 6-1                              28
#12 Sweet Franny Lu 2-1                       27
#4 Pop the Bubbly 12-1                          27

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  2,5,6 x

Race 2 :  7,11 *11 using 7,3 x

Race 3 :  4,6,3 x

Race 4 :  2,6,1a *1a scratched using 2,6,7 7

Race 5 :  9,7 x

$.50 Ticket :  $54

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  7,11,3 *11 using 7,3,8 8

Race 3 :  4,6,3 x

Race 4 :  2,6,1a,7 7

Race 5 :  9,7,3,8 8

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Pick 6 :

Race 4 :  2,6 x

Race 5 :  9,7,3 x

Race 6 :  1 x

Race 7 :  5,6 6

Race 8 :  4,2,3 x

Race 9 :  1,5

$1.00 Ticket :  $72

Late Pick 5 :

Race 5 :  9,7,3 x

Race 6 :  1,8,3,2 3

Race 7 :  5,6,2,3 6

Race 8 :  4,2,3 x

Race 9 :  1

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Late Pick 4 :

Race 6 :  1,8,3,2 3

Race 7 :  5,6,2,3 6

Race 8 :  4,2,3,1 1

Race 9 :  1,5

$.50 Ticket :  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.