A Winning Day at the Races!
September 1st, 2022 Free Picks & Plays
*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…
*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,271/17,195, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,749/17,195. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Thursday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays Below…
Saratoga Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#4 Theocrat (IRE) 8-1 1st $27.00
#2 Freddy Flintshire 5-2 2nd $3.80 Ex $68.50
#5 Decisive Triumph 5-1 4th
#3 Who’s Counting 6-1 scratched
Race 2:
#1 Ragtime Blues 3-1 29 1st $6.90 Dbl $90
#7 Casalsa 5-2 28
#2 Bronx Bomber 2-1 28 2nd $3.20
#3 Lost in Rome 6-1 27
Race 3:
#8 Bourbon and Honey 4-1 16 scratched
#4 Sirius Light 2-1 15 3rd $2.10
#6 Influentialous 5-1 15 4th
#2 Sly Sloane 12-1 14
Race 4:
#4 Value Engineering 9-5 35
#5 Bye Bye Melvin 5-2 34 1st $5.20
#6 Street Ready 3-1 33 2nd $5.20
#3 Glynn County 8-1 32 3rd $5.40
Race 5:
#6 W W Fitzy 2-1 32 1st $5.10
#4 Bees and Honey 9-5 31 2nd $2.50
#1 Lucky Peridot 6-1 30
#2 Family Time 9-2 29 4th
Race 6:
#6 Inflation Nation (IRE) 2-1 18 1st $3.90 Dbl $12.20
#4 Listentothemusic 6-1 17
#8 Bolt Above 12-1 16
#1 Clubhouse 10-1 16 3rd $4.50
Race 7:
#9 Dream of Change (IRE) 5-2 28
#5 Maybe Later 6-1 27 1st $17.60
#4 Command Point 4-1 26
#3 Rosemary Potatoes 10-1 25
Race 8:
#1 Short Summer Dress 4-5 29 3rd
#5 Hydra 6-1 28 scratched
#3 Invaluable 7-2 27 1st $10.80
#4 Melting Snow 5-1 26 2nd $4.90
Race 9:
#5 Georgees Spirit 6-1 18 1st $15.80
#7 Up and Down 8-1 18 4th
#11 Cowichan (IRE) 3-1 AE 17 3rd $3.00
#8 Illicit 4-1 17
#3 Stars On Fire (IRE) 5-1 16
Race 10:
#6 Be Your Best (IRE) 7-5 29 1st $4.70 Dbl $25.80
#8 Recognize 8-1 28 3rd $7.40
#5 Idea Generation (IRE) 5-2 27 4th
#1 Lady Jasmine 6-1 27
Race 11:
#8 Power Agenda 9-2 27 scratched
#1 Midaswellrun 4-1 27 2nd $5.70
#10 Lucky Brody 6-1 26
#9 Once a Giant 7-2 26 4th
Saratoga Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 2: 1,7,2,3 1
Race 3: 8,4,6 *8 scratched using 4,6,2 x
Race 4: 4,5 5
Race 5: 6,4,1 6
Race 6: 6,4,8 6
$.50 Ticket: $108
Early Pick 4:
Race 3: 8,4,6,2 x
Race 4: 4,5 5
Race 5: 6,4,1,2 6
Race 6: 6,4,8,1 6
$.50 Ticket: $64
Pick 5 (5-9):
Race 5: 6,4,1,2 6
Race 6: 6,4,8 6
Race 7: 9,5,4 5
Race 8: 1,5 *5 scratched using 1,3 3
Race 9: 5,7,11,8 5
$.50 Ticket: $144 $1103
Pick 6:
Race 6: 6,4 6
Race 7: 9,5,4 5
Race 8: 1 x
Race 9: 5,7,11 5
Race 10: 6 6
Race 11: 8,1 *8 scratched using 1,10,9
$1.00 Ticket: $54
Late Pick 5:
Race 7: 9,5,4,3 5
Race 8: 1,5,3 *5 scratched using 1,3,4 3
Race 9: 5,7,11 5
Race 10: 6,8,5 6
Race 11: 8,1 *8 scratched using 1,10,9 x
$.50 Ticket: $162
Late Pick 4:
Race 8: 1,5,3,4 3
Race 9: 5,7,11,8 5
Race 10: 6,8,5 6
Race 11: 8,1,10 *8 scratched using 1,10,9 x
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
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