September 14th, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

• September 13, 2023
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Free Picks/Plays will be posted here on certain days…Visit the “Membership Page” for Full Access on all other days…

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 12,863/19,680, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,036/19,680. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Visit the “Membership Page” Thursday Evening or Friday to Purchase a “Weekend Pass”…$27.99 for Full Access to Friday, Saturday, and Sunday’s Aqueduct Picks/Plays & Saturday’s Churchill Downs Picks/Plays…

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#1 Snap Decision 4-5 4th
#7 Restitution (FR) 15-1
#4 Merry Maker (IRE) 12-1 1st $33.80
#8 L’Imperator (FR) 4-1 2nd $6.70

Race 2:

#5 Black Rain 8-5                        19 1st $3.20
#4 Opportunity Set 4-1              18
#1 Quality Chic 7-2                     17 2nd $4.50
#3 Cloud Forest 3-1                     17 3rd $2.60

Race 3:

#3 In a Minute 12-1                     19
#8 Aggelos the Great 7-2            18 1st $8.80
#6 Quiet Wisdom 5-2                  18 3rd $2.70
#7 Catalina Crush 2-1                 17 4th

Race 4:

#6 Orange Freeze 2-1                  29
#2 Stella Mars 4-1                        29 3rd $3.10
#5 Spinning Colors 5-2               28 2nd $2.60
#4 Collaboration 7-2                    28

Race 5:

#7 Gut Feeling 5-2                        28 1st $6.80
#5 Playingwithmatches 3-1        27 scratched
#4 Good Rapport 8-1                    26 3rd $3.90
#1 Happy Bob 3-1                          26

Race 6:

#8 Aleah Aleah 8-1                       18
#2b Where’s Chris 3-1                  17 1st $8.10
#2 Mikealicious 3-1                       16
#5 Piccata Prince 2-1                    16

Race 7:

#2 Queen Oily (IRE) 6-1              29
#1 Dontlookbackatall 8-5            28 1st $3.30
#1a Lady Mia (FR) 8-5                  28
#3 Dekanter 9-2                             27 3rd $3.20

Race 8:

#6 Ghostly Girl 5-2                        28 2nd $3.50
#8 Divine Cross 3-1                       27
#9 Harlan’s Bond 8-1                    27 4th
#1 Roman Goddess 3-1                 26 1st $6.80

Race 9:

#6 Space Launch 6-5                     32
#8 My Romeo Lima 9-2                 31
#1a Ghostlyprince 8-1                   30
#4 Spettro 12-1                               29

Race 10:

#2 Voleuse 3-1                                 16
#1 Cerretta 7-2                                 15
#8 Boston Strong Mama 6-1         15
#7 Army of Thoughts 20-1            14

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 2:  5,4,1,3

Race 3:  3,8,6

Race 4:  6,2,5

Race 5:  7,5,4 *5 scratched using 7,4,1

Race 6:  8,2b/2

$.50 Ticket:  $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 3:  3,8,6,7

Race 4:  6,2,5,4

Race 5:  7,5,4 *5 scratched using 7,4,1

Race 6:  8,2b/2

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4:  6,2,5,4

Race 5:  7,5,4,1

Race 6:  8,2b/2,5

Race 7:  2,1/1a

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Pick 6:

Race 5:  7,5 *5 scratched using 7,4

Race 6:  8,2b/2,5

Race 7:  2,1/1a

Race 8:  6,8,9

Race 9:  6

Race 10: 2,1

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Late Pick 5:

Race 6:  8,2b/2,5

Race 7:  2,1/1a

Race 8:  6,8,9,1

Race 9:  6,8,1a/1

Race 10: 2,1

$.50 Ticket:  $72

Late Pick 4:

Race 7:  2,1/1a

Race 8:  6,8,9,1

Race 9:  6,8,1a/1,4

Race 10: 2,1,8,7

$.50 Ticket:  $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.