A Winning Day at the Races!

October 23rd , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 9954/15128, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6699/15128. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*All content will continue to be posted here on the Free Page through this weekend…

*Saturday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays Below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#11 Speed Effect 5-2                      28 4th
#6 Profusion 4-1                             27 2nd $4.40
#7 Litterbox 6-1                              26
#1 Make It in Ny 10-1                    25 3rd $5.20

Race 2 :

#1 Scuttlebuzz 5-2                         31
#5 Colton’s Command 3-1            30 2nd $3.40
#4 Big Everest 3-1                          29 3rd $3.20
#7 Turn of Events 4-1                    28 1st $8.40

Race 3 :

#8 Lia Marina 5-2                          18 1st $3.90
#6 Brisky Frolic 7-2                       18 3rd $3.80
#11 Sheer Alice (GB) 10-1            17
#9 Radiant Gem 8-1                       17

Race 4 :

#3 Ernie Banker 4-1                      27
#5 Papa Smooth 9-2                     26 4th
#1 Posse Can Disco 8-1                26
#9 Noctilucent 12-1                      25

Race 5 :

#6 Maseta 4-1                                  17 1st $11.00
#8 Nikostratos 8-1                          16 2nd $8.60
#4 Sir John 6-1                                 15 4th Ex $66.50
#5 Desert Tornado 6-1                   15

Race 6 :

#3 Repo Rocks 8-1                           29
#5 Ring of Fire 6-1                           29 1st $11.00
#12 King James 4-1                          28 2nd $7.70
#1 Determined Fury 5-1                  27

Race 7 :

#5 Cupid’s Heart 5-1                        17 1st $7.60
#10 Frosty Invasion 10-1                16 scratched
#4 Sweet lies 9-2                               16
#3 Glittering Prize 4-1                     15

Race 8 :

#1 In a Hurry 8-1                               34 4th
#10 Tamahere (FR) 9-5                     33
#2 Flower Point 12-1                         32 3rd $6.60
#5 Shifty She 9-2                                32 1st $15.20

Race 9 :

#6 Original 15-1                                 33
#9 Public Sector (GB) 5-2                 33 1st $8.60
#8 Sifting Sands (GB) 8-1                 32
#2 Slicked Back 8-1                            31

Race 10 :

#10 Kisses for Emily 8-1                   16
#9 Kant Hurry Love 5-2                    15 2nd $3.00
#4 Silver Fist 7-2                                14 1st $7.20
#2 Sunset Louise 20-1                       14

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  11,6,7,1 x

Race 2 :  1,5,4 x

Race 3 :  8,6 8

Race 4 :  3,5 x

Race 5 :  6,8,4 6

$.50 Ticket :  $72

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  1,5,4 x

Race 3 :  8,6,11,9 8

Race 4 :  3,5,1 x

Race 5 :  6,8,4 6

$.50 Ticket :  $54

Pick 6 :

Race 5 :  6,8,4 6

Race 6 :  3,5 5

Race 7 :  5,10,4 *10 scratched using 5,4,3 5

Race 8 :  1,10 x

Race 9 :  6,9 9

Race 10 : 10,9 x

$1.00 Ticket :  $144

Late Pick 5 :

Race 6 :  3,5,12,1 5

Race 7 :  5,10,4 *10 scratched using 5,4,3 5

Race 8 :  1,10,2 x

Race 9 :  6,9,8 9

Race 10 : 10,9 x

$.50 Ticket :  $108

Late Pick 4 :

Race 7 :  5,10,4,3 5

Race 8 :  1,10,2,5 5

Race 9 :  6,9,8 9

Race 10 : 10,9,4 4

$.50 Ticket :  $72 $54 after scratch $305.50

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 


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