A Winning Day at the Races!
September 18th, 2025 Free Picks & Plays
Since the launch of this site nine years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 15,474/23,870 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 11,014/23,870. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Dealing with health issues, will post Picks/Plays when able…Once again thanks to all who have reached out to me over the past month, means a lot…
*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#3 Zarak the Brave (FR) 3-1
#7 Hidden Path 7-2 4th
#1 Sweet Will (IRE) 8-1 3rd $8.98
#9 Travesuras 10-2
Race 2:
#8 Yo Leven 8-5 27
#6 That’sthefactjack 8-1 26 scratched
#7 She’s Complicated 3-1 25 1st $5.64
#1 Spirit of Esther 7-2 24 2nd $3.96
Race 3:
#7 Brokealltherules 6-1 16
#3 Red Velvet Cake 3-1 15 2nd $2.76
#6 Sugar Ride 12-1 14
#8 Patience N Grace 9-2 14 3rd $3.08
Race 4:
#4 Innate (IRE) 7-5 32 2nd $3.16
#8 Bosun 9-5 31
#7 Flat to Da Mat 6-1 29 4th
#2 Executive Order 20-1 28 scratched
Race 5:
#9 Fraudster 3-1 18
#10 Isadora Duncan (IRE) 7-2 17 2nd $5.24
#8 Blue Madame 10-1 16 1st $21.96
#3 One More Guitar 12-1 16
Race 6:
#7 Laughing Boy 5-2 28 3rd $2.38
#9 Peek 9-2 27 1st $15.62
#6 Winter’s Ghost 8-1 27 scratched
#4 O P Firecracker 4-1 26 2nd $3.54 Tri $189.52
Race 7:
#6 Slightly Busy 5-2 29
#2 Kerry 6-1 28
#1 Strictly Taboo 2-1 28
#7 Weekend Rags 6-1 27
Race 8:
#2 Askingforafriend 7-2 17
#1 Inspeightofcharlie 8-1 16
#6 Oat Coutour 5-1 15
#4 Moe Eighty Eight 5-2 15
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 2: 8,6,7,1
Race 3: 7,3,6,8
Race 4: 4,8
Race 5: 9,10
Race 6: 7,9,6,4
$.50 Ticket: $128
Early Pick 4:
Race 3: 7,3,6,8
Race 4: 4,8
Race 5: 9,10,8,3
Race 6: 7,9,6,4
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 6:
Race 3: 7,3
Race 4: 4,8
Race 5: 9,10
Race 6: 7
Race 7: 6,2,1
Race 8: 2,1,6,4
$1.00 Ticket: $96
Late Pick 5:
Race 4: 4,8
Race 5: 9,10,8,3
Race 6: 7,9,6,4
Race 7: 6,2,1
Race 8: 2,1,6
$.50 Ticket: $144
Late Pick 4:
Race 5: 9,10
Race 6: 7,9,6,4
Race 7: 6,2,1,7
Race 8: 2,1,6,4
$.50 Ticket: $64
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
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