A Winning Day at the Races!
Monthly Archives: April 2024
April 6th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays
*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,431/20,608 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,472/20,608. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Early & Late Pick 4 for us at Aqueduct yesterday…$210.75 on a $64 ticket & $405.75 on a $96 ticket…
*Saturday’s Free Full Card Aqueduct & Keeneland Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#7 Two Tons of Fun 3-1 17 4th
#8 Supremacy Clause 4-1 16
#1 Laser Sharp 6-5 15 1st $4.30
#3 Aleah Aleah 8-1 15 2nd $8.80
Race 2:
#1a Messi the Magician 9-5 28 scratched
#4 Fortune’s Nephew 3-1 27
#2 Persistent Danger 20-1 26 2nd $15.00
#1 Little Luca 9-5 26 1st $9.30
Race 3:
#4 Candy Tycoon 3-1 28
#2b Gut Feeling 2-1 27 1st $9.10
#2 Bourbon Calling 2-1 26 scratched
#1a Clem Labine 6-1 25 scratched
Race 4:
#3 Post Time 8-5 39 1st $3.60
#2 Whittington Park 6-1 37
#5 Petulante 2-1 36 scratched
#1 Castle Chaos 8-1 35 2nd $4.80
Race 5:
#4 Al’s Ruby 7-2 18 1st $8.10
#8 Pamplona Red 6-1 17
#7 Focus Pocus 5-2 16 2nd $3.70
#2 Calling an Audible 6-1 16 3rd $3.50
Race 6:
#2 Ain’t Broke 5-2 35 2nd $3.50
#4 Hot Fudge 9-5 34
#5 Fingal’s Cave 5-2 33 3rd $2.90
#1 Apple Picker 6-1 32 4th
Race 7:
#7 Bendoog 3-1 33 1st $6.20
#6 Vespucci 7-2 32
#3 Lucency 6-1 31
#5 Reddington 8-1 30
Race 8:
#5 Life Talk 3-1 32
#1 Where’s My Ring 7-2 31 1st $7.10
#7 Gin Gin 5-1 30 3rd $3.90
#4 Barbratina 6-1 30
Race 9:
#7 Proprietary Trade 3-1 34
#4 Maximus Meridius 2-1 33 2nd $4.00
#6 Reasoned Analysis 8-1 32 1st $33.00
#2 Classic Joke 8-1 31
Race 10:
#9 Tuscan Sky 4-1 33
#1 Resilience 6-1 32 1st $11.00
#4 Deterministic 7-5 32
#13 Uncle Heavy 8-1 31
Race 11:
#9 Better Be Smart 4-1 18 3rd $2.70
#3 Granadilla 8-1 17
#2 Ariana Rye 7-2 16 4th
#4 Mommasgottagun 8-1 16 scratched
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 7,8,1 1
Race 2: 1a/1,4 *1a scratched using 1,4,2 1
Race 3: 4,2b/2 2b
Race 4: 3,2,5,1 3
Race 5: 4,8,7 4
$.50 Ticket: $72 $160
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 1a/1,4 *1a scratched using 1,4,2 1
Race 3: 4,2b/2,1a/1,5 2b
Race 4: 3,2,5 *5 scratched using 3,2,1 3
Race 5: 4,8,7 4
$.50 Ticket: $27 $89.12
Pick 5 (4-8):
Race 4: 3,2,5,1
Race 5: 4,8,7
Race 6: 2,4,5
Race 7: 7,6
Race 8: 5,1
$.50 Ticket: $72
Pick 4 (5-8):
Race 5: 4,8,7,2
Race 6: 2,4,5
Race 7: 7,6,3,5
Race 8: 5,1,7,4
$.50 Ticket: $96
Pick 6:
Race 6: 2,4,5
Race 7: 7,6
Race 8: 5,1
Race 9: 7
Race 10: 9,1,4
Race 11: 9,3,2
$.50 Ticket: $108
Late Pick 5:
Race 7: 7,6
Race 8: 5,1,7,4
Race 9: 7,4,6
Race 10: 9,1,4
Race 11: 9,3,2
$.50 Ticket: $108
Late Pick 4:
Race 8: 5,1 1
Race 9: 7,4,6,2 6
Race 10: 9,1,4,13 1
Race 11: 9,3,2,4 4
$.50 Ticket: $64 $489.74
Keeneland Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#5 Elephants Ear 9-2 20 1st $8.10
#8 Banned for Life 8-5 19 4th
#7 Batten Down 5-2 18 3rd $2.64
