A Winning Day at the Races!

October 29th , 2020 Free Picks & Plays

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily. For Full Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site four years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 8574/12942, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 5646/12942. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Full Card Belmont Park Picks/Plays will remain Free through the end of the Belmont Fall Meet and posted here on the Free Page…

*Thursday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays Below…

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#2 Allured 2-1                               28 1st $3.80
#4 Microscope 7-2                        27 2nd $3.00 Ex $9.40
#1 Fried Rice King 8-5                 26 scratched
#5 Mr. Shortandsimple 4-1         26 3rd  $2.20 Tri $13.40

Race 2 :

#9 Halpert 9-2                                15
#5 Danzigwiththestars 7-2          14
#4 Storm Shooter 3-1                   14
#12 Another Shot 8-1                   13

Dirt Selections

#13 Reunion Tour 4-1
#4 Storm Shooter 3-1 1st $5.60
#15 Panster 5-2
#14 One Whirlwind Ride 5-1

Race 3 :

#5 Madera 5-2                                16 1st $9.00
#6 Wishes and Dreams 9-2          15 2nd $5.00 Ex $29.20
#8 Please 8-1                                  14
#4 Buyer’s Remorse 2-1                14 3rd $2.90

Race 4 :

#3 Duncastle 6-1                            30
#6 Kitten’s Cat 5-1                         29
#7 McErin 8-1                                  28
#4 Pagliacci 8-1                               27

Dirt Selections

#12 Home Run Maker 2-1 3rd $3.20
#14 Vineyard Sound 7-2 1st $5.30
#1a Jump for Joy 20-1 scratched
#3 Duncastle 6-1 scratched
#13 Hawaiian Noises 15-1

Race 5 :

#6 Bustin to Please 5-2                 29
#7 Awesome Alana 3-1                  28 2nd $5.10
#1 Forgotten Hero 5-1                   27 1st $6.90
#4 Jc’s Shooting Star 3-1               27 3rd $3.10

Race 6 :

#8 Makoto 8-1                                  17
#1 Souper Energizer 9-2                 16
#10 Bold Gem 6-1                            15
#6 Prince of Caps 4-1                      15

Dirt Selections

#14 Tenderfoot 2-1 1st $7.20
#16 Commissioner G 8-1 scratched
#15 My Fist Grammy 3-1 2nd $4.50 Ex $25.40
#12 I Got a Secret 6-1 3rd $7.60 Tri $182

Race 7 :

#4 Tactical Move 8-5                       18
#3 Risk Model 5-1                            16 3rd $3.20
#6 Undine 5-2                                   16 1st $10.60
#2 Seaside Retreat 9-2                    15 2nd $4.60

Race 8 :

#5 Chewing Gum 3-1                       34
#7 Sayyaaf 4-1                                   33
#10 Backtohisroots 5-1                    32
#2 True Valour (IRE) 10-1                31

Dirt Selections

#4 Wicked Trick 5-2
#5 Chewing Gum 3-1 3rd $3.10
#13 Absentee 8-1 1st $25.40
#12 Wendell Fong 7-2
#9 Battle Station 8-1

Race 9 :

#8 Itsakeyper 12-1                           27
#10 Corey Scores 5-2                       27
#12 Alley to Calvary 6-1                 26
#1 Hurricane Breeze 2-1                 26

Dirt Selections

#15 Stunnings Munnings 2-1 1st $5.00
#16 Girardi 7-2 3rd $4.30
#13 Make Or Break 3-1 2nd $5.10 Tri $104.48
#14 Classy Sadie 6-1

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  2,4,1 2

Race 2 :  9,5,4 Dirt : 13,4,15 4

Race 3 :  5,6 5

Race 4 :  3,6,7 Dirt : 12,14,1a 14

Race 5 :  6,7 x

$.50 Ticket :  $54

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  9,5,4,12 Dirt : 13,4,15,14 4

Race 3 :  5,6 5

Race 4 :  3,6,7,4 Dirt :  12,14,1a,3 14

Race 5 :  6,7,1,4 1

$.50 Ticket :  $64 ($32 after scratches) $89.12

Pick 6 :

Race 4 :  3,6,7,4 Dirt : 12,14,1a,3 14

Race 5 :  6,7 x

Race 6 :  8,1,10,6 Dirt : 14,16,15,12 14

Race 7 :  4,3,6 6

Race 8 :  5,6 Dirt : 4,5 x

Race 9 :  8,10,12,1 Dirt : 15,16,13,14

$.50 Ticket :  $153.60

Late Pick 5 :

Race 5 :  6,7,1,4 1

Race 6 :  8,1,10,6 Dirt : 14,16,15,12 14

Race 7 :  4,3,6 6

Race 8 :  5,7 Dirt : 4,5 x

Race 9 :  8,10,12 Dirt : 15,16,13

$.50 Ticket :  $144

Late Pick 4 :

Race 6 :  8,1,10,6 Dirt : 14,16,15,12 14

Race 7 :  4,3,6 6

Race 8 :  5,7,10 Dirt : 4,5,13 13

Race 9 :  8,10,12 Dirt : 15,16,13

$.50 Ticket :  $54 ($40.50 after scratches)$282.75

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


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