September 30th , 2018 Free Pick & Plays

• September 30, 2018
• Free Picks & Plays
• No comments

*Limited Picks/Plays will be posted here on weekends through the Belmont Meet. For Full Card Picks/Plays please visit the Member Area.

*Since the launch of this site two years ago our stats have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 68% of the time, and top choice is first or second 42% of the time. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

* Picks/Plays will only be available on weekends starting with the Belmont Fall Meet. The monthly subscription price has been reduced accordingly. Thank You to all that followed for the Saratoga Meet!

*Closed out the Churchill Card yesterday with both Late Pick 4’s and the $2135 Late Pick 5. All three were given out in “Today’s Plays”.

Belmont Selections

Race 1 :       Strength Variable :

#2 Zealous 7-2                                21
#6 Chateau 2-1                               20
#1 The Mighty Judge 6-1              18
#3 Rucksack 9-5                              18

Race 2 :

#1 Driven by Speed 7-5                  27
#6 Free N Clear 6-1                         26
#8 Grandpa’s Arianna 7-2              25
#7 Bonita Springs 5-2                     25

Off-Turf :

#1 Driven by Speed 7-5
#2 Archumybaby 6-5
#7 Bonita Springs 5-2
#3 E Warfare 15-1

Race 3 :

#4 Foolish Ghost 6-1                       26
#2 Flipped 9-5                                   25
#5 Carmine’s Honor 7-2                  24
#1 Can’tweallgetalong 2-1              24

Race 4 :

#3 I love Jaxson 8-1                          28
#4 Barely Impazible 9-5                   27
#8 Suas 3-1                                         26
#2 Born for a Storm 6-1                    25

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.