#3 El Magnifico 6-1 17
Race 2:
#6 Pirate 9-2 32 4th
#4 Scatify 4-5 31 2nd $4.48
#7 Guanare 7-2 30
#2 Billal 10-1 29 1st $9.28
Race 3:
#6 Discreet Mischief 6-5 21 1st $3.70
#5 Timeout 5-1 20 2nd $6.30 Ex $22.68
#12 Counter Attack 6-1 19
#3 Carnitine 8-1 19
Race 4:
#2 Surveillance 3-1 36 2nd $5.36
#4 Night Time 9-2 35 3rd $3.08
#7 Classier 12-1 34
#1 Miles Ahead 6-5 34
Race 5:
#7 Thornbury 6-1 19
#9 Artempus 7-2 18
#2 White Palomino 6-1 17 1st $9.76
#3 Cyber Attack 8-1 17 scratched
Race 6:
#6 Bo Cruz 12-1 36 1st $14.12
#9 Minnesota Ready 5-2 35 2nd $3.90 Ex $49.66
#4 Raise Cain 3-1 34
#3 Manny Wah 10-1 33 scratched
Race 7:
#1 Poolside With Slim 8-1 33
#10 Pounce 3-1 33
#3 Dancing N Dixie 15-1 32 3rd $7.60
#6 Austere 10-1 32
Race 8:
#8 Vahva 2-1 37 2nd $3.66
#2 Red Carpet Ready 7-2 36 3rd $3.34
#7 Big Pond 20-1 35
#1 Sterling Silver 6-1 34 4th
Race 9:
#11 Coppola 6-1 38
#9 Panther Island 8-1 37
#3 Mischief Magic (IRE) 7-2 36 2nd
#2 Sosua Summer 12-1 35
Race 10:
#1 Top Conor 15-1 34
#4 Dornoch 3-1 34
#10 Sierra Leone 2-1 33
#2 Be You 8-1 32
Race 11:
#7 Ocean Atlantique 8-1 34
#3 Running Bee 8-5 33
#4 Dominican Pioneer 4-1 32
#8 Injunction 10-1 31
Keeneland Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 5,8,7
Race 2: 6,4,7
Race 3: 6,5,12,3
Race 4: 2,4,7,1
Race 5: 7,9
$.50 Ticket: $144
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 6,4,7
Race 3: 6,5,12,3
Race 4: 2,4,7,1
Race 5: 7,9,2
$.50 Ticket: $72
Pick 6:
Race 5: 7,9,2,3
Race 6: 6,9,4
Race 7: 1,10,3,6
Race 8: 8
Race 9: 11,9,3
Race 10: 1,4
$1.00 Ticket: $288
Late Pick 5:
Race 6: 6,9,4,3
Race 7: 1,10,3,6
Race 8: 8,2
Race 9: 11,9,3
Race 10: 1,4,10
$.50 Ticket: $144
Pick 4 (7-10):
Race 7: 1,10,3,6
Race 8: 8,2
Race 9: 11,9,3,2
Race 10: 1,4,10,2
$.50 Ticket: $64
Late Pick 4:
Race 8: 8,2,7,1
Race 9: 11,9,3,2
Race 10: 1,4,10,2
Race 11: 7,3,4
$.50 Ticket: $96
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.
April 5th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays
*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,421/20,590 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,464/20,590. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.
*Free Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…
Aqueduct Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#3 True Connection 7-5 17 4th
#1 Causeway 8-5 16
#4 Just Music 8-1 15 2nd $4.70
#5 D Day Sky 5-2 14 1st $4.70
Race 2:
#5 Beachwalker 2-1 31 4th
#4 I am the Law 9-5 30 3rd
#1a Optic Way 9-2 29 scratched
#2 Lord Captain 3-1 28 1st $7.00
Race 3:
#6 Critical Threat 5-1 28 1st $8.90
#5 Dot’s Dollar 7-5 28 3rd $2.60
#3 Business Model 8-5 27 4th
#1 Jake Rocks 8-1 26
Race 4:
#4 Masterwork 8-5 27 scratched
#5 Magia Nera 2-1 26 1st $3.20 Dbl $29
#3 Refuah 8-1 25 3rd $3.00
#6 Endowed 9-2 25
Race 5:
#6 Arrebato 9-2 26 1st $10.60 Dbl $21.60
#5 Papi On Ice 12-1 25 Pk 3 $168
#2 Sorpreso 30-1 24
#8 Ice Road 3-1 24 2nd $4.10
Race 6:
#5 Honest Banker 7-2 24 scratched
