April 5th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,421/20,590 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,464/20,590. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Free Full Card Aqueduct Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#3 True Connection 7-5 17 4th
#1 Causeway 8-5 16
#4 Just Music 8-1 15 2nd $4.70
#5 D Day Sky 5-2 14 1st $4.70

Race 2:

#5 Beachwalker 2-1 31 4th
#4 I am the Law 9-5 30 3rd
#1a Optic Way 9-2 29 scratched
#2 Lord Captain 3-1 28 1st $7.00

Race 3:

#6 Critical Threat 5-1 28 1st $8.90
#5 Dot’s Dollar 7-5 28 3rd $2.60
#3 Business Model 8-5 27 4th
#1 Jake Rocks 8-1 26

Race 4:

#4 Masterwork 8-5 27 scratched
#5 Magia Nera 2-1 26 1st $3.20 Dbl $29
#3 Refuah 8-1 25 3rd $3.00
#6 Endowed 9-2 25

Race 5:

#6 Arrebato 9-2 26 1st $10.60 Dbl $21.60
#5 Papi On Ice 12-1 25 Pk 3 $168
#2 Sorpreso 30-1 24
#8 Ice Road 3-1 24 2nd $4.10

Race 6:

#5 Honest Banker 7-2 24 scratched
#6 Maggie T 6-1 23 2nd $3.70
#3 Shoopthereitis 6-1 23 3rd $2.40
#7 Shinfull 1-1 22 1st $3.50 Tri $29.20

Race 7:

#1 Emerald Forest 5-2 32 4th
#3 Saffa’s Day 6-1 31 1st $22.20
#5 Factually Correct 7-2 31
#1a Kupp 5-2 30 scratched

Race 8:

#4 Borletti (Ire) 3-1 28 4th
#6 Notah 2-1 28 3rd $3.10
#8 Whenlovetakesover 8-1 27 1st $23.20
#7 Red D G P 8-1 27

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 3,1

Race 2: 5,4,1a/1,2

Race 3: 6,5,3

Race 4: 4,5 *4 scratched using 5,3

Race 5: 6,5,2,8

$.50 Ticket: $96

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 5,4,1a/1,2 2

Race 3: 6,5,3,1 6

Race 4: 4,5 *4 scratched using 5,3 5

Race 5: 6,5,2,8 6

$.50 Ticket: $64 $210.75

Pick 6:

Race 3: 6,5,3

Race 4: 4,5 *4 scratched using 5,3

Race 5: 6,5,2,8

Race 6: 5,6

Race 7: 1/1a

Race 8: 4,6

$1.00 Ticket: $96

Late Pick 5:

Race 4: 4,5 *4 scratched using 5,3

Race 5: 6,5,2,8

Race 6: 5,6,3,7

Race 7: 1/1a,3,5

Race 8: 4,6

$.50 Ticket: $96

Late Pick 4:

Race 5: 6,5,2,8 6

Race 6: 5,6,3,7 5,7

Race 7: 1/1a,3,5 3

Race 8: 4,6,8,7 8

$.50 Ticket: $96 $811.50

Keeneland Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#8 Bette Davis 6-1 27 2nd $4.16
#7 Corkage Fee 6-1 26 4th
#3 Noshugforpop 9-2 26
#1 Play Good Pay Good 7-2 25 1st $5.76

Race 2:

#5 Jet Sweep Joe 5-1 19 scratched
#11 Indigo Wind 10-1 19 4th
#9 Bostontonian 9-5 18 scratched
#3 Strummin 6-1 18 2nd $4.40

Race 3:

#5 Judge Davis 6-1 33
#6 Run Curtis Run 4-1 32 2nd $4.24
#3 Mo Stash 2-1 31 1st $7.00
#1 Counterstrike 3-1 31 3rd $3.88

Race 4:

#10 Bedazzle ‘Em 8-1 21 3rd $2.86
#1 Roman Grace 3-1 21 1st $7.60
#5 Kiss Me Again 6-1 20
#6 Princess Madison 10-1 19 2nd $4.94

Race 5:

#11 Swans Cove 8-1 19
#3 Ms Sedona 15-1 18 2nd $11.84
#2 Spinning Class 7-2 18 scratched
#7 Everything Bugs Me 9-2 17

Race 6:

#5 Booth 9-5 33
#3 Doncho 5-2 32 4th
#2 Scatify 7-2 32 scratched
#7 Who Dey 6-1 31 2nd $5.52

Race 7:

#10 Roswell 7-2 32 scratched
#4 Sam’s Treasure 9-2 31 2nd $3.52
#5 Best Kiss Yet 10-1 30
#9 Amor Fati 5-2 30

Race 8:

#12 Cugino 10-1 34 2nd $7.64
#6 First World War 4-1 33
#5 Tennessee 15-1 33
#7 Lord Bullingdon 8-1 32 4th

Race 9:

#7 Impel 2-1 35
#6 Just F Y I 3-1 34
#4 Halina’s Forte 8-1 33
#1 Candied 6-1 32

Race 10:

#2 Hidden Presence 4-1 18
#7 Mizoula (IRE) 7-2 17
#9 Justdeny 9-2 17
#3 Guinevere 6-1 16

Keeneland Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 8,7,3,1

Race 2: 5,11,9 *5,9 scratched using 11,3,12

Race 3: 5,6,3

Race 4: 10,1,5

Race 5: 11,3

$.50 Ticket: $108

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 5,11,9,3 *5,9 scratched using 11,3,12,7

Race 3: 5,6,3

Race 4: 10,1,5,6

Race 5: 11,3,2,7

$50 Ticket: $96

Pick 6:

Race 5: 11,3,2,7

Race 6: 5,3,2

Race 7: 10,4

Race 8: 12,6,5,7

Race 9: 7

Race 10: 2,7

$1.00 Ticket: $192

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 5,3,2,7

Race 7: 10,4,5,9

Race 8: 12,6,5,7

Race 9: 7,6

Race 10: 2,7

$.50 Ticket: $128

Late Pick 4:

Race 7: 10,4,5,9

Race 8: 12,6,5,7

Race 9: 7,6

Race 10: 2,7,9,3

$.50 Ticket: $64

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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