September 4th, 2026 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site ten years ago, our statistics have remained consistent. The race winner is in the top three selections 65% of the time, 16,767/25,582 and the top choice first or second 46% of the time, 11,954/25,582. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity. You will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Middle Pick 5 for us last Thursday at Saratoga…$2,997.86 on a $108 ticket…

*Late Pick 4 for us last Thursday at Saratoga…$987.88 on a $32 ticket…

*Late Pick 5 for us last Thursday at Saratoga…$7,739.39 on a $96 ticket…

*Early Pick 4 for us last Sunday at Saratoga…$1,259.81 on a $64 ticket…

*Friday’s Full Card Saratoga Picks/Plays below…

Saratoga Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#7 Domestic Agenda 3-1 20
#2 May December 8-1 19
#3 Flamenco 9-2 18
#5 Bashfully 4-1 18

Race 2:

#4 Lady Vortex 12-1 18
#9 Promise Me Amelody 6-5 18
#7 Carmen Amalia 6-1 17
#6 Sparks Will Fly 9-2 16

Race 3:

#4 Souper Tuscan (ON) 7-2 34
#6 Commuted 9-5 33
#3 Shoot the Nickel 8-1 32
#1 Baby Yoda 3-1 32

Race 4:

#5 Baliage (IRE) 5-2 29
#1 Pros and Cons 2-1 28
#3 Up Before the Dawn 7-2 28
#2 Glycogen 5-1 27

Race 5:

#8 Carpet City 5-1 19
#5 Mass Confusion 12-1 18
#10 Night Sky 9-2 18
#1 Judysdancin Tonite 4-1 17

Race 6:

#9 Paul’s Recovery 7-2 29
#11 Sociably Johnny 8-1 AE 28
#6 Mike’s Magic 9-2 28
#2 Swiss Army Knife 3-1 27
#5 Whitby 10-1 26

Race 7:

#3 Saint Dymphna 12-1 28
#5 Velora 6-5 28
#6 B Yutiful Carly 5-2 27
#4 You Are My Suzie Q 15-1 26

Race 8:

#5 No Evidence 9-2 33
#2 Bosun 7-2 32
#6 Spiced Up 5-1 32
#8 Ice Chocolat (BRZ) 8-1 31

Race 9:

#5 Heaven’s Bolt 3-1 29
#3 Warm Up the Bus 6-1 28
#8 Tralee Girl 6-1 27
#6 Big Heleonora 8-1 27

Race 10:

#6 Bryant and Cooper 5-2 28
#5 Five Dozen Roses 8-1 27
#13 Paula’s Choice 4-1 AE 27
#4 Starlight Dancer 8-1 26
#10 Athena’s Fury 12-1 26

Race 11:

#7 Consensus View (GB) 7-2 31
#6 Nonna Lynne 3-1 30
#5 Dividend Recap 4-1 29
#4 Seat At the Table 6-1 28

Saratoga Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 7,2,3,5

Race 2: 4,9,7,6

Race 3: 4,6

Race 4: 5,1

Race 5: 8,5,10,1

$.50 Ticket: $128

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 4,9,7,6

Race 3: 4,6,3,1

Race 4: 5,1

Race 5: 8,5,10,1

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 5 (3-7):

Race 3: 4,6

Race 4: 5,1,3

Race 5: 8,5,10,1

Race 6: 9,11,6,2

Race 7: 3,5,6

$.50 Ticket: $144

Pick 4 (4-7):

Race 4: 5,1,3,2

Race 5: 8,5,10,1

Race 6: 9,11,6,2

Race 7: 3,5,6

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 5 (5-9):

Race 5: 8,5,10,1

Race 6: 9,11,6,2

Race 7: 3,5,6

Race 8: 5,2

Race 9: 5,3,8

$.50 Ticket: $144

Pick 6:

Race 6: 9,11,6,2

Race 7: 3,5,6

Race 8: 5,2

Race 9: 5,3,8

Race 10: 6

Race 11: 7,6

$1.00 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 5:

Race 7: 3,5,6

Race 8: 5,2,6

Race 9: 5,3,8,6

Race 10: 6,5,13

Race 11: 7,6

$.50 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 8: 5,2,6,8

Race 9: 5,3,8,6

Race 10: 6,5,13,4

Race 11: 7,6

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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