#6 Maggie T 6-1 23 2nd $3.70
#3 Shoopthereitis 6-1 23 3rd $2.40
#7 Shinfull 1-1 22 1st $3.50 Tri $29.20
Race 7:
#1 Emerald Forest 5-2 32 4th
#3 Saffa’s Day 6-1 31 1st $22.20
#5 Factually Correct 7-2 31
#1a Kupp 5-2 30 scratched
Race 8:
#4 Borletti (Ire) 3-1 28 4th
#6 Notah 2-1 28 3rd $3.10
#8 Whenlovetakesover 8-1 27 1st $23.20
#7 Red D G P 8-1 27
Aqueduct Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 3,1
Race 2: 5,4,1a/1,2
Race 3: 6,5,3
Race 4: 4,5 *4 scratched using 5,3
Race 5: 6,5,2,8
$.50 Ticket: $96
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 5,4,1a/1,2 2
Race 3: 6,5,3,1 6
Race 4: 4,5 *4 scratched using 5,3 5
Race 5: 6,5,2,8 6
$.50 Ticket: $64 $210.75
Pick 6:
Race 3: 6,5,3
Race 4: 4,5 *4 scratched using 5,3
Race 5: 6,5,2,8
Race 6: 5,6
Race 7: 1/1a
Race 8: 4,6
$1.00 Ticket: $96
Late Pick 5:
Race 4: 4,5 *4 scratched using 5,3
Race 5: 6,5,2,8
Race 6: 5,6,3,7
Race 7: 1/1a,3,5
Race 8: 4,6
$.50 Ticket: $96
Late Pick 4:
Race 5: 6,5,2,8 6
Race 6: 5,6,3,7 5,7
Race 7: 1/1a,3,5 3
Race 8: 4,6,8,7 8
$.50 Ticket: $96 $811.50
Keeneland Selections
Race 1: Strength Variable:
#8 Bette Davis 6-1 27 2nd $4.16
#7 Corkage Fee 6-1 26 4th
#3 Noshugforpop 9-2 26
#1 Play Good Pay Good 7-2 25 1st $5.76
Race 2:
#5 Jet Sweep Joe 5-1 19 scratched
#11 Indigo Wind 10-1 19 4th
#9 Bostontonian 9-5 18 scratched
#3 Strummin 6-1 18 2nd $4.40
Race 3:
#5 Judge Davis 6-1 33
#6 Run Curtis Run 4-1 32 2nd $4.24
#3 Mo Stash 2-1 31 1st $7.00
#1 Counterstrike 3-1 31 3rd $3.88
Race 4:
#10 Bedazzle ‘Em 8-1 21 3rd $2.86
#1 Roman Grace 3-1 21 1st $7.60
#5 Kiss Me Again 6-1 20
#6 Princess Madison 10-1 19 2nd $4.94
Race 5:
#11 Swans Cove 8-1 19
#3 Ms Sedona 15-1 18 2nd $11.84
#2 Spinning Class 7-2 18 scratched
#7 Everything Bugs Me 9-2 17
Race 6:
#5 Booth 9-5 33
#3 Doncho 5-2 32 4th
#2 Scatify 7-2 32 scratched
#7 Who Dey 6-1 31 2nd $5.52
Race 7:
#10 Roswell 7-2 32 scratched
#4 Sam’s Treasure 9-2 31 2nd $3.52
#5 Best Kiss Yet 10-1 30
#9 Amor Fati 5-2 30
Race 8:
#12 Cugino 10-1 34 2nd $7.64
#6 First World War 4-1 33
#5 Tennessee 15-1 33
#7 Lord Bullingdon 8-1 32 4th
Race 9:
#7 Impel 2-1 35
#6 Just F Y I 3-1 34
#4 Halina’s Forte 8-1 33
#1 Candied 6-1 32
Race 10:
#2 Hidden Presence 4-1 18
#7 Mizoula (IRE) 7-2 17
#9 Justdeny 9-2 17
#3 Guinevere 6-1 16
Keeneland Plays
Early Pick 5:
Race 1: 8,7,3,1
Race 2: 5,11,9 *5,9 scratched using 11,3,12
Race 3: 5,6,3
Race 4: 10,1,5
Race 5: 11,3
$.50 Ticket: $108
Early Pick 4:
Race 2: 5,11,9,3 *5,9 scratched using 11,3,12,7
Race 3: 5,6,3
Race 4: 10,1,5,6
Race 5: 11,3,2,7
$50 Ticket: $96
Pick 6:
Race 5: 11,3,2,7
Race 6: 5,3,2
Race 7: 10,4
Race 8: 12,6,5,7
Race 9: 7
Race 10: 2,7
$1.00 Ticket: $192
Late Pick 5:
Race 6: 5,3,2,7
Race 7: 10,4,5,9
Race 8: 12,6,5,7
Race 9: 7,6
Race 10: 2,7
$.50 Ticket: $128
Late Pick 4:
Race 7: 10,4,5,9
Race 8: 12,6,5,7
Race 9: 7,6
Race 10: 2,7,9,3
$.50 Ticket: $64
“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.