September 22nd, 2022 Free Picks & Plays

• September 21, 2022
• Free Picks & Plays
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*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here daily, for Full Access please visit the “Membership” page…

*Since the launch of this site six years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 66% of the time 11,352/17,304, and top choice first or second 45% of the time 7,815/17,304. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Thursday’s Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#6 Personal Pursuit 8-1                18 1st $8.20
#5 Caly Bali 4-1                              18
#10 Quarrel 12-1                            17 2nd $5.50
#3 Galileo’s Jewel (IRE) 6-1          16 scratched

Dirt Selections

Leaving as is…

Race 2:

#5 Monshun 9-5                             28 1st $4.30
#4 Run Up the Score 5-2               27 3rd $2.90 Dbl $25
#1 Preposterous 4-1                      26
#6 Belarus 6-1                                 26 4th

Race 3:

#6 Rocky Sky (IRE) 7-5                 32
#3 Wicked Groove 5-2                  31
#2 Creative Cairo 9-2                    30
#4 Community Adjusted 4-1       30

Dirt Selections

#7 Baby Man 1-1 1st $4.00 Pk 3 $52.50

Race 4:

#2 With Know Name 3-1              15 1st $5.60 Dbl $19.80
#9 Fast Study 8-1                           14 Pk 3 $36.60
#4 Saratoga Banker 5-1                14
#6 Central Love 10-1                     13 2nd $10.40

Race 5:

#5 Stonewall Star 7-2                    16 1st $6.30 Dbl $31.80
#1 Three Unions 8-1                      15 4th Pk 3 $93.50
#2 La Conquistadora 8-1               15
#8 Sweet Liberty 12-1                    14

Race 6:

#5 Deep Cover 9-2                           31
#1 Not Phar Now 5-2                      30
#8 Swashbuckle 6-1                        29
#9 Battle Station 6-1                      28

Dirt Selections

#12 Majority Partner 5-2 scratched
#11 Quickflash 6-1 3rd $2.40
#10 Unique Unions 9-2 scratched
#13 Foolish Ghost 2-1 scratched
#1 Not Phar Now 5-2  4th

Race 7:

#5 Dreamful 2-1                               30
#1 Quaria Thunder 8-1                   29
#10 Tapple Cider 10-1                     28
#7 Ocean Air 5-2                               28

Dirt Selections

#14 Spooky Road 5-1 3rd $3.70
#4 Maybe Later 6-1
#13 Kerik 6-1 1st $24.60
#12 Raffinity 8-1 2nd $22.20

Race 8:

#3 To a T 2-1                                      29 2nd $2.70
#6 Mosienko 7-5                                28 1st $3.60 Ex $11
#2 Snicket 4-1                                    27 3rd $2.60 Tri $29
#5 Chloe Rose 12-1                           26

Race 9:

#2 Spicy Ginger 5-1                          16
#10 Divine Wine 8-1                         15
#6 Temerity 15-1                               15
#5 Diamant Damhsa (IRE) 6-1        14

Dirt Selections

#14 Afilada 6-1
#1 Always Connected 9-2
#3 Mostly Harmless 10-1
#13 She’s Awesome 8-1 2nd $19.20

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  6,5,10,3 Dirt: as is 6

Race 2:  5,4 5

Race 3:  6,3,2 Dirt: 7 7

Race 4:  2,9,4 2

Race 5:  5,1,2 5

$.50 Ticket:  $27 $159.75

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  5,4 5

Race 3:  6,3,2,4 Dirt:7 7

Race 4:  2,9,4,6 2

Race 5:  5,1,2,8 5

$.50 Ticket:  $16 $49.12

Pick 6:

Race 4:  2,9,4 2

Race 5:  5,1,2

Race 6:  5,1 Dirt: 11,1 x

Race 7:  5 Dirt: 14 x

Race 8:  3,6 6

Race 9:  2,10,6 Dirt: 14,1,3 x

$1.00 Ticket:  $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 5:  5,1,2,8

Race 6:  5,1,8 Dirt: 11,1 x

Race 7:  5,1 Dirt: 14 x

Race 8:  3,6,2 6

Race 9:  2,10,6,5 Dirt: 14,1,3,13 x

$.50 Ticket:  $48

Late Pick 4:

Race 6:  5,1,8 Dirt: 11,1 x

Race 7:  5,1,10,7 Dirt: 14,4,13,12 13

Race 8:  3,6 6

Race 9:  2,10,6,5 Dirt: 14,1,3,13 x

$.50 Ticket:  $32

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.