A Winning Day at the Races!
October 3rd , 2020 Free Picks & Plays
*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily. For Full Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.
*Since the launch of this site four years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 8496/12809, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 5588/12809. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…
*Full Card Belmont Park Picks/Plays will be posted here on the Free Page through this weekend once again…
*Saturday’s Full Card Belmont & Pimlico Picks/Plays Below…
Belmont Selections
Race 1 : Strength Variable :
#9 Left Leaning Lucy 4-1 27 3rd $2.30
#7 La Negrita 5-1 26 scratched
#6 Stunning Munnings 6-1 25 2nd $4.20
#3 Thea’s Theme 10-1 25
Race 2 :
#3 Lily Simone 4-1 17
#8 Mun Luv 8-1 16
#5 Bay Storm 6-1 15 3rd $4.10
#9 So Enchanting 2-1 15 2nd $3.80
Race 3 :
#6 Tale of the Union 9-5 30 2nd $3.30
#8 Harris Bay 8-1 29
#1 Golani Brigade 3-1 28 3rd $2.80
#5 Thorny Tale 8-1 27
Race 4 :
#9 Simply the Best 6-1 18 3rd $4.50
#2 Army Wife 6-5 17
#6 Fort Drum 6-1 17 1st $19.20
#1 Hurricane Florence 15-1 16
Race 5 :
#4 Frank’s Rockette 1-2 36 1st $2.70
#2 Royal Charlotte 5-1 34 3rd
#6 Pacific Gale 12-1 32
#5 Honor Way 5-1 31 2nd $3.70
Race 6 :
#3 Public Sector (GB) 5-2 32 2nd $2.80
#2 It’s a Gamble 8-1 30 scratched
#4 American Monarch 7-2 29
#1 Shawdyshawdyshawdy 4-1 28 4th
Race 7 :
#3 Channel Maker 5-2 37 1st $7.60
#1 Sadler’s Joy 7-2 35 3rd $3.40
#7 Highland Sky 12-1 34
#4 Rockemperor (IRE) 2-1 34
Race 8 :
#4 Complexity 3-2 38 1st $3.80 Dbl $20
#5 Code of Honor 1-1 36 2nd $2.40
#2 Stan the Man 8-1 34 3rd
#3 Endorsed 7-2 33 4th
Race 9 :
#4 Domestic Spending (GB) 5-2 35 scratched
#2 Gufo 3-1 34 1st $4.90 Pk 3 $52.50
#7 Venezuelan Hug 8-1 32
#1 No Word 9-2 31 2nd $4.00
Race 10 :
#5 She’s a Majestic 4-1 17 *Best Bet
#9 Mondeuse 10-1 15
#1 Emma and I 20-1 15
#6 Black Licorice 4-1 14
Belmont Plays
Early Pick 5 :
Race 1 : 9,7,6,3 x
Race 2 : 3,8,5,9 x
Race 3 : 6,8,1 x
Race 4 : 9,2,6 6
Race 5 : 4 4
$.50 Ticket : $72
Early Pick 4 :
Race 2 : 3,8,5,9 x
Race 3 : 6,8,1,5 x
Race 4 : 9,2,6,1 6
Race 5 : 4,2 4
$.50 Ticket : $64
Pick 6 :
Race 5 : 4,2 4
Race 6 : 3,2,4 *2 scratched using 3,4,1 x
Race 7 : 3,1 3
Race 8 : 4,5,2 4
Race 9 : 4,2,7 *4 scratched using 2,7,1
Race 10 : 5,9,1
$.20 Ticket : $64.80
Late Pick 5 :
Race 6 : 3,2,4 *2 scratched using 3,4,1 x
Race 7 : 3,1 3
Race 8 : 4,5 4
Race 9 : 4,2,7 *4 scratched using 2,7,1
Race 10 : 5
$.50 Ticket : $18
Late Pick 4 :
Race 7 : 3,1,7,4 3
Race 8 : 4,5,2 4
Race 9 : 4,2,7,1
Race 10 : 5,9
