September 21st, 2023 Free Picks & Plays

• September 20, 2023
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Free Picks/Plays will be posted here on certain days…Visit the “Membership Page” for Full Access on all other days…

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 12,888/19,729, and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,055/19,729. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#6 Mama’s Dream 2-1                  15
#4 Mischief Joke 6-5                     15 1st $3.30
#2 Lao Way 10-1                            14 scratched
#3 Perliano 9-2                              13 2nd $3.50

Race 2:

#1a Bold Endeavor 3-1                  34
#1 Business Model 3-1                  33 scratched 
#6 Uncle Moonlight 6-1                32 2nd $5.10
#3 Best Actor 2-1                            31 1st $4.80

Race 3:

#7 Mystic Night 5-2                       35 3rd $2.80
#5 Lookin At Roses 2-1                 34 1st $7.40
#4 Classic Mark 4-1                       34
#6 Cut the Cord 5-1                       33 2nd $8.00

Race 4:

#2 Kuramata (IRE) 5-2                  36 2nd $2.30
#4 Duke of Hazzard (FR) 3-1       35 1st $11.00 Ex $25
#7 Call Me Harry 9-2                     34 3rd $3.30 Tri $115.48
#6 Winfromwithin 4-1                  33 4th Spr $417.40

Race 5:

#3 Material Witness 7-2                 18 2nd $4.20
#6 Queen of the Mud (IRE) 10-1   17 1st $22.00 Ex $83
#11 Catskill Humor 10-1                17
#9 Isola (IRE) 8-1                             16

Race 6:

#9 Just Call Ray 6-1                         29 2nd $5.80
#3 Salto de Tigre 9-2                       28 scratched
#6 Handsome Cat 10-1                    28
#4 Six Percent 3-1                             27

Race 7:

#5 Freedom Trail 6-1                       31 2nd $8.10
#1 Exact Estimate 4-1                      30 1st $10.40 Ex $69
#4 Daunt 7-2                                      29 3rd $2.20 Tri $203.48
#3 Good Skate 8-1                             28

Race 8:

#6 Radio Red 9-2                               32 3rd $4.80
#8 Big Engine 6-1                              31
#5 Perfect Munnings 5-2                  30
#3 Quick Return 8-1                          29 scratched

Race 9:

#12 Atlanta’s Acuna 5-1                   15 2nd $4.30
#11 Myles 5-1                                     14
#9 Zapruder 4-1                                 13 1st $7.70
#4 Fast Study 10-1                             12

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  6,4,2,3 6

Race 2:  1a/1,6,3 3

Race 3:  7,5 5

Race 4:  2,4 4

Race 5:  3,6,11,9 6

$.50 Ticket:  $96 $765.75

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  1a/1,6,3 3

Race 3:  7,5,4,6 5

Race 4:  2,4 4

Race 5:  3,6,11,9 6

$.50 Ticket:  $48 $225.25

Pick 4 (3-6):

Race 3:  7,5

Race 4:  2,4,7,6

Race 5:  3,6,11,9

Race 6:  9,3,6,4

$.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 4:  2,4

Race 5:  3,6,11,9

Race 6:  9,3 *3 scratched using 9,6

Race 7:  5,1,4

Race 8:  6

Race 9:  12,11

$1.00 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  3,6,11,9

Race 6:  9,3,6,4

Race 7:  5,1,4

Race 8:  6,8

Race 9:  12,11

$.50 Ticket:  $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  9,3,6,4

Race 7:  5,1,4,3

Race 8:  6,8,5,3

Race 9:  12,11,9

$.50 Ticket:  $96

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.