A Winning Day at the Races!

September 30th, 2026 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site ten years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,835/25,702 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 12,009/25,702. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*NFL Picks (ATS) Season 25-21 (54%)…Week 4 Picks available Thursday…
Week One 8-6 (57%)…
Week Two 9-7 (56%)…
Week Three 8-8 (50%)…

*Wednesday’s Full Card Belmont Picks/Plays below…

Belmont Selections 

Race 1:  Strength Variable:

#5 Donegal Luster 2-1             18 3rd $3.12
#6 Joven 3-1                               18 2nd $3.28
#4 Mission Integrity 8-1          17 1st $32.12 Tri $600.84
#7 Horizontal Rain (ON) 4-1   16 4th Spr $1,516.76

Race 2:

#7 Princess Becca 5-2               28 scratched
#8 Looks First 7-2                      27
#6 Heavenly Light 4-1               27 1st $6.46
#2 Curlin’s Magic 20-1              26 2nd $14.52

Race 3:

#7 Light Fantastic 5-1               31 4th
#5 Joker On Fire 3-1                   31 scratched
#6 True Legend 9-2                    30
#1 Manor Park 15-1                    29

Race 4:

#2 Combat Move 6-1                  28 1st $9.82
#1 Central to Success 2-1          27 3rd $2.40
#3 Dangerous Affair 7-2             26
#8 Material Girl 3-1                     26 2nd $4.98

Race 5:

#8 Tampa Storm 6-1                   15 2nd $8.88
#2 Lough Currane 5-1                 15 4th
#10 Johnny Bay Goode 15-1      14
#3 Chess Match 9-2                     13

Race 6:

#7 Grazie 1-1                               31 1st $2.64
#1 Lady Rose 9-2                         29 3rd $2.48
#5 Midtown Lights 5-1               28 scratched
#3 Sweetest Princess 8-1            27 2nd $4.54 Tri $36.92

Race 7:

#4 Shoot the Nickel 10-1          31
#8 Golden Tornado 5-1             30
#6 Criteria 6-1                             29 4th
#9 Dr Ruben M 4-1                     28 3rd $2.94

Race 8:

#10 Amazing Gracer 6-5           16
#11 Whatta Weekend 6-1          15
#12 No Need to Panic 12-1       14
#9 City War 50-1                         13

Belmont Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1:  5,6

Race 2:  7,8,6,2 *7 scratched using 8,6,2,5

Race 3:  7,5,6 *5 scratched using 7,6,1

Race 4:  2,1,3

Race 5:  8,2

  $.50 Ticket:  $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2:  7,8 *7 scratched using 8,6

Race 3:  7,5,6,1 *5 scratched using 7,6,1,4

Race 4:  2,1,3,8

Race 5:  8,2,10,3

  $.50 Ticket:  $64

Pick 6:

Race 3:  7,5 *5 scratched using 7,6

Race 4:  2,1,3

Race 5:  8,2

Race 6:  7

Race 7:  4,8,6

Race 8:  10

  $1.00 Ticket:  $36

Late Pick 5:

Race 4:  2,1,3,8

Race 5:  8,2,10,3

Race 6:  7,1

Race 7:  4,8,6,9

Race 8:  10,11

  $.50 Ticket:  $128

Late Pick 4:

Race 5:  8,2,10,3

Race 6:  7,1

Race 7:  4,8,6,9

Race 8:  10,11

  $.50 Ticket:  $32

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

 


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