Monthly Archives: November 2024

November 3rd, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,233/21,874 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,077/21,874. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues will post Picks/Plays when able…

*Check back later in the week for Aqueduct Picks/Plays…

November 2nd, 2024 Free Picks & Plays

Since the launch of this site eight years ago our statistics have remained consistent. Race winner is in top three selections 65% of the time 14,221/21,851 and top choice first or second 46% of the time 10,067/21,851. The algorithm is very good at zeroing in on live runners with regularity, you will often find the triple and super in our picks.

*Dealing with health issues will post Picks/Plays when able…

*Saturday’s Full Card Aqueduct & Del Mar Breeders Cup Picks/Plays Below…

Aqueduct Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#4 Concorde Spirit 6-5 15 scratched
#5 Big Ego 5-2 14 3rd $2.10
#2 Maximus Monster 12-1 13
#7 Ragazzo Diabolico 8-1 12 1st $12.00

Race 2:

#5 Vekoma Rides 3-1 31 2nd $4.00
#2 Tony Eclipse 2-1 30 3rd $4.00
#4 It’s Hammertime 6-5 30 4th
#3 Studlydoright 9-2 29 1st $9.80 Spr $168.40

Race 3:

#1 Executive Move 9-5 16 2nd $2.50
#4 Clancy Fancy 8-1 15 1st $11.00 Ex $22.00
#6 Accidental Bid 7-2 15 scratched
#7 Stormy’s Dreaming 6-1 14

Race 4:

#2 Fort Washington 5-1 34 3rd $2.60
#5 Running Bee 7-5 33 1st $3.40
#4 Big Everest (GB) 5-2 33 2nd $3.10
#6 Sky’s Not Falling 10-1 32

Race 5:

#8 Valenzan Day 6-5 31 1st $3.10
#6 Jemography 5-1 30
#9 Ski Country 4-1 29 3rd $2.60
#4 Daddy Knows 15-1 28

Race 6:

#2 Rockible 4-1 15
#8 Gimme Gimme 3-1 14 1st $6.90
#3 Monte Avi 7-2 14 3rd $2.50
#9 Revivalism 5-1 13

Race 7:

#1 National Identity 5-2 17 1st $3.10
#6 Free Dance 8-1 16 3rd $2.30
#4 Skytown 3-1 15 scratched
#5 Man of Mischief 6-1 15

Race 8:

#7 Annascaul 3-1 29 2nd $3.90
#1 Yougottahavehope 7-2 28 3rd $2.10
#4 Laurice 4-1 28 scratched
#3 Perfect Figure 6-1 27 4th

Race 9:

#7 Modica 4-1 30 3rd $3.10
#9 Waitlist 6-1 29 scratched
#4 Brigade Commander 7-2 28 2nd $4.00
#2 Victory Dash 5-1 28

Race 10:

#6 Wild Mama 8-1 31
#9 Impulse Buy 5-2 30 2nd $2.80
#8 The Queens M G 4-1 30 3rd $2.60
#1 Stunner 6-5 29 1st $5.80

Race 11:

#2 Bryant and Cooper 7-2 18
#8 Willful Mama 4-1 17 2nd $4.20
#4 Pocket Queens 8-1 16
#1 Moonlight Gal 6-1 15

Aqueduct Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 4,5 *4 scratched using 5,2

Race 2: 5,2,4,3

Race 3: 1,4,6 *6 scratched using 1,4,7

Race 4: 2,5,4

Race 5: 8,6

$.50 Ticket: $72

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 5,2,4,3

Race 3: 1,4,6 *6 scratched using 1,4,7

Race 4: 2,5,4

Race 5: 8,6,9,4

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4: 2,5,4,6

Race 5: 8,6,9,4

Race 6: 2,8

Race 7: 1,6,4 *4 scratched using 1,6,5

Race 8: 7,1

$.50 Ticket: $96

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5: 8,6,9,4

Race 6: 2,8,3,9

Race 7: 1,6,4 *4 scratched using 1,6,5

Race 8: 7,1,4 *4 scratched using 7,1,3

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pick 6:

Race 6: 2,8,3

Race 7: 1,6,4 *4 scratched using 1,6,5

Race 8: 7,1

Race 9: 7,9,4 *9 scratched using 7,4,2

Race 10: 6,9

Race 11: 2

$.50 Ticket: $108

Late Pick 5:

Race 7: 1,6,4,5

Race 8: 7,1,4,3

Race 9: 7,9,4 *9 scratched using 7,4,2

Race 10: 6,9,8

Race 11: 2,8

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 8: 7,1

Race 9: 7,9,4,2

Race 10: 6,9,8,1

Race 11: 2,8,4,1

$.50 Ticket: $64

Del Mar Selections

Race 1: Strength Variable:

