A Winning Day at the Races!
October 29th, 2022 Free Picks & Plays
*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…
*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,514/17,577, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,950/17,577. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Keeneland Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#7 Photon 3-1 17 2nd $3.40
#4 Cape Cod Causeway 5-1 16
#3 Can’t Fool Me 10-1 15 1st $18.80
#10 Pimenova 4-1 15 4th
Race 2:
#7 Chucka Moon 5-2 18 4th
#3 War Fighter 2-1 17 1st $8.00
#6 Cleat 5-2 16 3rd $2.30
#2 Captain Quick 8-1 15 2nd $7.10 Spr $208.40
Race 3:
#1 Winit 9-2 31 1st $7.20
#6 Money Supply 5-2 30 2nd $3.80 Ex $25.80
#2 Luni Sima 6-1 29 4th
#5 Shipsational 4-1 28
Race 4:
#4 Freedom Trail 3-1 29 1st $5.80 Dbl $30.40
#3 Dandy Handyman 4-1 28 2nd $8.30 Ex $48.20
#6 Let’s Go Big Blue 5-2 28 3rd $2.60 Triple $202
#7 El de Chimi 9-2 27
Race 5:
#3 Morello 4-1 35 Best Bet
#6 Baby Yoda 6-5 35 2nd $2.60
#2 Empty Tomb 3-1 34 4th
#1 Shackqueenking 5-1 33 3rd $3.80
Race 6:
#1 Mrs. Green 2-1 32 2nd $2.80
#4 Mischievous Dream 4-1 31 3rd $2.60
#7 Stop War 7-2 30
#3 Secret Time (GER) 5-1 30
Race 7:
#1 Customer List (FR) 2-1 29 2nd $2.50
#5 Invincible Gal (GB) 7-2 28 scratched
#4 Chorus Girl 8-1 27 3rd $3.20
#8 Tuscan Queen 15-1 27
Race 8:
#2 Boston Post Road 9-5 34 1st $3.30
#5 Glass Ceiling 5-2 33 4th
#1 W W Fitzy 4-1 32 scratched
#6 Oxana 6-1 31 3rd $4.30
Race 9:
#4 Jaxon Traveler 7-2 36
#7 Eastern Bay 4-1 35 2nd $6.90
#6 Steinbeck 20-1 34
#3 Factor It In 8-1 33 3rd $5.60
Race 10:
#5 Six Minus 6-1 31
#4 St. Joe Louis (GB) 4-1 30
#7 Royal Spirit 9-2 29
#6 Relate 7-2 29
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 7,4,3,10 3
Race 2: 7,3,6 3
Race 3: 1,6,2 1
Race 4: 4,3,6 4
Race 5: 3,6 x
$.50 Ticket: $108
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 7,3,6,2 3
Race 3: 1,6,2,5 1
Race 4: 4,3,6,7 4
Race 5: 3,6 x
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 4 (4-7):
Race 4: 4,3,6,7 4
Race 5: 3,6,2 x
Race 6: 1,4,7 x
Race 7: 1,5 *5 scratched using 1,4 x
$.50 Ticket: $36
Pick 6:
Race 5: 3,6 x
Race 6: 1,4 x
Race 7: 1,5 *5 scratched using 1,4 x
Race 8: 2,5 2
Race 9: 4,7 x
Race 10: 5,4,7
$1.00 Ticket: $96
Late Pick 5:
Race 6: 1,4,7,3 x
Race 7: 1,5 *5 scratched using 1,4 x
Race 8: 2,5,1 *1 scratched using 2,5,6 2
Race 9: 4,7 x
Race 10: 5,4,7,6
$.50 Ticket: $96
Late Pick 4:
Race 7: 1,5,4 *5 scratched using 1,4,8 x
Race 8: 2,5,1,6 2
Race 9: 4,7 x
Race 10: 5,4,7,6
Keeneland Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#2 Joan’s Way 8-5 14 1st $3.34
#3 Alsanah 3-1 12 2nd $3.00
#7 Avarie 7-2 11 4th
#5 Trust Fund Baby 20-1 10
Race 2:
#4 Dallas Volunteer 5-2 27 3rd $2.60
#8 Big Java 4-1 26 2nd $4.52
#3 Fortune Bound 20-1 25
#1 Bayshore Foxes 15-1 25
Race 3:
#3 Le Da Vida (CHI) 3-1 33 1st $5.16
#5 Mariah’s Princess 7-2 32 2nd $4.40 Ex $18.84
#6 Envoutante 2-1 31
#1 Jungle Juice (IRE) 8-1 31
Race 4:
#7 Olga Isabel 9-5 30 2nd $2.72
#4 Braganza 7-2 30
#3 Gina 12-1 29
#9 Aunt Naughty 12-1 28
Race 5:
#10 Mendel’s Secret 4-1 30
#12 Rarified Flair 9-2 29
#7 Blamethegoodtimes 6-1 28
#2 General Jim 7-2 28 1st $7.98
Race 6:
#3 Quick Hammer 5-2 31
#5 Super Chow 5-1 30 1st$10.96
#2 Sir Lancelot 3-1 30 4th
#1 Raise Cain 7-2 29 3rd $3.16
Race 7:
#4 Arrogates Spirit 12-1 19
#11 Cape Trafalgar 3-1 18
#9 Power Seeker 6-1 18 1st $12.80
#6 Pricing Power 5-1 17
Race 8:
#8 Wit 3-1 35 Best Bet 2nd
#1 Ready to Purrform 5-1 34
#6 Portfolio Company 8-1 33 4th
#3 Fort Washington 15-1 32
Race 9:
#1 West Will Power 4-1 36
#5 King Fury 8-1 35
#4 First Captain 6-5 34
#6 Last Samurai 6-1 33
Race 10:
#1 Illegal Smile (IRE) 8-5 33
#6 Spicy Marg 7-2 32
#11 Sara Mia 15-1 31
#3 New Boss 12-1 30
Keeneland Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 2,3 2
Race 2: 4,8,3,1 x
Race 3: 3,5,6 3
Race 4: 7,4 x
Race 5: 10,12,7,2 2
$.50 Ticket: $96
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 4,8,3,1 x
Race 3: 3,5,6 3
Race 4: 7,4,3,9 x
Race 5: 10,12,7,2 2
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 6:
Race 5: 10,12,7,2 2
Race 6: 3 x
Race 7: 4,11,9 9
Race 8: 8 x
Race 9: 1,5,4
Race 10: 1,6
$1.00 Ticket: $72
Late Pick 5:
Race 6: 3,5,2,1 5
Race 7: 4,11,9,6 9
Race 8: 8,1 x
Race 9: 1,5,4
Race 10: 1,6
$.50 Ticket: $96
Late Pick 4:
Race 7: 4,11,9,6 9
Race 8: 8,1,6 x
Race 9: 1,5,4,6
Race 10: 1,6,11,3
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
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