A Winning Day at the Races!

October 27th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,503/17,559, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,942/17,559. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#6 Quarrel 3-1                               19
#10 Galileo’s Jewel (IRE) 8-1      18
#1 Lexi’s Spirit 5-1                       18
#11 Iguaxu (IRE) 12-1                  17

Dirt Selections

#6 Quarrel 3-1 4th
#15 Embrace Me 8-1
#7 Romance Pelusa 30-1
#14 Every Time 10-1 scratched

Race 2:

#1 Scilly Cay 2-5                            29 1st $2.60
#3 Vintage Hollywood 6-1           27 3rd $2.20
#4 First Deputy 9-2                       26 scratched
#2 Prayer Book 12-1                      25

Race 3:

#8 Umbria 4-1                                26 1st $8.80 
#6 Brunate 5-2                               26 2nd $3.20 Ex $26
#4 Box of Joe 7-2                            25 4th
#7 Ready to March 7-2                  24 3rd $3.90 Spr $285.40

Race 4:

#4 Tap the Faith 9-2                      30 3rd $4.80
#3 Its Cold in Dehere 4-1              29
#2 Far Away Love (ARG) 8-1         28 4th
#5 Customerexperience 7-2          28

Race 5:

#14 Analyze It 5-2 AE                     33 scratched
#3 Wootton Asset (FR) 3-1            32 1st $7.70
#2 Call Me Harry 9-2                       31 4th
#10 Dominate Themoment 15-1  30
#1 It Can Be Done 6-1                     29 3rd $3.60

Dirt Selections

#15 Kinetic Sky 7-5
#16 Two Thirty Five 2-1
#8 Ocean Atlantique 7-2
#6 Laughing Boy 15-1

Race 6:

#2 Bingood to Knowya 6-1              17 4th
#4 Inspector 3-1                                17
#10 D’ont Lose Cruz 9-5                  16 1st $5.20
#8 Mariachi 10-1                               15 2nd $5.10

Race 7:

#6 Turn of Events 9-2                      33
#4 Ranger Fox 8-1                            32 scratched
#1 Noble Emotion 6-1                      31
#3 Maxwell Esquire 10-1                 30

Dirt Selections

#14 Runninsonofagun 2-1
#16 Stage Left 9-2
#15 Senbei 4-1
#13 Flamingo Hawk 6-1

Race 8:

#3 Chaysenbryn 9-2                          28
#7 Spooky Road 12-1                        27
#8 New York Banker 10-1                 26
#9 Sister Supream 8-1                       26

Race 9:

#8 Itsallcomintogetha 5-1                15
#11 Tony O 15-1                                 15
#6 Provision 5-2                                 14
#5 Aula 10-1                                        13

Dirt Selections

#13 Atlanta’s Acuna 3-1
#8 Itsallcomintogetha 5-1
#11 Tony O 15-1
#1 Thethrillofvictory 4-1

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  6,10,1,11 Dirt: 6,15,7,14 *14 scratched using 6,15,7,4 4

Race 2:  1,3 1

Race 3:  8,6,4 8

Race 4:  4,3,2,5 x

Race 5:  14,3,2 Dirt: 15,16,8 *14 scratched using 3,2,10 3

$.50 Ticket:  $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  1,3 1

Race 3:  8,6,4,7 8

Race 4:  4,3,2,5 x

Race 5:  14,3,2,10 Dirt: 15,16,8,6 *14 scratched using 3,2,10,1 3

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 4:  4,3,2,5 x

Race 5:  14,3 Dirt: 15,16 *14 scratched using 3,2 3

Race 6:  2,4,10 10

Race 7:  6,4 Dirt: 14,16 x

Race 8:  3

Race 9:  8,11,6 Dirt: 13,8,11 *8 scratched using 13,11,1

$1.00 Ticket:  $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  14,3,2,10 Dirt: 15,16,8,6 *14 scratched using 3,2,10,1 3

Race 6:  2,4,10 10

Race 7:  6,4,1 Dirt:  14,16,15 x

Race 8:  3,7 *7 scratched using 3,9

Race 9:  8,11,6 Dirt: 13,8,11 *8 scratched using 13,11,1

$.50 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  2,4,10,8 10

Race 7:  6,4,1,3 Dirt: 14,16,15,13 x

Race 8:  3,7,8 *7 scratched using 3,9,1

Race 9:  8,11,6 Dirt: 13,8,11 *8 scratched using 13,11,1

$.50 Ticket:  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 


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