#11 Lahaina Flavor 5-1 33
#10 Jeweled Shillelagh 8-1 32
#6 Canada Gate 4-1 31 2nd $6.80
#9 King Apollo 8-1 31

Race 2:

#3 Hope Road 6-5 37 1st $2.60
#7 Show Card 6-1 35 scratched
#4 Alpha Bella 8-5 34 2nd $3.20
#2 Desert Dawn 10-1 32 3rd $2.60

Race 3:

#1 Aspen Grove (IRE) 5-1 36
#10 Raqlya (IRE) 6-1 35 1st $12.20
#8 Nadette (FR) 6-1 34
#4 Mouffy 10-1 33 4th

Race 4:

#2 One Magic Philly 10-1 40
#9 Ways and Means 5-2 39
#7 Zeitlos 6-1 38
#6 Society 3-1 37 2nd $5.80

Race 5:

#2 Motorious (GB) 8-1 41 2nd $11.00
#6 Star of Mystery (GB) 10-1 40 4th
#9 Cogburn 7-5 39
#7 Howard Wolowitz 30-1 38

Race 6:

#9 Awesome Result 4-1 39 scratched
#2 Thorpedo Anna 4-5 38 1st $2.80
#1 Candied 15-1 37 3rd $2.80
#6 Raging Sea 7-2 36 2nd $3.00

Race 7:

#11 Rebel’s Romance 5-2 41 1st $5.80
#6 Far Bridge 6-1 40
#3 Shahryar (JPN) 10-1 39 3rd $4.80
#4 Luxembourg (IRE) 12-1 38

Race 8:

#2 Highland Falls 20-1 42
#11 Sierra Leone 12-1 41 1st $15.80
#9 Fierceness 3-1 41 2nd $4.40
#10 Tapit Trice 30-1 40

Race 9:

#2 Full Count Felicia 12-1 39
#3 Cinderella’s Dream 4-1 38 2nd $4.60
#1 Beautiful Love (IRE) 20-1 38 4th
#4 War Like Goddess 5-2 37

Race 10:

#9 Remake (JPN) 8-1 44
#3 Federal Judge 3-1 43
#1 Raging Torrent 10-1 42
#10 Mullikin 7-2 41

Race 11:

#9 Johannes 9-2 45
#12 Carl Spackler (IRE) 6-1 44
#7 Porta Fortuna (IRE) 4-1 43
#4 Diego Velazquez 8-1 42

Race 12:

#8 Post Time 12-1 42
#9 Domestic Product 7-2 41
#1 Saudi Crown 5-1 40
#3 Full Serrano (ARG) 15-1 39

Del Mar Plays

Early Pick 5:

Race 1: 11,10,6,9

Race 2: 3,7,4

Race 3: 1,10,8,4

Race 4: 2,9,7

Race 5: 2,6,9

$.50 Ticket: $216

Early Pick 4:

Race 2: 3,7,4

Race 3: 1,10,8,4

Race 4: 2,9,7

Race 5: 2,6,9

$.50 Ticket: $54

Pick 5 (4-8):

Race 4: 2,9,7,6

Race 5: 2,6,9,7

Race 6: 9,2,1

Race 7: 11,6,3,4

Race 8: 2,11

$.50 Ticket: $192

Pick 4 (5-8):

Race 5: 2,6,9,7

Race 6: 9,2,1,6

Race 7: 11,6,3

Race 8: 2,11,9

$.50 Ticket: $72

Pick 4 (6-9):

Race 6: 9,2

Race 7: 11,6,3,4

Race 8: 2,11,9,10

Race 9: 2,3,1,4

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 4 (7-10):

Race 7: 11,6

Race 8: 2,11,9,10

Race 9: 2,3,1,4

Race 10: 9,3,1,10

$.50 Ticket: $64

Pick 6:

Race 7: 11

Race 8: 2,11,9,10

Race 9: 2,3,1,4

Race 10: 9,3

Race 11: 9,12,7

Race 12: 8,9,1

$1.00 Ticket: $288

Late Pick 5:

Race 8: 2,11,9,10

Race 9: 2,3,1,4

Race 10: 9,3,1

Race 11: 9,12,7

Race 12: 8,9

$.50 Ticket: $144

Late Pick 4:

Race 9: 2,3,1,4

Race 10: 9,3,1,10

Race 11: 9,12,7,4

Race 12: 8,9,1

$.50 Ticket: $96

“Strength Variable” – Is a numerical value that gets assigned to each runner, the end result of the system that I use, which evaluates the horses in as many as thirty categories per race. It gives a visual of races where there are standouts , or conversely, heats where it is very difficult to separate. The races with better quality of horses will score higher values, while lower level claimers and maiden races with limited information will be lower numbers. Top picks that eclipse the second and third choice by three, four or more points will be runners that have a higher percentage of winning. These may be races where it is easier to find a single, where as races in which the values are close , and even tied in some instances may be races to spread in.