$.50 Ticket : $48
Pimlico Selections
Race 1 : Strength Variable :
#3 Invincible Gal (GB) 3-1 31 2nd $3.20
#4 Domain Expertise 5-2 29
#1 Fluffy Socks 4-1 28 1st $14.40
#7 Line Dancing 10-1 27
Race 2 :
#3 She’sonthewarpath 7-2 34 4th
#6 Storm the Hill 9-2 33
#1 Juliet Foxtrot (GB) 7-5 33 1st $4.20
#8 Varenka 5-1 32 2nd $4.00
Race 3 :
#6 Bronx Beauty 9-2 32 2nd $3.60
#5 Bye Bye J 4-1 31 3rd $2.80
#1 Chalon 5-2 31 scratched
#3 Never Enough time 4-1 30 1st $7.00 Tri $60.80
Race 4 :
#9 Princess Grace 10-1 31 scratched
#12 Aunt Nadine 12-1 30 scratched
#3 Caravel 12-1 30 3rd $3.20
#7 Vigilantes Way 9-2 29 2nd $4.20
Race 5 :
#2 Wicked Whisper 9-2 32 1st $12.60
#5 Mundaye Call 7-5 31 4th
#1 Ain’t No Elmers 7-2 29 2nd $4.80
#4 Sound Machine 4-1 29 3rd $7.40 Spr $596.20
Race 6 :
#1 True Valour (IRE) 12-1 37
#5 Irish Strait 8-1 36
#7 Factor This 1-1 35 1st $3.60
#2 Somelikeithotbrown 5-1 34 2nd $3.00
Race 7 :
#1 Admiral Lynch 7-2 38
#7 Stan the Man 9-2 37 scratched
#3 Eastern Bay 10-1 35 2nd $5.20
#5 Landeskog 5-2 35
Race 8 :
#6 Arrest Me Red 6-1 31 scratched
#8 Hidden Enemy (IRE) 4-1 30
#1 Pivotal Mission 3-1 29 4th
#5 Light Us Up 12-1 28 scratched
Race 9 :
#4 Reconvene 10-1 32 3rd $5.20
#13 Bye Bye Melvin 6-1 31 2nd $5.60
#10 Don Juan Kitten 9-2 30 1st $7.00 Tri $250.40
#1 Chocolate Bar 6-1 29
Race 10 :
#9 Miss Marissa 12-1 33 1st $22.20
#5 Bonny South 7-5 33 2nd $2.80 Ex $63.20
#3 So Darn Hot 6-1 32
#7 Mizzen Beau 12-1 31 4th
Race 11 :
#9 Authentic 9-5 42 *Best Bet 2nd
#10 Pneumatic 20-1 39
#5 Thousand Words 6-1 38
#1 Excession 30-1 37
Race 12 :
#12 Dance With Me Bw 5-1
#8 Rb Rich Lyke Me 7-2
#1 Paddys Day 12-1
#3 Uptown Cruisedirector 12-1
Pimlico Plays
Early Pick 5 :
Race 1 : 3,4,1,7 1
Race 2 : 3,6,1 1
Race 3 : 6,5,1 *1 scratched using 6,5,3 3
Race 4 : 9,12,3,7 x
Race 5 : 2,5 2
$.50 Ticket : $144
Early Pick 4 :
Race 2 : 3,6,1 1
Race 3 : 6,5,1 *1 scratched using 6,5,3 3
Race 4 : 9,12,3,7 x
Race 5 : 2,5 2
$.50 Ticket : $36
Pick 4 (4-7) :
Race 4 : 9,12,3,7 x
Race 5 : 2,5,1 2
Race 6 : 1,5,7,2 7
Race 7 : 1,7,3 *7 scratched using 1,3,5 x
$.50 Ticket : $72
Pick 6 :
Race 6 : 1,5,7 7
Race 7 : 1,7,3,5 x
Race 8 : 6,8,1 *6 scratched using 8,1,5 x
Race 9 : 4,13,10,1
Race 10 : 9,5
Race 11 : 9,10,5
$.20 : $172.80
Late Pick 5 :
Race 7 : 1,7,3,5 x
Race 8 : 6,8,1,5 x
Race 9 : 4,13,10
Race 10 : 9,5
Race 11 : 9,10
$.50 Ticket : $96
Late Pick 4 :
Race 8 : 6,8,1 x
Race 9 : 4,13,10,1
Race 10 : 9,5,3
Race 11 : 9,10,5
$.50 Ticket : $54
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
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