April 6th, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

*Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 13,431/20,608 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 9,472/20,608. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Early & Late Pick 4 for us at Aqueduct yesterday…$210.75 on a $64 ticket & $405.75 on a $96 ticket…

*Saturday’s Free Full Card Aqueduct & Keeneland Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#7 Two Tons of Fun 3-1 17 4th
#8 Supremacy Clause 4-1 16
#1 Laser Sharp 6-5 15 1st $4.30
#3 Aleah Aleah 8-1 15 2nd $8.80

Race 2:

#1a Messi the Magician 9-5 28 scratched
#4 Fortune’s Nephew 3-1 27
#2 Persistent Danger 20-1 26 2nd $15.00
#1 Little Luca 9-5 26 1st $9.30

Race 3:

#4 Candy Tycoon 3-1 28
#2b Gut Feeling 2-1 27 1st $9.10
#2 Bourbon Calling 2-1 26 scratched
#1a Clem Labine 6-1 25 scratched

Race 4:

#3 Post Time 8-5 39 1st $3.60
#2 Whittington Park 6-1 37
#5 Petulante 2-1 36 scratched
#1 Castle Chaos 8-1 35 2nd $4.80

Race 5:

#4 Al’s Ruby 7-2 18 1st $8.10
#8 Pamplona Red 6-1 17
#7 Focus Pocus 5-2 16 2nd $3.70
#2 Calling an Audible 6-1 16 3rd $3.50

Race 6:

#2 Ain’t Broke 5-2 35 2nd $3.50
#4 Hot Fudge 9-5 34
#5 Fingal’s Cave 5-2 33 3rd $2.90
#1 Apple Picker 6-1 32 4th

Race 7:

#7 Bendoog 3-1 33 1st $6.20
#6 Vespucci 7-2 32
#3 Lucency 6-1 31
#5 Reddington 8-1 30

Race 8:

#5 Life Talk 3-1 32
#1 Where’s My Ring 7-2 31 1st $7.10
#7 Gin Gin 5-1 30 3rd $3.90
#4 Barbratina 6-1 30

Race 9:

#7 Proprietary Trade 3-1 34
#4 Maximus Meridius 2-1 33 2nd $4.00
#6 Reasoned Analysis 8-1 32 1st $33.00
#2 Classic Joke 8-1 31

Race 10:

#9 Tuscan Sky 4-1 33
#1 Resilience 6-1 32 1st $11.00
#4 Deterministic 7-5 32
#13 Uncle Heavy 8-1 31

Race 11:

#9 Better Be Smart 4-1 18 3rd $2.70
#3 Granadilla 8-1 17
#2 Ariana Rye 7-2 16 4th
#4 Mommasgottagun 8-1 16 scratched

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 7,8,1 1

Race 2: 1a/1,4 *1a scratched using 1,4,2 1

Race 3: 4,2b/2 2b

Race 4: 3,2,5,1 3

Race 5: 4,8,7 4

$.50 Ticket: $72 $160

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 1a/1,4 *1a scratched using 1,4,2 1

Race 3: 4,2b/2,1a/1,5 2b

Race 4: 3,2,5 *5 scratched using 3,2,1 3

Race 5: 4,8,7 4

$.50 Ticket: $27 $89.12

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4: 3,2,5,1

Race 5: 4,8,7

Race 6: 2,4,5

Race 7: 7,6

Race 8: 5,1

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5: 4,8,7,2

Race 6: 2,4,5

Race 7: 7,6,3,5

Race 8: 5,1,7,4

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 6:

Race 6: 2,4,5

Race 7: 7,6

Race 8: 5,1

Race 9: 7

Race 10: 9,1,4

Race 11: 9,3,2

$.50 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 7: 7,6

Race 8: 5,1,7,4

Race 9: 7,4,6

Race 10: 9,1,4

Race 11: 9,3,2

$.50 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 4:

Race 8: 5,1 1

Race 9: 7,4,6,2 6

Race 10: 9,1,4,13 1

Race 11: 9,3,2,4 4

$.50 Ticket: $64 $489.74

Keeneland Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#5 Elephants Ear 9-2 20 1st $8.10
#8 Banned for Life 8-5 19 4th
#7 Batten Down 5-2 18 3rd $2.64
#3 El Magnifico 6-1 17

Race 2:

#6 Pirate 9-2 32 4th
#4 Scatify 4-5 31 2nd $4.48
#7 Guanare 7-2 30
#2 Billal 10-1 29 1st $9.28

Race 3:

#6 Discreet Mischief 6-5 21 1st $3.70
#5 Timeout 5-1 20 2nd $6.30 Ex $22.68
#12 Counter Attack 6-1 19
#3 Carnitine 8-1 19

Race 4:

#2 Surveillance 3-1 36 2nd $5.36
#4 Night Time 9-2 35 3rd $3.08
#7 Classier 12-1 34
#1 Miles Ahead 6-5 34

Race 5:

#7 Thornbury 6-1 19
#9 Artempus 7-2 18
#2 White Palomino 6-1 17 1st $9.76
#3 Cyber Attack 8-1 17 scratched

Race 6:

#6 Bo Cruz 12-1 36 1st $14.12
#9 Minnesota Ready 5-2 35 2nd $3.90 Ex $49.66
#4 Raise Cain 3-1 34
#3 Manny Wah 10-1 33 scratched

Race 7:

#1 Poolside With Slim 8-1 33
#10 Pounce 3-1 33
#3 Dancing N Dixie 15-1 32 3rd $7.60
#6 Austere 10-1 32

Race 8:

#8 Vahva 2-1 37 2nd $3.66
#2 Red Carpet Ready 7-2 36 3rd $3.34
#7 Big Pond 20-1 35
#1 Sterling Silver 6-1 34 4th

Race 9:

#11 Coppola 6-1 38
#9 Panther Island 8-1 37
#3 Mischief Magic (IRE) 7-2 36 2nd
#2 Sosua Summer 12-1 35

Race 10:

#1 Top Conor 15-1 34
#4 Dornoch 3-1 34
#10 Sierra Leone 2-1 33
#2 Be You 8-1 32

Race 11:

#7 Ocean Atlantique 8-1 34
#3 Running Bee 8-5 33
#4 Dominican Pioneer 4-1 32
#8 Injunction 10-1 31

Keeneland Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 5,8,7

Race 2: 6,4,7

Race 3: 6,5,12,3

Race 4: 2,4,7,1

Race 5: 7,9

$.50 Ticket: $144

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 6,4,7

Race 3: 6,5,12,3

Race 4: 2,4,7,1

Race 5: 7,9,2

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pick 6:

Race 5: 7,9,2,3

Race 6: 6,9,4

Race 7: 1,10,3,6

Race 8: 8

Race 9: 11,9,3

Race 10: 1,4

$1.00 Ticket: $288

Late Pick 5:

Race 6: 6,9,4,3

Race 7: 1,10,3,6

Race 8: 8,2

Race 9: 11,9,3

Race 10: 1,4,10

$.50 Ticket: $144

Pick 4 (7-10):

Race 7: 1,10,3,6

Race 8: 8,2

Race 9: 11,9,3,2

Race 10: 1,4,10,2

$.50 Ticket: $64

Late Pick 4:

Race 8: 8,2,7,1

Race 9: 11,9,3,2

Race 10: 1,4,10,2

Race 11: 7,3,4

$.50 Ticket: $96

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.

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