A Winning Day at the Races!

September 4th , 2017 Free Picks & Plays

*Free picks will appear in this space daily, to get full card picks and plays, comments, and stakes analysis, please visit the member area.

*Updated Stats as of 8/21, since website launch last July :

  • Winner in top three picks 67% of the time 2004/2996.
  • Top Choice finishing 1st or 2nd 44% of the time 1330/2996.

Saratoga Selections

Race 2 :            Strength Variable :

#2 Son of Oahu 6-1                              29
#3 Itsabigboy 4-1                                  27
#10 Carbon Data 3-1                            27
#4 Muhaawer 6-1                                  25

Off-Turf :

#15 Escape Velocity 7-2
#3 Itsabigboy 4-1
#5 Rollin Smoke 10-1
#11 Baseline 12-1

Race 3 :

#2 No Hiding Place 3-1                        28
#5 Driving Me Crazy 8-5                      27
#6 Sir Bond 2-1                                       26
#4 Drover Crazy 6-1                               23

Race 7 :

#3 Delta Prince 6-1                               37
#1 Heart to Heart 5-2                           36
#9 Projected (GB) 7-2                           34
#6 Forge (GB) 8-1                                  32

Race 8 :

#4 Tizzelle 4-1                                        28
#8 Lady Joan 8-1                                    26
#2 Driven by Speed 7-2                         25
#3 Iron Mizz 8-1                                      23

Saratoga Late Pick 4 :

Race 7 :  3,1,9,6

Race 8 :  4,8,2

Race 9 :  8,1

Race 10 : 8,6,12,9 Off-Turf : 10,2,3,14

$.50 Ticket :  $48

Monmouth Selections

Race 1 :

#6 Shesmyheartandsoul 5-2                    26
#1 Midnight Union 8-5                              25
#4 Kubu 8-1                                                  22
#2 Nothin But Trouble 3-1                         21

Race 6 :

#1 Howlin Mad Smith 5-2                         24
#8 Trevino 3-1                                             22
#3 Soul Prince 9-2                                      19
#4 Smart Russian 7-2                                 17

Race 8 :

#2 Vassy 9-2                                                  26
#6 Quality Counts 7-2                                 25
#10 Victory Tour 4-1                                   23
#4 Pollock 5-1                                                21

* “Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by four, five or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.


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