A Winning Day at the Races!

September 18th , 2021 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site five years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 67% of the time 9845/14945, and top choice first or second 44% of the time 6615/14945. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily. For Full Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Prayers for everyone affected by this virus…

*Saturday’s & Sunday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays will be posted here on the Free Page…

*Saturday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays Below…

*Today’s Best Bet : Jalen Journey Laurel Race 8…1st $4.60

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :  Strength Variable :

#2 Java Buzz 2-1                           19 4th
#7 Grand Sonata 3-1                    18 2nd $8.80
#8 Figlio Del Re (IRE) 9-2           17
#6 Skylander 6-1                           17

Race 2 :

#4 Baby I’m Perfect 3-1                28 2nd $5.40
#10 Hushion 12-1                          27
#9 Summer Bourbon 5-1              26 1st $14.40
#6 Regal Quality 7-2                      26

Race 3 :

#3 So Enchanting 5-2                    18 1st $6.40
#6 Investment Income 4-1           17
#2 Bipartisanship (GB) 3-1           16 3rd $3.40
#8 Ingress 4-1                                  15

Race 4 :

#4 Lone Rock 1-2                            36 2nd $2.10
#3 Empty Tomb 6-1                        32
#2 Chris and Dave 12-1                  31 3rd
#1 Mo Gotcha 30-1                          29 4th

Race 5 :

#2 My Cara Mia Mine 4-1               16
#13 Cricket West 7-2 AE                 15
#9 Tara Dancer 8-1                          15 scratched
#4 Carbon 6-1                                   14
#5 No Time Alone 9-2                     14

Race 6 :

#3 Circle Back Jen 3-1                    19 4th
#8 Shared Future 7-2                      18 3rd $3.40
#6 Frosted Oats 6-1                         17 2nd $3.80
#7 For the Flag 10-1                         16

Race 7 :

#10 Hidden Enemy (IRE) 5-1         32 2nd $6.80
#6 Never Explain 5-1                       31
#5 Southern District 7-2                 30
#7 Space Launch 9-2                        30 3rd $5.50

Race 8 :

#1 Pretty Clever 5-1                         29 3rd $4.40
#6 Ok Honey 10-1                             28
#5 Out First 8-1                                 27 2nd $7.00
#2 Esotica 8-1                                    27

Race 9 :

#6 Shantisara (IRE) 7-2                   33 1st $11.40
#1 Creative Flair (IRE) 7-2              32 4th
#2 Higher Truth (IRE) 3-1               31 2nd $3.20
#3 Baby Blythe 9-2                            30

Race 10 :

#4 Soldier Rising 5-2                       35 2nd
#8 Bolshoi Ballet (IRE) 5-2             34 4th
#3 Tokyo Gold (FR) 8-1                    32
#7 Slicked Back 12-1                         31 3rd

Race 11 :

#6 Risk Profile 7-2                             29 1st $13.80
#4 Trash Talker 8-1                           28
#3 Advance Notice 4-1                      27
#8 Air Show 10-1                                26

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5 :

Race 1 :  2,7,8,6 x

Race 2 :  4,10,9,6 9

Race 3 :  3,6,2 3

Race 4 :  4 x

Race 5 :  2,13,9,4 *9 scratched using 2,13,4,5

$.50 Ticket :  $96

Early Pick 4 :

Race 2 :  4,10,9,6 9

Race 3 :  3,6,2,8 3

Race 4 :  4,3 x

Race 5 :  2,13,9,4 *9 scratched using 2,13,4,5 x

  $.50 Ticket :  $64

Pick 5 (4-8) :

Race 4 :  4 x

Race 5 :  2,13,9,4 *9 scratched using 2,13,4,5 x

Race 6 :  3,8,6 x

Race 7 :  10,6,5 x

Race 8 :  1,6,5 x

$.50 Ticket :  $54

Pick 6 :

Race 6 :  3,8 x

Race 7 :  10,6,5 x

Race 8 :  1 x

Race 9 :  6,1,2 6

Race 10 : 4,8

Race 11 :  6,4

$1.00 Ticket :  $72

Late Pick 5 :

Race 7 :  10,6,5,7 x

Race 8 :  1,6,5,2 x

Race 9 :  6,1,2 6

Race 10 : 4,8

Race 11 :  6,4

$.50 Ticket :  $96

Late Pick 4 :

Race 8 :  1,6,5,2 x

Race 9 :  6,1,2 6

Race 10 : 4,8,3

Race 11 :  6,4,3,8

$.50 Ticket :  $72

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 

 

 

 

 


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